ROUND 9.0 COOPERATIVE FORECASTS OF FUTURE GROWTH Paul DesJardin COG Director of Community Planning and Services COG Board of Directors March 9, 2016 Agenda.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Fairfax County Transportation Advisory Commission January 6, North Capitol St. Suite 300 | Washington, DC |

Advertisements

Transportation/Land-Use Connections Program Status Report Presentation to the Transportation Planning Board July 18, 2007 Sarah Crawford Transportation.

2013 Homeless Enumeration Results for the Washington Metropolitan Region Presented by: Michael Ferrell, Chairman MWCOG Human Services and Public Safety.

Review and Revision of Draft Round 7.0 Growth Forecasts Paul DesJardin Department of Human Services, Planning and Public Safety and Robert Griffiths Department.

1 Overview of the CLRP The Financially Constrained Long-Range Transportation Plan TPB Citizens Advisory Committee March 10, 2005.

January 26, 2009 The Economy in 2009 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Dwight Schar Faculty Chair and University Professor Director, Center for Regional.

Street Smart Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Campaign: Goals, Evaluation, and Funding Briefing to the TPB Tech Committee, Friday, March 4th, 2005 Item #6.

COG / TPB Regional Analysis: Impacts of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Recommendations For the Metropolitan Washington.

Helping Shape the Future of the National Capital Region: COG’s Climate Change and Greater Washington 2050 Initiatives Stuart Freudberg Director, Dept.

MetroCIO GIS Committee Meeting Tuesday, November 20, – 3 PM.

2012 SDC-CIC Annual Training Conference Thursday, October 18, 2012 Andrew W. Hait Data Product & Data User Liaison How To Use Census Bureau Economic Data.

Greater Washington’s Health Care Workforce Shortage Presented by: Alison Gold Program Manager, Potomac Conference February 8, 2005.

1 Common Procedures For Small Area Forecasting Justin Clarke, Arlington County Mubarika Shah, Fairfax County Greg Goodwin, COG Staff Metropolitan Washington.

Client Name Here - In Title Master Slide 2007/2008 Household Travel Survey Changes in Daily Travel Patterns 1994 to 2007/2008 Robert E. Griffiths Technical.

October 15, 2012 Our Region’s Housing Market: What are price trends likely to be over the next 5 years? Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Center for Regional Analysis.

1 The 2010 Financially Constrained Long-Range Transportation Plan And FY Transportation Improvement Program TPB Technical Committee November.

Transportation Planning Board: Background, Constrained Long- Range Plan, and Ongoing Work Presentation to the Board of Directors Metropolitan Washington.

1 Regional Priority Bus Projects List Steve Yaffe, Arlington County December 17, 2008 TPB Regional Bus Subcommittee Presented to the Transportation Planning.

Presented by: Michael Ferrell, Chairman MWCOG Human Services and Public Safety Policy Committee APRIL 17, 2015 Photo Credit: Bob Jagendorf 2015 Homeless.

National Capital Region ANNUAL REPORT FOSTER CARE 2013.

Performance Analysis Presentation to the National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board (NCR-TPB) November 28, 2012 Adopted: July 18, 2012 Item.

Reconciliation of Population, Labor Force and Job Growth in the WashCog Planning Region Cooperative Forecasting Group April 5, 2005 Maryland Department.

National Capital Region Climate Change Report OVERVIEW Joan Rohlfs, Chief, Air Quality Planning Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments October.

1 Presentation to George Washington University Transit-Oriented Development Seminar Ronald Kirby, Director of Transportation Planning Metropolitan Washington.

1 Michael Eichler Department of Transportation Planning Presentation to the TPB Technical Committee January 8, 2009 CLRP Aspirations Scenario Preliminary.

COG Climate, Energy and Environment Policy Committee Overview of Committee Bylaws and COG Committee Structure Stuart A. Freudberg Director, Dept. of Environmental.

1 Briefing on the Round 8.0 Cooperative Forecasts Robert E. Griffiths Technical Services Director Department of Transportation Planning TPB Technical Committee.

Fall 2008 Spring 2009 Review TPB Technical Committee 10/2/2009, Item #6 TPB Technical Committee 10/2/2009, Item #6 1.

AIR QUALITY CONFORMITY ANALYSIS OF THE 2013 CONSTRAINED LONG RANGE PLAN & FY TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM DRAFT June 13, 2013 Transportation.

Commuting to Work in the Metropolitan Washington Region Some Preliminary Results from the 2000 Census Robert E. Griffiths Cooperative Forecasting and Data.

Street Smart Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Campaign: Results & Funding Status Briefing to the Transportation Planning Board November 15, 2006 Michael Farrell,

National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board February 19, 2013 ITEM #12.

1 How Affordable is Housing for Women in Washington? Presented by: Leah Hendey With assistance from: Graham MacDonald June 6, 2013 Stepping Stones Forum.

Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Education Campaign Review of the FY 2012 Campaign and Planning for FY 2013 Transportation Planning Board Item #11 October.

Update to MW-COG GIS Committee December 5, Updates Data acquisition status –Physical Transfer: Montgomery County Prince Georges County Prince William.

TPB Geographically-Focused Household Travel Surveys Robert E. Griffiths Technical Services Director TPB Technical Committee Meeting September.

Performance Analysis Presentation to the National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board (NCR-TPB) December 19, 2012 (updated from November 28, 2012)

Client Name Here - In Title Master Slide 2007/2008 Household Travel Survey Presentation of Additional Findings by Robert E. Griffiths Technical Services.

Fall 2008 Spring 2009 Review Transportation Planning Board 10/21/2009, Item #12 Transportation Planning Board 10/21/2009, Item #12 15/31/2016.

1 PM2.5 Redesignation Request for the Metropolitan Washington,D.C. Region Joan Rohlfs Chief, Air Quality Planning Metropolitan Washington COG.

1 Just the Basics An Overview of the National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board (TPB) and its Citizens Advisory Committee (CAC) March 10, 2005.

Regional On-Board Bus Survey Proposal Presentation to the TPB Technical Committee Robert E. Griffiths Technical Services Director October 5, 2007.

1 The Composition of the Vehicle Fleet in the Metropolitan Washington Region Results of Applying a Vehicle Identification Number (VIN) Decoder to July.

Street Smart Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Campaign: Spring 2007 Campaign, Proposed Actions for FY 2008 Briefing to the Transportation Planning Board Technical.

Spring 2010 Campaign Briefing George Branyan Pedestrian Program Manager District of Columbia Department of Transportation Transportation Planning Board.

At Home in the Nation’s Capital: Immigrant Trends in Metropolitan Washington Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy Brookings Greater Washington Research.

1 Briefing on the Preliminary Round 7.2 Cooperative Forecasts TPB Technical Committee Timothy Canan, AICP 7 November 2008 Item 11.

1 What If… The Washington Region Grew Differently? Results to Date of The TPB Regional Mobility and Accessibility Study February 8, 2006.

Street Smart Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Campaign: Spring 2009 Activities, and Funding Outlook for FY 2010 Briefing to the Transportation Planning Board.

Street Smart Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Campaign: Results and Funding Status Briefing to the Transportation Planning Board, January 18, 2006 Michael.

COG staff - Presentation to WRTC September 6, 2013 COG’s Round 8.2 Cooperative Forecast & Regional Wastewater Flow Projections.

1 Growth and Development in the Washington Region Presentation to TPB Technical Committee Paul DesJardin Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments.

Street Smart Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety Campaign: Spring 2007 Campaign, Proposed Actions for FY 2008 Item #12: Briefing to the Transportation Planning.

1 Regional Activity Centers and Clusters Presentation to National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board Paul DesJardin Department of Human Services,

September 19, 2012 Transportation Planning Board 2012 Activity Center Update Sophie Mintier, COG/DCPS Staff.

1 Briefing on the Round 8.0 Cooperative Forecasts Paul DesJardin Department of Community Planning and Services COG Board of Directors Meeting November.

Utility Data Request Summary and Comparison 2005, 2009, 2010 Energy Advisory Committee Updated after July 21, 2011 meeting.

COG/TPB Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) Update Project Robert E. Griffiths Presentation to the TPB Scenario Study Task Force April 16, 2008.

MWCOG GIS Committee meeting USGS Project Update CGIS Meeting date: 9/30/08.

1 Briefing on the Draft Call for Projects and Schedule for the Air Quality Conformity Assessment for the 2011 CLRP and FY TIP Technical Committee.

The 2006 Constrained Long-Range Transportation Plan: Plan Performance Ronald F. Kirby Director of Transportation Planning October 18, 2006 Item #7.

1 Review of Draft FY2009 Unified Planning Work Program (UPWP) Ronald F. Kirby Director, Department of Transportation Planning National Capital Region Transportation.

1 Draft Round 7.2 Cooperative Forecasts of Population, Households, and Employment Transportation Planning Board Timothy Canan, AICP April 15, 2009 Item.

1 Economic Trends and Commercial Construction Indicators for Metropolitan Washington Cooperative Forecasting and Data Subcommittee Meeting July 15, 2003.

DATA Transportation 101 Project Status March 20, 2002

Technical Committee Item # 9

National CAPITOL REGION STATE OF THE COMMUTE

About the Transportation planning board

POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS

The future of housing in greater Washington

Presentation transcript:

ROUND 9.0 COOPERATIVE FORECASTS OF FUTURE GROWTH Paul DesJardin COG Director of Community Planning and Services COG Board of Directors March 9, 2016 Agenda Item #7

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Cooperative Forecasting Process Regional Forecast Jurisdictional Small Area (TAZ) Reconciliation Regional Econometric Model Projections Employment Population Households Local Forecasts Short Term – Permits Long Term – Comprehensive Plans

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Employment Change by 10-Year Increments National vs. COG / TPB Planning Area

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Population Change by 10-Year Increments National vs. COG / TPB Planning Area

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Employment Change by Sector 2015–2045 National vs. COG / TPB Planning Area

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Employment Change by Sector 2015 – 2045 COG / TPB Planning Area

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Summary of Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts COG / TPB Planning Area (Thousands) 2015 to NumberPercent Employment 3,149.94, ,13636% Population 5,388.76, ,51628% Households 2,008.32, %

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Change in 2040 Forecast from Round 8.4 COG / TPB Planning Area (Thousands) Round 8.4Round 9.0NumberPercent Employment4,370.84, % Population6,619.26, % Households2,546.62, %

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Employment

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Population

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Households

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Forecasts for Jurisdictions in COG / TPB Planning Area Grouped Geographically for Analysis Purposes Central Jurisdictions Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs District of Columbia Arlington Alexandria Montgomery Prince George’s Fairfax County Fairfax Falls Church Loudoun Prince William Manassas Manassas Park Charles Frederick County MD

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Forecast Employment Growth,

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Forecast Population Growth,

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, Forecast Household Growth,

Agenda Item #7: Round 9.0 Cooperative Forecasts March 9, COG Board to approve “Draft Round 9.0” for use in the Air Quality Conformity Analysis of the 2016 Update to the Financially Constrained Long-Range Transportation Plan (CLRP) and the FY Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) on March 9 Local jurisdictions submit Round 9.0 forecasts by Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) by March 11, 2016 Final approval and adoption by the COG Board in November 2016 About COG

Paul DesJardin COG Community Planning and Services Director (202) mwcog.org 777 North Capitol Street NE, Suite 300 Washington, DC 20002