Relative Profit Margins and the Allocation of Hospital Outpatient and Inpatient Services John F. Scoggins, PhD Diane P. Martin, PhD University of Washington.

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Presentation transcript:

Relative Profit Margins and the Allocation of Hospital Outpatient and Inpatient Services John F. Scoggins, PhD Diane P. Martin, PhD University of Washington School of Public Health and Community Medicine Department of Health Services APHA Annual Meeting 2007

Background

The cost of providing outpatient care is less than the cost of providing inpatient care for procedures that can be performed in either setting.

Background The cost of providing outpatient care is less than the cost of providing inpatient care for procedures that can be performed in either setting. Offering a higher net income for inpatient care might induce hospitals to admit more patients than necessary and increase the total cost of care.

Research Questions

Do any payer-types pay higher net incomes for inpatient care?

Research Questions Do any payer-types pay higher net incomes for inpatient care? Do hospitals assign treatment setting based on net income?

The Relative PCR Test

Definitions

The Relative PCR Test Definitions –PCR: payment-to-charge ratio

The Relative PCR Test Definitions –PCR: payment-to-charge ratio –CCR: cost-to-charge ratio

The Relative PCR Test Definitions –PCR: payment-to-charge ratio –CCR: cost-to-charge ratio –Net Income: payment - cost

The Relative PCR Test If Cost IP > Cost OP

The Relative PCR Test If Cost IP > Cost OP CCR IP = CCR OP

The Relative PCR Test If Cost IP > Cost OP CCR IP = CCR OP Net Income IP ≤ Net Income OP

The Relative PCR Test If Cost IP > Cost OP CCR IP = CCR OP Net Income IP ≤ Net Income OP then PCR IP < PCR OP

Illustrative Example

A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400 D.Net Income IP = Net Income OP = $100

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400 D.Net Income IP = Net Income OP = $100 E.Payment IP = $100 + $1,000 = $1,100

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400 D.Net Income IP = Net Income OP = $100 E.Payment IP = $100 + $1,000 = $1,100 F.Payment OP = $100 + $200 = $300

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400 D.Net Income IP = Net Income OP = $100 E.Payment IP = $100 + $1,000 = $1,100 F.Payment OP = $100 + $200 = $300 G.PCR IP = $1,100 ÷ $2,000 = 0.55

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400 D.Net Income IP = Net Income OP = $100 E.Payment IP = $100 + $1,000 = $1,100 F.Payment OP = $100 + $200 = $300 G.PCR IP = $1,100 ÷ $2,000 = 0.55 H.PCR OP = $300 ÷ $400 = 0.75

Illustrative Example A.CCR OP = CCR IP = 0.5 B.Cost IP = $1,000 & Charges IP = $2,000 C.Cost OP = $200 & Charges OP = $400 D.Net Income IP = Net Income OP = $100 E.Payment IP = $100 + $1,000 = $1,100 F.Payment OP = $100 + $200 = $300 G.PCR IP = $1,100 ÷ $2,000 = 0.55 H.PCR OP = $300 ÷ $400 = 0.75 I.PCR IP < PCR OP

Do Any Payer-types Pay Higher Net Incomes for Inpatient Care?

Florida Agency for Health Care Administration collected financial reports from acute care hospitals from 2003 to 2005

Do Any Payer-types Pay Higher Net Incomes for Inpatient Care? Florida Agency for Health Care Administration collected financial reports from acute care hospitals from 2003 to hospitals reported both payments and charges for inpatients and outpatients separately for seven types of payers

P =.006P =.035

P =.006P =.035P <.001P =.021

P =.006P =.035P <.001P =.021P <.001P =.037P <.001

Do Hospitals Assign Treatment Setting Based on Net Income?

Direct comparisons of inpatient/outpatient percentages by payer-type for one time period aren’t persuasive

Do Hospitals Assign Treatment Setting Based on Net Income? Direct comparisons of inpatient/outpatient percentages by payer-type for one time period aren’t persuasive Surgery setting can be associated with the health of the patient or other unobserved confounders

Do Hospitals Assign Treatment Setting Based on Net Income? Direct comparisons of inpatient/outpatient percentages by payer-type for one time period aren’t persuasive Surgery setting can be associated with the health of the patient or other unobserved confounders Need to compare changes in PCRs and surgery settings over time

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment

Inpatient and outpatient data from 1998 and 2003 from Florida hospitals

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Inpatient and outpatient data from 1998 and 2003 from Florida hospitals Only WC and Medicare patients

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Inpatient and outpatient data from 1998 and 2003 from Florida hospitals Only WC and Medicare patients Hospital length of stay = 1 day

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Inpatient and outpatient data from 1998 and 2003 from Florida hospitals Only WC and Medicare patients Hospital length of stay = 1 day Dependent variable: 1 if outpatient, 0 if inpatient

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Inpatient and outpatient data from 1998 and 2003 from Florida hospitals Only WC and Medicare patients Hospital length of stay = 1 day Dependent variable: 1 if outpatient, 0 if inpatient Adjustment variables: WC, Y2003, Age, Race and Sex

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Predictor of interest: Y2003 × WC

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Predictor of interest: Y2003 × WC Hypothesis: Odds Ratio > 1.0

Logistic Regression Models of Treatment Setting Assignment Predictor of interest: Y2003 × WC Hypothesis: Odds Ratio > 1.0 In other words, I hypothesize that the proportion of WC outpatients to inpatients increased from 1998 to 2003 relative to the proportion of Medicare patients.

Diagnosis Selection Criteria

Workers Compensation pays for far fewer patients than does Medicare

Diagnosis Selection Criteria Workers Compensation pays for far fewer patients than does Medicare Some procedures are never performed on hospital outpatients

Diagnosis Selection Criteria Workers Compensation pays for far fewer patients than does Medicare Some procedures are never performed on hospital outpatients Inpatient data have ICD-9 procedure codes

Diagnosis Selection Criteria Workers Compensation pays for far fewer patients than does Medicare Some procedures are never performed on hospital outpatients Inpatient data have ICD-9 procedure codes Outpatient data have CPT procedure codes

Diagnosis Selection Criteria Both inpatient and outpatient data have a ICD-9 primary diagnostic code

Diagnosis Selection Criteria Both inpatient and outpatient data have a ICD-9 primary diagnostic code The four most frequently occurring outpatient primary diagnostic codes for WC patients were for spinal injuries: 722.0, , ,

Conclusions

Privately-managed payers calibrate their payments so that hospitals might have an incentive to provide outpatient services.

Conclusions Privately-managed payers calibrate their payments so that hospitals might have an incentive to provide outpatient services. The Medicare and Florida Medicaid payment systems do not follow this strategy.

Policy Recommendation

By increasing outpatient payment rates, Medicaid in Florida and Medicare could decrease the overall costs of care.