1 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation’s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends through 2040 based upon.

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Presentation transcript:

1 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation’s internal estimates and forecasts of energy demand, supply, and trends through 2040 based upon internal data and analyses as well as publicly available information from external sources including the International Energy Agency. Work on the report was conducted throughout This presentation includes forward looking statements. Actual future conditions and results (including energy demand, energy supply, the relative mix of energy across sources, economic sectors and geographic regions, imports and exports of energy) could differ materially due to changes in economic conditions, technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein and under the heading “Factors Affecting Future Results” in the Investors section of our website at This material is not to be used or reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved. The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 Glenn Waller April 19, 2016

2 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy Global Trends Continue to Evolve GDP Population Demand Carbon Emissions Percent Growth from 2014 Level

3 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy Global Demand 2040 By Fuel Quadrillion BTUs Average Growth / Yr Average Growth / Yr % % 1.6% 2.9% 0.3% 4.8% 1.3% -0.2%

4 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy Conventional Crude & Condensate Liquids Supply MBDOE World Supply by Type Trillion Barrels Crude & Condensate Resource Estimates Biofuels Other Tight Oil Oil Sands Natural Gas Liquids Deepwater Developed Conventional Crude & Condensate New Conventional C&C Development Source: USGS and IEA historical estimates

5 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy Liquids Trade Balance by Region North America Latin America EuropeRussia/ Caspian AfricaMiddle East Asia Pacific MBDOE Natural Gas Liquids Other Tight Oil Oil Sands Deepwater Conventional Crude & Condensate Demand ‘10‘30‘40‘20

6 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy Gas Trade Balance by Region North America Latin America EuropeRussia/ Caspian AfricaMiddle East Asia Pacific BCFD ‘10‘30‘40‘20 Demand Unconventional Production Conventional Production

7 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy By Region and Supply Type Gas Demand BCFD LNG Imports Pipeline Imports Local Unconventional Production Local Conventional Production ‘10 ‘40 ‘25

8 ExxonMobil 2016 Outlook for Energy Energy Use Evolves Over Time Biomass Coal Oil Gas Hydro Nuclear Other Renewables Quadrillion BTUs Demand by Fuel