The Indian Raw Cashew Nut Scenario -by K Pramod Kamath.

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Presentation transcript:

The Indian Raw Cashew Nut Scenario -by K Pramod Kamath

The Scenario Tour The Crop History Factors Affecting Crop The 2016 Crop The Future

Raw Cashew Quantity -A highly conservative industry estimate

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000 Orissa90,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000 Orissa90,000 Gujarat3,000

StateQuantity in MT Goa20,000 Kerala60,000 Karnataka70,000 Tamil Nadu70,000 A.P/Telangana80,000 Maharastra150,000 Orissa90,000 Gujarat3,000 Others15,000

Raw Cashew Growth Rate StateQuantity in MT Goa5% Kerala0% Karnataka5% Tamil Nadu5% A.P/Telangana8% Maharastra10% Orissa10% OthersAbove 10%

Raw Cashew Price YearRs/KgINR/US D USD/MTYearRs/KgINR/USDUSD/M T Price Growth 1993 to 6.3% Price Growth 2008 to 9.98%

Factors Affecting Crop Rainfall during monsoon season Winter temperatures and dryness Post flowering rain showers Post flowering temperatures Pest Active Farming

Rainfall 2015 was a good year. November December saw some rain.

Winter Usual winter starts early Nov winter set in late Nov

Flowering Flowering delayed by 3 to 4 weeks in South West crop Reports of Early flowering in Orissa and Maharastra. Flowering is Good

Temperature Temperatures need to be Cool in night and moderate in the afternoon

Clouds and Humidity Clouds and humidity conditions responsible for flowers surviging or drying up

Pest Tea Mosquitoes strongly affect Cashew Crop. Certain cloudy, humid conditions promote Tea Mosquitoe population leading to crop shortage.

Active Farming Pruning Fertilizing Irrigating Tending Pest Control Harvest and practices Overall Cost vs Yield Competing Crop Yield - Rubber Mango Tobacco Sugar Cane

2016 Scenario Flowering is delayed in some varieties and areas Rest of the Weather conditions on track Farmer Interest is Up since Competing crops are down RCN arrival is STEADY RCN quality is good due to Delay! Slightly Delayed Normal Crop Predicted

India RCN Future Cashew Manufacturers Associations of Karnataka, Goa, Maharastra, AP, Odisha etc promoting cashew crop Distribution of saplings Sapling DEMAND is HIGH Sapling SHORTAGE CASHEW APPLE thrust KSCDC Auction UP 20% AP Forest Autction UP 100%

Conclusion Domestic Cashew consumption increasing Processing Capacity in India Demand will push crop growth Farmer interest is Rejuvenated Growth rate will be maintained Vision - 2Million MT by 2030

If you think in terms of a year, PLANT A SEED If you think in terms of 10 years, PLANT TREES If in terms of 100 years, TEACH THE PEOPLE.