1 ERCOT 2015 West Texas Study November 18, 2014 Jeff Billo.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

RPG: September 24, Approach for ERCOT Independent Review of the 2013 Houston Import Project Jeff Billo, Manager, Transmission Planning September.

Advertisements

October 16, 2009 RPG Meeting ERCOT RPG Project Review Update Jeff Billo.

Jan 22, 2013 RPG Meeting Sharyland Atlas-Driver Load Integration Project – EIR update.

Regional Planning Group Project

2015 RTP Update January, 2015.

January 5, 2012 TAC Cross Valley 345 kV Project Jeff Billo Manager, Mid-Term Planning.

Center for Energy Studies © LSU Center for Energy Studies Source: Baker Hughes Rig Count and Crude Oil Price (Each State Measured Relative to 1999 Activity)

Valley Import Overview Jeff Billo Regional Planning Group Meeting July 22, 2014 Preliminary1.

ERCOT PUBLIC 10/21/ LTSA Update October 21, 2014.

ERCOT PUBLIC 8/19/ LTSA Scenario Results Updates August, 2014.

ERCOT PUBLIC 4/22/2014 Updates for 2014 LTSA Scenario and Data Assumptions 4/22/2014.

PLWG Report to ROS July 9, PGRRs needing vote PGRR043 – FIS Scoping Amendment – PGRR043 moves the Subsynchronous Resonance (SSR) Study out of the.

2015 RTP – Study Scope of Short Circuit Analysis RPG Meeting May 19,

ERCOT PUBLIC LTSA Introduction. ERCOT PUBLIC 2 Outline  Background  2016 LTSA Process  Summary of first LTSA Workshop  Topics and Speakers.

RPG Meeting Five Year Plan Extension Brad Schwarz.

Texas Wind Energy American Meteorological Society Summer Community Meeting – Norman Oklahoma Henry Durrwachter, P.E. August 12, 2009.

Generation Adequacy Task Force Update to WMS September 14, 2011.

John Dumas Director of Wholesale Market Operations Jeff Billo Manager of Mid Term Planning Dan Jones Director with Potomac Economics, the ERCOT IMM Board.

ERCOT PUBLIC 5/20/ RTP Inputs and Assumptions May 20, 2014.

June 19, 2009 RPG Meeting ERCOT System Development Update Jeff Billo.

ERS Update Plus Revisions to Proposed Changes for ERS Time Periods Presented to: Demand Side Working Group November 5, 2014.

March 13, 2009 RPG Meeting ERCOT System Development Update Jeff Billo.

Generation Deliverability Criteria PLWG September 17, 2014 Jeff Billo, ERCOT 1.

ERCOT PUBLIC 6/17/ LTSA Load Distribution Methodology June 17, 2014.

Wholesale Market Subcommittee Texas Interconnection Long-Term Study Update Warren P. Lasher April 8, 2011.

Generation Adequacy Task Force Update to WMS November 18, 2009.

© Copyright 2013, First Solar, Inc. Establishing Accurate Power Generation Cost Assumptions for ERCOT Planning Colin Meehan – Director, Regulatory and.

November 12, 2010 Regional Planning Group Long-Term System Assessment Project Update Warren Lasher Manager, Long-Term Planning and Policy Jonathan Rose.

2008 Annual Five Year Plan Update 2 10/12/2007 Regional Planning: Jay Teixeira, Harry Liu, Brad Schwarz, Jeff Billo, Chris Ngai.

June 2008 Windsor-Essex Electrical Service Needs and Solutions.

JACKSBORO TO WEST DENTON and WEST LEVEE TO NORWOOD 345-kV PROJECTS April 20, 2004 Transmission Services Operations.

May 11, 2012 RPG meeting YTP Scope and Process – RPG Comments.

Jeff Billo Manager, ERCOT Transmission Planning Kenedy to Nixon to Seguin Line Upgrade Project Regional Planning Group (RPG) Review; ERCOT Independent.

Long Term Study Task Force Update ERCOT Long-Term Study Scenarios January 13, 2012.

February 13, 2009 RPG Meeting ERCOT System Development Update Jeff Billo.

Grid Operations Report To ERCOT Board Of Directors December 16, 2003 Sam Jones, COO.

Long Term Study Task Force Update Modeling Emerging Resources Through 2030 January 13, 2012 LTSTF.

Long Term Study Resource Expansion Process: Study Findings and Lessons Learned Jenell Katheiser Doug Murray RPG May 21, 2013.

ERCOT PUBLIC November RPG Meeting RTP – Study Scope November 20, 2015.

RPG: September 24, Long-Term System Assessment Introduction Jeff Billo, Manager, Transmission Planning September 2013 Regional Planning Group.

Jeff Billo Manager, Transmission Planning

ERCOT – MISO DC Tie Study Comments

May14, 2010 RPG Meeting Houston Import Study Update Jeff Billo.

Estimating Available Capacity for New Generators Jonathan Rose Planning Engineer, Resource Integration Dept. Regional Planning Group September 24, 2013.

PLWG Report to ROS September 4, PGRR039 PGRR requires Interconnecting Entities (IEs) to provide information for ERCOT’s resource adequacy reports,

2006 Report on the Capacity, Demand, & Resources for the ERCOT Region Technical Advisory Committee June 1, 2006 Kenneth A. Donohoo. P.E. Manager, Transmission.

WMS 1/9/20131 Priority Power Management, LLC Proposed Changes to Holistic Solution WMS January 9, 2013 James Z. Brazell Law Office of James Z. Brazell.

ERCOT Transmission Planning Process Overview and Recommendations November 6, 2002.

CREZ Related Generation Interconnection Studies July 2008 Jeff Billo RPG meeting

ERCOT PUBLIC 3/25/ RTP Inputs and Assumptions March 25, 2014.

ERCOT PUBLIC LTSA Introduction. ERCOT PUBLIC 2 Outline  Background  2016 LTSA Process  2016 Scenario Development Process  2016 LTSA Schedule.

Sheiks vs. Shale: The New Economic Realities of Oil and Gas and their Impacts on America’s Energy Industry Presentation to the Seattle Economics Council.

June 11, 2010 RPG Meeting Houston Import Study Update Jeff Billo.

Response to TAC Questions on PGRR031 TAC– January 28, 2014 Jeff Billo, ERCOT 1.

ERCOT – MISO DC Tie Study Regional Planning Group November 20, 2015.

Texas Economy IV April 21, Texas Oil Production.

2016 LTSA Update Doug Murray 6/21/2016. Agenda Introduction Scenario Retirement Process Scenario Summary Results Appendix.

DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY © 2013 New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. EIPC Roll-Up Powerflow Model Zach Smith Director,

Houston Import Study Update

Freeport Area Master Plan Project -

The New Economics of Oil and Gas: Implications for Texas and the U.S.

2018 LTSA Workshop August 2017 RPG Meeting Welcome to.

2016 RTP Update June, 2016 RPG Meeting.

Barrilla Junction Area Transmission Improvements Project

Compliance Report to ERCOT BOD December 2006

ERCOT 2011 Five-Year Transmission Plan Update

ERCOT 2009 Five-Year Transmission Plan Update

Reliability Assessment Guidebook (RAG): Status Report

Reliability Assessment Guidebook (RAG): Status Report

Graphing Oil and Gas Activity in Texas

Presentation transcript:

1 ERCOT 2015 West Texas Study November 18, 2014 Jeff Billo

2 Study Need Study Goals Load Forecast Data Study Approach Deliverables 2015 West Texas Study

3 Oil and gas development in the Permian Basin has increased at a rapid rate RTP study used 2013 load forecast data that may not reflect latest trends. According to a recent report published by Texas Tech University 1 : –The Permian Basin has the greatest rig count of any basin/region in the world (27% of the U.S. and 56% of Texas) –Since December 27, 2013, the number of horizontal, oil-directed rigs in the Permian Basin rose by 63%, representing half of the total increase of those types of rigs in the United States Study Need 1.

4 Identify transmission needs in West Texas using latest load forecast data Develop comprehensive transmission plan to address identified needs through 2020 Study Goals

5 Oil and gas industry to provide latest load forecast data to TDSPs and ERCOT by November 28 TDSPs to provide model updates (idevs) to ERCOT by December 12 Load Forecast Data

6 Assumptions: –Use final WFW reliability cases from 2014 RTP for years 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2020 Economic analysis will use 2017 and 2020 economic cases from 2014 RTP –Update load forecast data for West and Far West –Update generation per latest information –All other assumptions consistent with RTP Analysis –Steady state reliability (N-1, G-1+N-1, X-1+N-1) –Economic (N-1) –Additional sensitivities? - TBD Study Approach

7 Cases and results will be posted on MIS Updates given at RPG meetings Final report with project recommendations Deliverables

8