The Challenge & Opportunity of Private Sector Climate Resilience Panel 5: A Strategic View of Private Climate Resilience 26 May 2016 Dale Sands

22 –Challenges are real globally and locally Urbanization Mega losses Increasing frequency of events –Activity in Programs Increasing UNISDR Making My City Resilient Campaign:3,131 Cities CDP (2015): 314 Cities 100RC 100 Cities Businesses are aware / taking action –Market is evolving quickly Early stages: Planning Moving towards design/build Recovery actions ongoing Introduction

33 Economically Feasible, Technically Possible, Politically Viable…. Business Challenges in Climate Adaptation Sources: Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Munich Re

4 Five Global Risks in Terms of Impact

5 The Five Global Risks in Terms of Likelihood

6 Trend in Natural Disasters: Source: Munich Re NatCatSERVICE

77 –Over 90% of worlds largest 100 companies see extreme weather and other climate impacts as business risks –A High Percentage of Losses globally are uninsured…hence cost falls to private sector or public sector. The Private Sector Is Aware of the Risks Sources: Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Munich Re

88 The Rockefeller Foundation define urban resilience as: “The capacity of individuals, communities, institutions, businesses and systems within a city to survive, adapt, and grow no matter what kinds of chronic stresses and acute shocks they experience” Acute Shocks: Earthquakes, floods, disease outbreaks, terrorist attacks Chronic Stresses: High unemployment, chronic food & water shortages, endemic violence, inefficient public transportation systems Resilience Definition Resilience

99 –100 RC is dedicated to helping cities around the world become more resilient to the physical, social and economic challenges that are a growing part of the 21st century. –Planning for Potential Shocks and Chronic Stresses: Fires, Floods, Earthquakes, Hurricanes, Etc. Water shortage, Crime, Violence, Economic issues, Transportation –Provides Four Kinds of Support: Support to hire, empower Chief Resilience Officer CRO to develop Resilience plan networking across City o Identify Priority Areas o Conduct Analysis to Understand Risks, Opportunities o Develop Actionable Priorities and Initiatives Access to platform of services to support implementation Connection to other network members 100 Resilient Cities, Pioneered by Rockefeller Foundation

10 –100 RC had three waves of City Announcements: 12/2/2013 to announce 33 Cities 12/2/2014 to announce 30 Cities 5/25/2016 to announce 37 Cities –A total of 12 Central- and South- America Cities selected: Round 1:Round 2: o Medellin, ColombiaCali, Columbia o Rio de Janeiro, BrazilSanta Fe, Argentina o Quito, EcuadorSantiago Metro Region, Chile o Porto Alegre, BrazilSantago de las Caballeros, DR Round 3: o Buenos Aires, ArgentinaSalvador, Brazil o Montevideo, UruguayPanama City, Panama 100 Resilient Cities, Pioneered by Rockefeller Foundation

11 –Upgrade wastewater treatment infrastructure to protect against climate change and improve services –Comprehensive vulnerability/risk assessment performed Inventory assets within seal level rise vulnerability zone GIS Archival data assembled, reviewed, updated, gaps filled Assets inventoried on condition, age, materials, history –Involves several City departments and agencies –Produce updated Climate Adaptation Plan to: Inform design / operational strategies Consider sea level rise vulnerability/risks for individual assets Manage climate-related risks Identify trigger points for implementing adaptation strategies to increase likelihood of consistent level of service AECOM Project: San Francisco Public Utilities Commission (Multi B/20 yr)

12 –Nearly 85% of Australia live and work in the coastal environment –Define risks to assets as a result of climate change such as sea level rise, flooding, storm surge, coastal erosion –Conducted Assessments for 38 Facilities to prioritize risk over three time frames: 2040, 2070 and 2100 –Developed detailed risk assessments for 14 locations that included site inspections, stake holder engagement to develop adaptive planning validated by modeling of coastal erosion and flooding from storm surge, extreme rainfall AECOM Project: Australia’s Department of Defence

13 –Adapting to Climate Change Application (ACCA) Tool Identify most likely potential, future risks/impacts from climate change Estimates likelihood, severity of each impact with structured risk/probability assessment Facilitates selection of optimal, cost-effective adaptations Applicable to Buildings, Transportation, Water, Energy –Sustainable Systems Integration Model (SSIM™) Holistic approach to measure sustainability: Social, Economic, Environment Measures costs/benefits of planning strategies –Disaster Risk Reduction Scorecard Issued to public domain in 2014 by UN ISDR Based upon Ten Essentials for DRR; populated with 100 KPI’s Applied to Cities in Americas, Asia and EMEA AECOM Project: Climate Tools Created

14 © 2015 IBM Corporation 14 Chile Scorecard Application

15 –Disaster Risk Reduction is a priority with the number/intensity of natural disasters. –Improving resilience in a community is a journey over many years but most important actions can begin immediately with every capital investment. –The process of bringing public and private sector members together fosters collaboration and cooperation to improve resilience across the community. –Resilience plans must be technically possible, economically feasible, politically acceptable and emotionally motivational. –Get involved – be active to make a positive contribution to improve your local community resilience! Summary

Thank You! Dale Sands

17 Reduce Substantially Reduce –Global disaster mortality –Numbers of affected people –Economic losses in relation to global GDP –Disaster damage to critical infrastructure & disruption of basic services Sendai Framework For Disaster Risk Reduction: Substantially Increase –Number of countries with national & local DRR strategies by 2020 –International Cooperation to developing countries –Access to multi-hazard early warning systems and disaster risk information and assessments