Millennial Dialogue 2016 Fondazione di Ricerca Istituto Cattaneo for Fondazione EYU May-June 2016.

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Presentation transcript:

Millennial Dialogue 2016 Fondazione di Ricerca Istituto Cattaneo for Fondazione EYU May-June 2016

Prefatory note Our Foundation has been appointed by EYU Foundation to conduct in Italy the Millennial Dialogue research. The survey sample has been carried out using CAWI methodology. Replies were received on May The gender parity (50% male and 50% female), as required, has been complied.

Methodological premise on response analysis In order to allow a easier reading and interpretation, all the questions were analysed displaying the frequency percentage distribution. Unless noted otherwise the basis of calculation is the total amount of respondents (1,000). If the question was dedicated to a set of interviewees, in the concerning slide we reported the amount and the category of the set of interviewees. We chose to display the frequency percentage distribution calculated on the total amount of respondents of the question (not on the total amount of responses), for multiple choice questions too. For the open-ended response analysis we built, for each one of those, a specific classification of the responses and then we calculated the respective frequency distribution. Any response could be assigned to a different response terms, therefore the frequency distribution must be interpreted as if the open-ended question was a multiple choice question.

The gender parity, as required, has been complied. The interviewees are almost equally divided between the 3 age groups over 20 (the age group is composed only by 18 and 19 year-old).

The territorial distribution of interviewees substantially reflect the territorial distribution of the Italian population. Basilicata, FVG, Molise, Puglia, and Sardegna are slightly over-represented whereas Calabria, ER and Marche are lightly under-represented. Abruzzo1,8% Basilicata1,5% Calabria2,0% Campania9,7% Emilia Romagna4,8% Friuli Venezia Giulia4,5% Lazio10,2% Liguria2,8% Lombardia16,3% Marche1,5% Molise1,1% Piemonte6,1% Puglia8,7% Sardegna4,0% Sicilia7,8% Toscana5,9% Trentino Alto Adige0,7% Umbria1,2% Valle d'Aosta0,0% Veneto9,4% 0% 16%

Over 50% of the interviewees live with parents (or guardians). 27% live with partner (with or without children). 10% live on their own. 14% have children.

The gross annual income fall (household or not) is mainly low, on the basis of the classification set up in advance.

The average living relatives focus on aunts/uncles. Almost all the interviewees have both living parents.

The level of education is high: 50% have a level over the secondary school and 46% a secondary school-leaving certificate. Only 5% have lower level of education.

Job, film, music and new technology are the most interesting items. Almost 60% of interviewees are interested in politics (very or fairly). No one themes is very interesting for over 50% of interviewees. Rating (*) 3,3 3,2 3,0 3,1 3,0 2,9 2,8 2,7 2,6 2,5 2,4 2,2 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

75% of interviewees feel happy right now (very or fairly). Looking to the future the expectation is decreasing: 56% are positive/optimistic (very or fairly).

Parents are the bigger influencer, followed at a distance by friends, brothers/sisters and school/university. Religion is the least influencer. (*) Average ranking (range 1-7) calculated by assigning: position 1 (7), position 2 (6), position 3 (5), position 4 (4), position 5 (3, position 6 (2), position 7 (1)

Rating (*) 3,7 3,5 3,4 3,3 3,2 3,3 3,2 3,1 2,8 2,7 2,2 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

Items which are important (very or fairly) for over 90% of the interviewees.

Rating (*) 3,4 3,2 3,1 3,0 2,9 2,8 2,9 2,8 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

Items which have great effect on future and quality of life (very or fairly) for over 80% of the interviewees.

The only activity that involves more than half of the interviewees is “meetings with people who share the same hobby or interest”. All the others involve less than one third. One fifth take part in debates or political meetings.

M5S, PD, Lega Nord and Forza Italia are well-known by over 90% of interviewees. Anyway, all the other parties, with the exception of ALA (well-known only by 26%), are well- known by more than 70%.

Most of the politicians are well-known by over 80% of interviewees. Only exceptions are Luigi Di Maio (well-known by 70%) and Denis Verdini (38%). Reporting that 3% of interviewees are not aware of none of the politicians listed.

Young people show a strong disaffection towards politics: 71% think that their generation is less interested in politics compared to previous generations.

Those who think that their generation is more interested in politics, justify this statement with the greater information and the existence of contingent circumstances with a big impact on young people. Note: we show only the reasons indicate by at lest 2% of the question’s respondents

The persistence of problems keeps alive the interest in politics. Note: we show only the reasons indicate by at lest 2% of the question’s respondents

The main reasons of the disaffection towards politics are: on the one hand the mistrusting and the disillusionment to politicians and institutions in general, on the other hand the existence of more distractions such as internet and social media and the superficiality and indifference of young people. Note: we show only the reasons indicate by at lest 3% of the question’s respondents

In spite of the previous reasons, 81% of interviewees would vote if there was an election tomorrow.

The main reasons of to go out and vote is the civic-mindedness. Other relevant reasons are the will to express their own views, the will to participate actively and the will to change things. Note: we show only the reasons indicate by at lest 1% of the question’s respondents

The main party is M5S, followed by the «party of the uncertain» (19%) and by PD (17%). All the other parties obtain less then 10%. (*) Possibile (0,7%), Radicali Italiani (0,6%), Sinistra Italiana (0,5%), Casapound e Forza Nuova (0,1%), Spoilt ballot paper (0,6%), Blank ballot paper (0,4%), Other not specified (0,5%)

The lack of voter participation is explained by political mistrusting and by the lack of parties that represents their views.

Consequently, the increase of trust is the statement that might make interviewees more interested in voting. 18% tell that none of the statement listed might make more interested in voting.

Rating (*) 2,4 2,3 2,2 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,6 1,5 (*) Average rating (range 1-3) calculated by assigning: a great deal (3), to some extent (2), not at all (1)

Half of interviewees generally don’t trust politicians at all. Only 8% generally trust what politicians say.

Rating (*) 3,6 3,7 3,6 3,5 3,4 3,5 3,4 3,2 3,0 2,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,6 2,2 2,0 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,7 1,6 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,6 2,2 2,0 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,7 1,6 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,4 2,3 2,2 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,8 1,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,4 2,3 2,1 2,0 1,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,3 2,0 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,6 1,5 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,9 2,8 2,7 2,6 2,7 2,6 2,5 2,4 1,8 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,6 2,3 2,2 2,1 2,0 1,9 2,0 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,7 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,7 1,6 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,9 2,7 2,5 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,8 1,7 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,3 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,8 1,7 1,8 1,7 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,6 1,9 2,0 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,6 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,4 2,3 2,2 2,1 2,0 1,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,1 1,9 1,8 1,7 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 3,0 2,5 2,2 2,1 1,9 2,0 1,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Rating (*) 2,6 2,5 2,4 2,3 2,1 2,0 2,1 2,0 1,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: possess a great deal (4), possess to some extent (3), not possess much (2), not possess at all (1)

Focus on political parties In the following slides we re-set up graphs using each party as discriminating factor to obtain an overall sight for each party.

Almost half of interviewees believe that very few politicians encourage young people to get involved in politics.

75% of interviewees believe that actual political parties damage the country (a great deal or to some extent).

(*) Possibile, Radicali Italiani (0,3%), Forza Nuova (0,1%), All/Each one in its own way (0,2%)

(*) Radicali Italiani (0,2%), Possibile, Sinistra Italiana, Forza Nuova (0,1%), All/Each one in its own way (0,2%)

(*) Possibile (0,3%), Radicali Italiani (0,2%), Forza Nuova (0,1%), All/Each one in its own way (0,2%)

(*) Possibile (0,4%), Radicali Italiani (0,2%), Sinistra Italiana, Forza Nuova, Casapound (0,1%), All/Each one in its own way (0,2%)

(*) All/Most of them(1,2%), Forza Nuova (0,1%)

The evaluation of popularity shows only 3 political parties with a positive result. Rating (*) 3,0 2,8 2,7 2,5 2,3 2,1 2,0 1,8 2,0 1,9 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

The evaluation of popularity shows 4 politicians with a positive result. Rating (*) 2,9 2,6 2,5 2,4 2,0 2,1 1,8 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

Luigi di Maio is the mainly esteemed politician, with 7 percentage point more than Matteo Renzi. Reporting that 32% of interviewees dislike all politicians listed or all politicians at all. (*) Alessandro Di Battista (1,3%), Giusepe Civati (0,5%), Beppe Grillo (0,2%), Anna Finocchiaro, Angelo Bonelli, Roberto Fiore, Michele Emiliano, Marco Cappato, Nicola Fratoianni, Emma Bonino, Walter Tocci, Patrizio Cinque, Enrico Letta, Enrico Zanetti, Nicola Zingaretti, Arvind Kejriwal (0,1%)

Interviewees think that they’re not completely able to make their views heard.

New media (first of all social networks, then YouTube) and mass media (TV and radio) are more useful than other. Rating (*) 3,1 3,0 2,9 2,8 2,7 2,6 2,4 1,9 1,7 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: extremely useful (4), fairly useful (3), fairly useless (2), extremely useless (1)

In spite of the partial mistrusting in politics, 37% of interviewees would prefer a well-known politician to lead a campaign. However 31% would prefer a young who is unknown but comes across really well.

The best call to action is focused on civic-mindedness.

Almost 80% of interviewees believe that the views of younger people are ignored by politicians and more then half of them believe that politicians want to control and restrict young people. Rating (*) 4,0 3,6 3,3 2,7 2,5 2,7 (*) Average rating (range 1-5) calculated by assigning: strongly agree (5), agree (4), neither agree nor disagree (3), disagree (2), strongly disagree (1)

More than 75% of interviewees believe that all the statements (except for «Building and maintaining a strong military force») are main important (great or some extent). Rating (*) 3,6 3,5 3,3 3,2 3,4 3,1 3,0 3,1 2,5 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: great extent (4), some extent (3), small extent (2), not at all (1)

In general, between 37% and 50% of interviewees believe that politicians do little or nothing to deliver the scope listed. The statement that interviewees believe more delivered, it’s the less essential in the previous question. Rating (*) 2,5 2,3 2,2 2,3 2,2 2,1 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: great extent (4), some extent (3), small extent (2), not at all (1)

In order of priority, job creation, education, healthcare poverty, state pensions and environment, food, rural affairs are key items for young people. Rating (*) 4,5 4,3 4,1 4,0 3,9 3,8 3,9 3,8 3,6 3,4 3,3 (*) Average rating (range 1-5) calculated by assigning: very high (5), high (4), medium (3), low (2), very low (1)

Multiculturalism seems strongly accepted from young people. Rating (*) 4,3 4,2 4,1 (*) Average rating (range 1-5) calculated by assigning: strongly agree (5), agree (4), neither agree nor disagree (3), disagree (2), strongly disagree (1)

All the institutions are well-known, except Metropolitan City.

State institution have a more relevant role than others. Rating (*) 3,2 3,0 2,9 2,8 2,5 2,6 2,3 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

In terms of representation, the closest institution – Municipality – is better identified.

In perspective, business owner, sportsman/sportswoman, doctor and academic are the most aspirational figures. Only 6% would rather be a politician.

Interviewees consider themselves lightly more introvert than extrovert. Average 5,3 Mode 6 Coefficient of variation % 49%

Interviewees consider themselves innovators than creature of habit. Average 5,6 Mode 5 Coefficient of variation % 43%

Interviewees consider themselves more trend searcher then their friends. Average 4,1 Mode 5 Coefficient of variation % 62%

Interviewees consider themselves good in giving opinion. Average 4,1 Mode 3 Coefficient of variation % 62%

To encourage young people to vote would be necessary to innovate vote process and modality. Rating (*) 2,9 2,7 2,3 (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

Eighteen years seems to be the frontier to maintain.

83% of interviewees voted in the last election. Comparing this percentage with the intention of vote emerge a substantial stability (81% would vote).

Two parties cumulate 51% of the votes at the last election. Noting that 22,5% is not prepared to say which parties have voted. (*) Spoilt ballot paper (0,8%), Rivoluzione Civile (0,5%), Fare per fermare il Declino, It’s a referendum, I can’t remember (0,2%), Blank ballot paper, Forza Nuova, L’Altra Europa con Tsipras (0,1%)

Between those who didn’t vote, about 50% declare reasons concerned to the political disaffection.

The compulsory nature of voting is not a preconceived dogma.

Gender parity is a fully accepted topic.

Rating (*) 4,4 4,3 4,0 3,7 More than half of interviewees agree with all the statements below. In particular, 80% believe that Italy invests less in the future of young people and that Italy experiences more corruption among authorities. (*) Average rating (range 1-5) calculated by assigning: strongly agree (5), agree (4), neither agree nor disagree (3), disagree (2), strongly disagree (1)

Rating (*) 3,6 3,5 3,4 3,2 2,9 The main causes of the damage of the future for young people are, in order of importance, state of the economy, corruption, lacking education and widespread crime. (*) Average rating (range 1-4) calculated by assigning: very (4), fairly (3), little (2), not at all (1)

The sentiment toward Italian situation is not positive, not even about future.

The level of social inclusion don’t seems evaluate especially positive. Average 48 Mode 50 Coefficient of variation % 60%