Results for Market Forecast May 2007 Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc All rights reserved.

Overview U.S. dollar forecast was almost an exact match– this makes two months in a row. Crude and the Dow – there are weeks we get right, but we haven’t been able to get whole months at a time. Looking back at what we had to work with, the information was there for Crude and the Dow– the problem was personal bias clouding the interpretation. Copyright 2007, A New Story Foundation, Inc.

U.S. Dollar Index 2 nd month in a row of an almost exact match!

U.S. Dollar Index - range Forecast vs. actuals for range also very close.

Crude Oil The large drop early in the month threw off the rest of the forecast.

The Stock Market Not bad 1 st half, but then it got away mid month.

“A Month of Changing Trends” The U.S. dollar did go from a downward trend to an upward trend. The last time we were wrong on a major trend change (on a weekly scale) we were a week early. Are we a month early on Crude and the Dow?

Lessons Learned U.S. Dollar chart is too close to have been “chance,” we are doing something right. The initial portion of our methodology requires a subjective interpretation of data; building a story from a metaphorical language representing bullish and bearish mood. Reviewing our inputs, we have determined that the interpretation was overly skewed by personal bias. We will be more vigilant in this regard in future forecasts.

Disclaimer A New Story Foundation is not a brokerage firm nor are we professional investment advisors. Please consult the appropriate person/firm for specific investment advice. More information can be found on our website at

Thanks for your interest.