Measures to promote both mitigation and adaptation to climate change in agriculture Jørgen E. Olesen.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
ACTIONS FOR CONTROLLING SHORT- LIVED CLIMATE FORCERS AGRICULTURAL EMISSIONS: 19 th -21 st SPTEMBER, 2012 Dr. Nicholas Iddi MEST.
Advertisements

Biology 3A – human impact
Fundamentals of Soil Science
Sustainable Agroforestry in Degraded Drylands: Win – Win Approaches for Local, Regional and Global Problems Leu S. and Mor-Mussery A. in collaboration.
Climate Smart Agriculture East Africa Regional Knowledge Sharing Meeting Thomas Cole June 11, 2012, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Univ. of Alberta Climate Change Impacts on Canadian Agriculture R.F. Grant Dept. of Renewable Resources, Univ. of Alberta, Edmonton,Alberta.
FAO Investment Centre Making Investments in AWM Work TCI Investment Days 17 December 2014 Rome Dr Zhijun Chen TCIB.
Cover Crops and Biofuels Implications for Soil Characteristics and Plant Development Deanna Boardman October 21, 2009.
Balancing Biomass for Bioenergy and Conserving the Soil Resource Jane Johnson USDA-ARS- North Central Soil Conservation Research Laboratory.
Environmetal problems related to manure management Greenhouse gas emission from manure stores.
The Cost of Consumption: Pollution of the Livestock Industry Clemente Velasco-Annis University of Massachusetts, Amherst.
Agriculture and Greenhouse Gases Jill Heemstra, University of Nebraska - Lincoln Building Environmental Leaders in Animal Agriculture (BELAA)
Environmental Sustainability of Biofuel Crops Bill Chism David Widawsky Office of Policy, Economics and Innovation.
Potential Impacts & Adaptation Challenges of Climate Change in the UK Water Resources & Quality -Increasing temperatures, increasing evaporation and changing.
Climate Change Impacts in the Gulf Coast Philip B. Bedient Civil & Environmental Engineering Rice University.
(Mt/Ag/EnSc/EnSt 404/504 - Global Change) Agriculture Impacts Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture Assembled by Brian Viner and Gene Takle.
CLIMATE CHANGE, GREENHOUSE GASES, AND THE LIVESTOCK INDUSTRY KASIMIR BOGIELSKI PUBLIC AFFAIRS JOHN GLENN SCHOOL OF PUBLIC AFFAIRS.
Making sure we can handle the extremes! Carolyn Olson, Ph.D. 90 th Annual Outlook Forum February 20-21, 2014.
The NFU champions British farming and provides professional representation and services to its farmer and grower members Sustainable Intensification The.
 Improving Land and Water Management David Bahk TSM 352.
Global Environmental Issues
I. Background A. global warming: the gradual increase in planet-wide temperatures B. temperature of Earth depends on amount of sunlight received, amount.
Climate Change. Have you noticed any change in our summer weather? Our winter weather? The arrival of spring? Have you noticed any change in our summer.
Greenhouse effect Sources, Causes & Impacts. Interpretation of global warming Global warming is a long-term climate change which raises the temperature.
Climate CHANGE.. What is climate? Climate is the weather condition prevailing in an area over a long period. OR A long-term weather pattern that describes.
Understanding „the nexus“ in the MENA region Holger Hoff Stockholm Environment Institute Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Beirut, 22 January.
NS 435 Unit 2: Impact of Ecological Changes on Agriculture Lei Wang, Ph.D.
Droughts. What Is A Drought? An extended period of months or years when a region notes a deficiency in its water supply. Occurs when a region receives.
By Geoff, Grant, and Brendan. Lakes Increase air temps/ decrease winter ice cover increases lake water evaporation. Inland lake management and associated.
ROB WALROND, DIOCESAN RURAL LIFE ADVISOR CLIMATE CHANGE IN OUR LOCAL COMMUNITIES 25 th April 2015.
Pakistan’s Increasing Vulnerability to Climate Change: Policy Response Pakistan’s Increasing Vulnerability to Climate Change: Policy Response Dr. Qamar-uz-Zaman.
Climate Change Overview Samoa Climate Change Summit 2009 Willy Morrell UNDP Samoa Multi Country Office – serving Samoa, Cook Islands, Tokelau and Niue.
Climate Change and Food Security Erin Schlicher JRN 473 December 6, 2010.
Impacts of climate change on the Chicago River system.
Ag Production and the Environment Text adapted from The World Food Problem Leathers & Foster, 2009 ttp:// Toward-Undernutrition/dp/
Conservation agriculture- a new pathway for agricultural development Jens B. Aune Agro-ecologist, Noragric, UMB.
Human Development Report Croatia
Do Now: Identify and discuss 2 factors that may limit food production in the future.
The Impact of Our Food Choices on Climate Change and the Environment.
How feasible is it to obtain water supplies by desalination? By Adam, James and Liam.
Chapter 20 Global Climate Change. Climate Change Terminology  Greenhouse Gas  Gas that absorbs infrared radiation  Positive Feedback  Change in some.
Global Trend: Where Did All the Farms Go? Poor farming practices = loss of soils and farmland  Erosion  Salinization Development in United States = loss.
Global Change Impacts on Rice- Wheat Provision and the Environmental Consequences Peter Grace SKM - Australia Cooperative Research Centre for Greenhouse.
Food and Agriculture How to feed the ever expanding population Currently 5.8 billion 30 years 12 billion.
October 12, 2015 Iowa State University Indrajeet Chaubey Purdue University Water Quality.
INVESTIGATING CONSERVATION AGRICULTURE SYSTEMS IN ZAMBIA AND ZIMBABWE TO MITIGATE FUTURE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE By Christian Thierfelder and Patrick.
Genetically modified crops and foods have advantages and disadvantages.
Christine Watson November 2015
Whole farm systems analysis of greenhouse gas emission abatement strategies for dairy farms Richard Rawnsley, Karen Christie, and Rob Kildare.
GREENHOUSE EFFECT. What Is Greenhouse Effect??? an atmospheric heating phenomenon, caused by short-wave solar radiation being readily transmitted inward.
Ag Production and the Environment
By Andrew & Joanna. Global Water Supply 97.4% of the Earth’s water is salty Most of the remaining 2.6% of fresh water is not readily available to humans;
Climate Change and Agricultural: Trends and Bi-Directional Impacts Dennis Baldocchi Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management University.
Greenhouse Effect (E 3 ) Pages ) Definitions 2) Description 3) Greenhouse Gases 4) Greenhouse Gases Effect on Atmosphere.
Environmental Problems With Food Production Ch. 12.
Agriculture and the Changing Climate: Resilience in Uncertain Times Kim McCracken NRCS State Soil Scientist November 7, 2015.
Human Impact on the Environment. Earth’s human population continues to grow. Earth’s human carrying capacity is unknown.
Global Warming Causes&Effects. Natural cause Greenhouse gas.
Lesson 7. Understanding Soil Degradation. Next Generation Science/Common Core Standards Addressed ! HS-ESS2-2 Analyze geoscience data to make the claim.
Improving livestock water productivity under changing climate Theib Oweis, ICARDA, Aleppo, Syria & Don Peden, ILRI, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Presentation.
Promising CSA Technologies and Their Potential Impacts Jawoo Koo and Cindy Cox IFPRI.
Climate Smart Agriculture to Foster Food Production by Dyborn Chibonga, NASFAM CEO Prepared for WFO Annual General Assembly in Livingstone, Zambia -
Soil Building as a Climate Mitigation Strategy Nir Krakauer Department of Civil Engineering, The City College of New York
CHAPTER 2 NATURAL RESOURCES AND THEIR CONSERVATION LAND RESOURCE.
Soil Bulk Density/Moisture/Aeration
Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture
Climate Change and the Land/Water Relationship
Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture
Desertification in Europe
Topic 5.3: Soil degradation and conservation
Presentation transcript:

Measures to promote both mitigation and adaptation to climate change in agriculture Jørgen E. Olesen

Agriculture and climate change Agriculture is highly integrated into the climate change challenge Agriculture is one of the main emitters of greenhouse gases Agriculture is highly impacted by climate change (temperature, rainfall) Issues: - GHG emissions (CO 2, CH 4, N 2 O) - Climate change impacts - Soil quality - Water usage - Resilience to climatic variability - Adaptation to climate change

The challenge of a growing world population The world population is increasing and will peak at about 9-10 billion (from currently 6 billion). Increasing wealth causes changes in lifestyle towards more meat and milk in the diet – and in the longer term for higher quality foods The global livestock production is increasing rapidly (meat production will double from 2000 to 2050) World grain production also has to double by 2050 Agriculture accounts for % of global greenhouse gas emissions

Proportion of heavy rainfall has increased most places Regions of disproportionate changes in heavy (95% fractile) and very heavy (99% fractile) precipitation. IPCC WG-I (2007)

Observed changes – increasing droughts (1990 – 2002) IPCC WG-I (2007)

Drylands 10-20% of drylands are subject to degradation Dryland populations are among the most ecologically, socially and politically marginalised populations

Soil degradation Erosion Reduction i soil carbon (humus) Compaction (especially in subsoil) Pollution Salinisation Desertification Many of these processes are exacerbated by climate change

Pressure on freshwater resources 14% of world agricultural area is irrigation 40% of agricultural production comes from irrigated agriculture 80% of freshwater abstraction is used for irrigation Increasing problems with drying out and pollution of rivers and lakes Water consumption for irrigation

Suitability for rainfed cereal production IIASA

Change in suitability for rainfed grain 2080 IIASA Consequence of - Temperature increases changing suitability for production - Rainfall changes (dry areas becoming drier) Does not account for changes in variability and extremes

Crop yield response to temperature change IPCC WG-II (2007) Without adaptation With adaptation

Temperature changes PRUDENCE Winter temperature ( ) – ( ) Summer temperature ( ) – ( )

Precipitation changes PRUDENCE Winter rainfall (% change) ( ) – ( ) Summer rainfall (% change) ( ) – ( )

Increased variability PRUDENCE Winter Summer PrecipitationTemperature

The 2003 summer heat wave in Europe 30% reduction in gross primary production of terrestrial ecosystems Large reductions in agricultural production (13 billion €) Many very large wildfires Large CO 2 emissions from soils Record low river flows affecting ecosystems, navigation and cooling of power plants Reduction of 10% transportation capacity on the Rhine (200 mil. €) Extreme glacier melt in the Alps prevented extremely low flows in the Danube river Excess deaths due to very hot temperatures (about 35,000) MODIS data

Observed and projected temperature i Central Europe Schär et al. (2004)

Drought effects on vegetation in France Sequin based on SPOT

Is expanding irrigation a solution? Irrigation is efficient for limiting yield losses, but.. - restricted to a small part of the area - higher water comsumption in dry years - increasing competition with other uses so that the increasing the extent of surfaces for irrigation is questionable in the context of diminishing water resources!!

We need to increase water use efficiency Efficiency of irrigation systems (more crop per drop) Trickle irrigation systems to target crop demand and avoid evaporation Irrigation systems that induce partial stomatal closure Water harvesting systems (avoiding excessive runoff) Increasing soil water retention (soil structure, organic matter) Avoiding soil evaporation (e.g. through mulching) Drought tolerant crop species and cultivars Combinations of these measures are needed!!! Most of these measures also promote soil carbon storage

 Generally increasing temperatures  Increasing rainfall intensity  More frequent droughts  More variable climate (in many areas) Agriculture must adapt to climate change --- This requires ---  Higher resilience to climatic variability  Better use and management of water And can be achieved through ---  Maintaining fertile soils with high water holding capacity  Improving crop genotypes (drought tolerance)  Diversifying crop rotations and cropping systems  Cover crops and intercrops to improve fertility/retain nutrients  Adapting crop management to increase resilience to change

Carbon-input (amount and quality) (plant residues, manure) Turnover rate (soil moisture, temperature, tillage) Other losses (erosion) Faktors affecting soil carbon content

Nitrous oxide emissions (N 2 O) N 2 O originates from both nitrification og denitrification N 2 O is formed under suboptimal conditions for the micro organisms (e.g. low oxygen or low pH) or in transfer zones between aerobic and anaerobic sites. Often associated with over-fertilisation or bad timing of fertilisation NH 3 NO 2 N2ON2O NO 3 N2N2 Nitrification (aerobic) Denitrification (anaerobic) Nitrifications inhibitors Plant uptake

Nitrous oxide from direct sowing (DS) relative to ploughed (PL) Soil aeration poormedium good N 2 O DS:PL Rochette et al. (2008) based on review of many studies

Soil tillage effects on N 2 O emissions Harrowing 8-10 cmPloughingDirect drilling N O-N kg/ha 2 Straw removed Straw left Mutegi and Munkholm, AU-DJF

Relative diffusivitet (x10 3 ) Aeration and N 2 O emissions R 2 = 0.52 Increased aeration Mutegi and Munkholm, AU-DJF

Effect of catch crops C-input  Difference between species  C-storage in depth C-turnover  Turnover of C-input from both top and roots N 2 O emissions  Effect? Oil radish Foto: Ole Green

Mitigation and adaptation synergies PICCMAT

Agricultural production systems that promote both adaptation and mitigation More permanent crop cover and less intensive soil tillage Perennial crops to sequester carbon and reduce N 2 O emissions Combine bioenergy and feed (food) production: Highly productive vegetative (perennial) crops Biomass is treated in biorefineries to produce energy and feed Highly efficient nutrient use during production and processing Diversity to improve resilience and increase carbon capture Cropping systems with improved water use efficiency Renewed focus on agricultural research and innovation is needed

Smart solutions involve both adaptation and mitigation