Malé Declaration IIAS Integrated Information and Assessment System Training Session, February 2007 Pwint: programming the system Johan Kuylenstierna: structure.

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Malé Declaration IIAS Integrated Information and Assessment System Training Session, February 2007 Pwint: programming the system Johan Kuylenstierna: structure of the system/ impacts Magnuz Engardt: atmospheric transport modelling Harry Vallack: emissions Philip Peck: scenarios and policy options

Malé Declaration IIAS Integrated Information and Assessment System Aims of the IIAS - A way to integrate the different Male Declaration activities and data and provide additional information - A tool to investigate the linkages between emissions, concentrations and deposition of major pollutants and compare to monitoring values - A tool to look at the risks of the regional background air pollution to different receptors - A tool to investigate the implications of scenarios including different policy interventions

Emission inventory Pollutant Emissions Atmospheric transport Pollutant deposition or concentration Monitoring Impacts on health, crops, materials and ecosystems Driving forces and scenarios Policies for pollutant prevention and control Scientific knowledge to underpin the policy process INTEGRATED INFORMATION AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

EDGAR emissions of sulphur in S Asia

Emission Regions in IIAS

Emission inventory Pollutant Emissions Atmospheric transport Pollutant deposition or concentration Monitoring Impacts on health, crops, materials and ecosystems Driving forces and scenarios Policies for pollutant prevention and control Scientific knowledge to underpin the policy process INTEGRATED INFORMATION AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

MATCH model run for emission region ‘India south-central’ (Andhra Pradesh + Karnataka + Goa)

Deposition of sulphur in S Asia using the MATCH model

Emission inventory Pollutant Emissions Atmospheric transport Pollutant deposition or concentration Monitoring Impacts on health, crops, materials and ecosystems Driving forces and scenarios Policies for pollutant prevention and control Scientific knowledge to underpin the policy process INTEGRATED INFORMATION AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM

Terrestrial Ecosystem Sensitivity to Acidic Deposition in South Asia Source: Kuylenstierna et al. 2001

EDGAR emissions by region MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI) Ecosystem sensitivity (SEI) Risk areas S, N Deposition (by grid) PHASE I: determining risk from available maps Base Cation Deposition (by grid)

Estimated Risk of acidification

EDGAR emissions by region RegionEmission%changeNew emission Country 1 x+201.2x Country 2 y+301.3y ………………. MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI) Transfer coefficient (region-to-grid) Ecosystem sensitivity (SEI) Risk areas New Deposition S, N Deposition (by grid) PHASE I: Investigating simple scenarios Simple Scenario

Emission workbook Emission Manual Ecosystem sensitivity (nat.) Risk areas Emission inventory Prevention Controloptions Policy instruments Energy, transport and industry scenarios Emissions by 1 o x1 o grid New Deposition Transfer coefficient (region-to-grid) S, N Deposition (by grid) MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI/ UNEP etc.) PHASE II: Investigating national scenarios

Emission workbook Emission Manual Ecosystem sensitivity (nat.) Risk areas Simple Scenario Emission inventory Prevention Controloptions Policy instruments Energy, transport and industry scenarios Emissions by 1 o x1 o grid New Deposition Transfer coefficient (region-to-grid) S, N Deposition (by grid) MATCH atmospheric transport model (at SMHI/ UNEP etc.) Health impacts OzonePM 2.5 Crop yield losses PHASE III: Other pollutants and impacts