Time Value of Money Chapter 5  Future Value  Present Value  Annuities  Rates of Return  Amortization.

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Presentation transcript:

Time Value of Money Chapter 5  Future Value  Present Value  Annuities  Rates of Return  Amortization

Time Value of Money A dollar received today is worth more than a dollar received a year from now because you can put it in the bank today and have more than a dollar a year from now.

3 Time Value Adjustment Two most common methods of adjusting cash flows for time value of money:  Compounding—the process of calculating future values of present cash flows and  Discounting—the process of calculating present values of future cash flows.

4 Present Value  Present value of a future cash flow (inflow or outflow) is the amount of current cash that is of equivalent value to the decision-maker.  Discounting is the process of determining present value of a series of future cash flows.  The interest rate used for discounting cash flows is also called the discount rate.

5 Future Value  Compounding is the process of finding the future values of cash flows by applying the concept of compound interest.  Compound interest is the interest that is received on the original amount (principal) as well as on any interest earned but not withdrawn during earlier periods.  Simple interest is the interest that is calculated only on the original amount (principal), and thus, no compounding of interest takes place.

Computation of Present Value Present Value Future Value An investment can be viewed in two ways—its future value or its present value. Let’s look at a situation where the future value is known and the present value is the unknown.

Time Lines  Show the timing of cash flows.  Tick marks occur at the end of periods, so Time 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of the first period (year, month, etc.) or the beginning of the second period. CF 0 CF 1 CF 3 CF I% masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Drawing Time Lines I% 3 year $100 ordinary annuity I% $100 lump sum due in 2 years masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Drawing Time Lines I% -50 Uneven cash flow stream masum, bangladesh university of textiles

What is the future value (FV) of an initial $100 after 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?  Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of cash flows is called compounding.  FV can be solved by using the step-by-step, financial calculator, and spreadsheet methods. FV = ? % 100 masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for FV: The Step-by-Step and Formula Methods  After 1 year: FV 1 = PV(1 + I) = $100(1.10) = $  After 2 years: FV 2 = PV(1 + I) 2 = $100(1.10) 2 = $  After 3 years: FV 3 = PV(1 + I) 3 = $100(1.10) 3 = $  After N years (general case): FV N = PV(1 + I) N masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for FV: The Calculator Method  Solves the general FV equation.  Requires 4 inputs into calculator, and will solve for the fifth. (Set to P/YR = 1 and END mode.) Excel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Table

5-14

What is the present value (PV) of $100 due in 3 years, if I/YR = 10%?  Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of cash flows is called discounting (the reverse of compounding).  The PV shows the value of cash flows in terms of today’s purchasing power. PV = ? % masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for PV: The Formula Method  Solve the general FV equation for PV: PV= FV N /(1 + I) N PV= FV 3 /(1 + I) 3 = $100/(1.10) 3 = $75.13 masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for PV: The Calculator Method  Solves the general FV equation for PV.  Exactly like solving for FV, except we have different input information and are solving for a different variable. Excel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Table

5-19

Solving for I: What interest rate would cause $100 to grow to $ in 3 years?  Solves the general FV equation for I.  Hard to solve without a financial calculator or spreadsheet. Excel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for N: If sales grow at 20% per year, how long before sales double?  Solves the general FV equation for N.  Hard to solve without a financial calculator or spreadsheet. Excel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Annuity $100$100$100$100$100$100 annuity An investment that involves a series of identical cash flows at the end of each year is called an annuity.

23 Annuity Due Annuity due is a series of fixed receipts or payments starting at the beginning of each period for a specified number of periods.

What is the difference between an ordinary annuity and an annuity due? Ordinary Annuity PMT 0123 I% PMT 0123 I% PMT Annuity Due masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for FV: 3-Year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%  $100 payments occur at the end of each period, but there is no PV. Excel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for PV: 3-year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%  $100 payments still occur at the end of each period, but now there is no FV. INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

5-27

Solving for FV: 3-Year Annuity Due of $100 at 10%  Now, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period. FVA due = FVA ord (1 + I) = $331(1.10) = $  Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode and solve for the FV of the annuity: ExcelExcel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV BEGIN masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for PV: 3-Year Annuity Due of $100 at 10%  Again, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each period. PVA due = PVA ord (1 + I) = $248.69(1.10) = $  Alternatively, set calculator to “BEGIN” mode and solve for the PV of the annuity: ExcelExcel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV BEGIN masum, bangladesh university of textiles

What is the present value of a 5-year $100 ordinary annuity at 10%?  Be sure your financial calculator is set back to END mode and solve for PV:  N = 5, I/YR = 10, PMT = -100, FV = 0.  PV = $ masum, bangladesh university of textiles

What if it were a 10-year annuity? A 25- year annuity? A perpetuity?  10-year annuity  N = 10, I/YR = 10, PMT = -100, FV = 0; solve for PV = $  25-year annuity  N = 25, I/YR = 10, PMT = -100, FV = 0; solve for PV = $  Perpetuity  PV = PMT/I = $100/0.1 = $1,000. masum, bangladesh university of textiles

The Power of Compound Interest A 20-year-old student wants to save $3 a day for her retirement. Every day she places $3 in a drawer. At the end of the year, she invests the accumulated savings ($1,095) in a brokerage account with an expected annual return of 12%. How much money will she have when she is 65 years old? masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for FV: If she begins saving today, how much will she have when she is 65? If she sticks to her plan, she will have $1,487, when she is 65. INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV ,487,262 0 masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for FV: If you don’t start saving until you are 40 years old, how much will you have at 65?  If a 40-year-old investor begins saving today, and sticks to the plan, he or she will have $146, at age 65. This is $1.3 million less than if starting at age 20.  Lesson: It pays to start saving early. INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV ,001 0 masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for PMT: How much must the 40-year old deposit annually to catch the 20-year old?  To find the required annual contribution, enter the number of years until retirement and the final goal of $1,487,261.89, and solve for PMT. Excel INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV , ,487,2620 masum, bangladesh university of textiles

What is the PV of this uneven cash flow stream? % = PV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Solving for PV: Uneven Cash Flow Stream  Input cash flows in the calculator’s “CFLO” register:  CF 0 = 0  CF 1 = 100  CF 2 = 300ExcelExcel  CF 3 = 300  CF 4 = -50  Enter I/YR = 10, press NPV button to get NPV = $ (Here NPV = PV.) masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Figure

Figure

Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or smaller if compounded more often, holding the stated I% constant?  LARGER, as the more frequently compounding occurs, interest is earned on interest more often. Annually: FV 3 = $100(1.10) 3 = $ % Semiannually: FV 6 = $100(1.05) 6 = $ % masum, bangladesh university of textiles Excel

Why is it important to consider effective rates of return?  Investments with different compounding intervals provide different effective returns.  To compare investments with different compounding intervals, you must look at their effective returns (EFF% or EAR). masum, bangladesh university of textiles Excel

Why is it important to consider effective rates of return?  See how the effective return varies between investments with the same nominal rate, but different compounding intervals. EAR ANNUAL 10.00% EAR QUARTERLY 10.38% EAR MONTHLY 10.47% EAR DAILY (365) 10.52% Excel masum, bangladesh university of textiles

What is the FV of $100 after 3 years under 10% semiannual compounding? Quarterly compounding? masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Can the effective rate ever be equal to the nominal rate?  Yes, but only if annual compounding is used, i.e., if M = 1.  If M > 1, EFF% will always be greater than the nominal rate. masum, bangladesh university of textiles

What’s the FV of a 3-year $100 annuity, if the quoted interest rate is 10%, compounded semiannually?  Payments occur annually, but compounding occurs every 6 months.  Cannot use normal annuity valuation techniques % masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Method 1: Compound Each Cash Flow FV 3 = $100(1.05) 4 + $100(1.05) 2 + $100 FV 3 = $ % masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Method 2: Financial Calculator  Find the EAR and treat as an annuity.  EAR = ( /2) 2 – 1 = 10.25%. INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Loan Amortization  Amortization tables are widely used for home mortgages, auto loans, business loans, retirement plans, etc.  Financial calculators and spreadsheets are great for setting up amortization tables.  EXAMPLE: Construct an amortization schedule for a $1,000, 10% annual rate loan with 3 equal payments. masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Step 1: Find the Required Annual Payment  All input information is already given, just remember that the FV = 0 because the reason for amortizing the loan and making payments is to retire the loan. INPUTS OUTPUT NI/YRPMTPVFV masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Step 2: Find the Interest Paid in Year 1  The borrower will owe interest upon the initial balance at the end of the first year. Interest to be paid in the first year can be found by multiplying the beginning balance by the interest rate. INT t = Beg bal t (I) INT 1 = $1,000(0.10) = $100 masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Step 3: Find the Principal Repaid in Year 1  If a payment of $ was made at the end of the first year and $100 was paid toward interest, the remaining value must represent the amount of principal repaid. PRIN= PMT – INT = $ – $100 = $ masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Step 4: Find the Ending Balance after Year 1  To find the balance at the end of the period, subtract the amount paid toward principal from the beginning balance. END BAL= BEG BAL – PRIN = $1,000 – $ = $ masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Constructing an Amortization Table: Repeat Steps 1-4 Until End of Loan  Interest paid declines with each payment as the balance declines. What are the tax implications of this? masum, bangladesh university of textiles

Table 5-4 Excel

Illustrating an Amortized Payment: Where does the money go?  Constant payments  Declining interest payments  Declining balance $ Interest Principal Payments

56 Sinking Fund  Sinking fund is a fund, which is created out of fixed payments each period to accumulate to a future sum after a specified period. For example, companies generally create sinking funds to retire bonds (debentures) on maturity.  A sinking fund is a fund established by an economic entity by setting aside revenue over a period of time to fund a future capital expense, or repayment of a long-term debt.