UNDERSTANDING URBAN PHYSICAL TRANSFORMATION IN ITS BASIC Self Organizing and Spatial Planning YTU Faculty of Architecture Istanbul 29-30 April 2011 Mehmet.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Change & Continuity Over Time
Advertisements

Continuity and Chang-Over-Time Essay
Immigrant Integration as a Complex Adaptive Social Systems Agnes Meinhard, PhD.
25 February 2009Instructor: Tasneem Darwish1 University of Palestine Faculty of Applied Engineering and Urban Planning Software Engineering Department.
Experiments and Variables
Using the Crosscutting Concepts As conceptual tools when meeting an unfamiliar problem or phenomenon.
ARCH 455 URBAN DESIGN MAJOR ELECTIVE I by Şebnem Hoşkara & Naciye Doratlı EMU Faculty of Architecture Department of Architecture.
Sociology: Chapter 1 Section 1
12/04/2006 Understanding & Predicting E-commerce Adoption: An Extension of the Theory of Planned Behavior (MIS Quarterly March 2006) Presented by: Yasmine.
Chapter 5 Time Series Analysis
Class 5: Thurs., Sep. 23 Example of using regression to make predictions and understand the likely errors in the predictions: salaries of teachers and.
Supervised classification performance (prediction) assessment Dr. Huiru Zheng Dr. Franscisco Azuaje School of Computing and Mathematics Faculty of Engineering.
Item Response Theory. Shortcomings of Classical True Score Model Sample dependence Limitation to the specific test situation. Dependence on the parallel.
Introduction to Communication Research
The Geographic Perspective: Social Science Aspects
Geography What is it?. Geography is: “The study of people, places, and the environment.” “A science that deals with the description, distribution, and.
Alain Bertaud Urbanist Module 2: Spatial Analysis and Urban Land Planning The Spatial Structure of Cities: International Examples of the Interaction of.
Conclusion of Geography’s Nature and Perspective
Studying Geography The Big Idea
The Six Essential Elements of Geography
The National Geography Standards
Chapter 4 Principles of Quantitative Research. Answering Questions  Quantitative Research attempts to answer questions by ascribing importance (significance)
Chapter 1: Introduction to Statistics
Lect 6 chapter 3 Research Methodology.
KING FAHD UNIVERSITY OF PETROLEUM & MINERALS DHAHRAN, SAUDI ARABIA ARE-512 Life Cycle Costing – Cost Data Bank For By G. C. SOFAT S.K. TYAGI Presented.
Methods of Media Research Communication covers a broad range of topics. Also it draws heavily from other fields like sociology, psychology, anthropology,
THE WORDED SIDE OF DISASTER MANAGEMENT earl bailey, University of Technology, Jamaica (UTech) Urban and Regional Planning.
Chapter 1: Psychology, Research, and You Pages 2 – 21.
Berna Keskin1 University of Sheffield, Department of Town and Regional Planning Alternative Approaches to Modelling Housing Market Segmentation: Evidence.
1 Enviromatics Environmental simulation models Environmental simulation models Вонр. проф. д-р Александар Маркоски Технички факултет – Битола 2008.
Geographic Information Science
Chapter 1 Introduction to Statistics. Statistical Methods Were developed to serve a purpose Were developed to serve a purpose The purpose for each statistical.
Chapter 1 – A Geographer’s World
Exploring the underlying mechanism of LURR theory Can Yin Supervisor: Prof. Peter Mora QUAKES, Department of Earth Sciences University of Queensland.
VIRTUAL WORLDS IN EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH © LOUIS COHEN, LAWRENCE MANION & KEITH MORRISON.
Scientific Processes Mrs. Parnell. What is Science? The goal of science is to investigate and understand the natural world, to explain events in the natural.
Time series Decomposition Farideh Dehkordi-Vakil.
 The World Unit 1.  How Geographers Look at the World Chapter 1.
Landscape Ecology: Conclusions and Future Directions.
Module 3: Research in Psychology Learning Objectives What is the scientific method? How do psychologist use theory and research to answer questions of.
Question paper 1997.
So, what’s the “point” to all of this?….
THE MEASUREMENT OF URBAN LAND CONSUMPTION AS A SOURCE OF INDICATORS OF ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE AND SUSTAINABILITY Rodrigo Bastías Castillo
Landscape ecology methods
ANOVA, Regression and Multiple Regression March
DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS SECTION 5.
Systems Approach. MIS Defined …. “It is a system using formalised procedures to provide management at all levels in all functions with appropriate levels.
Chapter 2 Data in Science. Section 1: Tools and Models.
1.Analyze changes and continuities in power and authority from early times to the medieval period. 2.Analyze changes and continuities in commerce (economic.
Chapter 1: The Study of Urban Geography. The Study of Urban Geography Concerned with Local Variability in a General Context –Want to know the distinctiveness.
Fiscal Impact of Sprawl on Suburban Households in Southeast Michigan Hui-Chun Huang.
Regression Analysis: A statistical procedure used to find relations among a set of variables B. Klinkenberg G
1 Outcome Measures for School Evaluation Coalition for Excellence in Science and Math Education.
Creating Creating Digital Art History Case Study Case Study - Art Journal - D. Russell Bailey, Ph.D., Library Director
LOAD FORECASTING. - ELECTRICAL LOAD FORECASTING IS THE ESTIMATION FOR FUTURE LOAD BY AN INDUSTRY OR UTILITY COMPANY - IT HAS MANY APPLICATIONS INCLUDING.
Landscape Design and Management Objectives and learning outcomes of the study program Vaclovas Bogužas Mantas Pilkauskas.
F5 Performance Management. 2 Section C: Budgeting Designed to give you knowledge and application of: C1. Objectives C2. Budgetary systems C3. Types of.
AP STATISTICS LESSON THE IDEA OF PROBABILITY.
Chapter 1 – A Geographer’s World
Research Design
Ch 1 A Geographer’s World
9TH MEETING OF AESOP THEMATIC GROUP ON "COMPLEXITY AND PLANNING"
Statistical Data Analysis
Unit 6 Probability.
The Six Essential Elements of Geography at mrdowling.com
Dealing with Noisy Data
TECHNICAL REPORT.
Statistical Data Analysis
The Six Essential Elements of Geography at mrdowling.com
Presentation transcript:

UNDERSTANDING URBAN PHYSICAL TRANSFORMATION IN ITS BASIC Self Organizing and Spatial Planning YTU Faculty of Architecture Istanbul April 2011 Mehmet Rıfat AKBULUT Asist. Prof., Ph.D. Faculty of Architecture, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, Seher BAŞLIK Asist. Prof., Ph.D Department of Informatics, Mimar Sinan Fine Arts University, Fındıklı-Beyoğlu İstanbul-TURKEY

The determination of the nature and the speed of transformation of an urban settlement with an acceptable precision, instead of rough presumptions is always remained one of key issues in urban research and study. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

In urban planning and urban studies, urban spatial phenomenons are generally considered, discussed and explained under the dominance of broad generalisations based upon social, economical, cultural factors as well as about physical environment and conditions. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

To call cities as complex systems is easy since any urban structure obviously represent a high complexity perceivable in every aspect and in every meaning of the word. However this requires some efforts to prove it beyond casual observations. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

The aim of this work is to show where some particular behaviours of an urban system may be observed in order to uncover some characteristics of complexity and at which scale we should deal with it. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

Here, urban physical transformation on single building/land plot scale and change of property ownership are analyzed in time series in order to understand the way an urban system behaves on the scale of its basic physical elements. These are suitable tools to make such a research since they provide all necessary requirements, because they represent; repeating behaviours with relatively in short time arrays, a considerable amount of accurate datas enough big to follow trends in through time. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

This study is based upon analysis of randomly selected empirical datas of a neighbourhood (Caferağa Mahallesi) at the Kadıköy District of the Greater İstanbul Metropolitan Area. Datas are compiled from municipal archives of the Kadıköy. Parameters are as follows: Physical transformation: A transformation which affects entire or a major party of the physical status of a building on a plot such as the demolition of an existing structure and the erection of a new one or a major partial interference on the physical structure of a building such as an additional floor which significantly changes a building from its original plan and/or appearence. This is defined as the “physical change” through analysis. Ownership change: A change of the holder of the property through a selling-buying procedure. This is defined as “ownership change” within analysis. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

More than 1000 documents dating from 1940s to today of 44 properties at the Moda Caferağa neighbourhood (Mahalle) from Urban Archives of the Kadıköy District Municipality are analyzed. Among them a total of 195 documents are found important and 134 out of this 195 documents are took into consideration. Analysis within this research are made through these 134 documents. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

Analysis of datas shows that: The physical behaviour of a city as a complex system is only comprehensible through research and surveys on the level of its basic elements (buildings, land units etc.). Broad generalisations on macro scale offer only few clues and may be illusory to understand the real nature of urban physical transformation. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

What look like predictable on macro scale becomes unpredictable in details (on the level of building and land plot) However, the irregularity which is observed at the occurances of events (a new building licence, a process of ownership change) reveals a regularity in itself; Events tend to repeat the same type of behavioural pattern in every scale (neighbourhood, block, building/land plot) in terms of time arrays between each and every event. Periodical changes at the occurances of events (a new building licence, a process of ownership change) through time are in many cases independent of general economic conditions or economic fluctuations; Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

On the other hand a close relationship or interaction is observed between periodical changes at the occurances of events and change in building construction rights and urban planning activities; Therefore, periodical changes at the occurances of events are more dependent to building construction rights and urban planning activities than general economic conditions or fluctuations at least for the analyzed case. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

Analysis of datas reveals that the change of an urban physical environment at the level/scale of its basic elements illustrates general characteristics of chaos since it displays major footprints of chaotic behaviour namely; Unpredictability at every single moment of time span; Repeatition of the same behavioural pattern at every scale (scalelessness); Sensitive dependence on initial conditions, since every observed event is in interaction with others and each event has some influence on the time the next event will occur. Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011

In mathematics and in generally in natural sciences a system is called chaotic as much as it assures the conditions below: If it is mathematically deterministic If it is mathematically nonlineer If general characteristics of a system repeat itself in every scale (scalessness) Akbulut-Başlık-Understanding Urban Physical Transformation in its Basic Self Organizing and Spatial Planning-YTU-Istanbul April 2011