HS2 in the East Midlands Stephen McFarlane HS2 Ltd Greater Nottingham Transport Partnership Forum 24th February 2016

HS2 vision: To be a catalyst for growth across Britain HS2 vision: be a catalyst for growth across Britain British economy growing but not fulfilling economic potential Britain has two speed economy which leads to constraints on what it can achieve HS2 will help deliver economic growth Connect UK cities and towns Allow them to grow and thrive Give people greater opportunities in work and life Create 10,000s of jobs[1] Deliver wider benefits, such as upskilling rail and construction industries HS2 will also contribute to stronger productivity in UK[2] Britain not as productive as it should be Less productive than other developed countries[3] Midlands and North less productive than London[4] Productivity is an important factor in delivering economic growth ¾ of UK GDP growth between 1998 and 2007 attributed to growth in labour productivity[5] Sustainability of economic expansion and further progress in living standards rest on stimulating productivity growth[6] Transport infrastructure is a key determinant of productivity[7] Rail and road networks enhance efficiency and welfare by facilitating transactions[7] Improvements to connectivity foster more intense economic interaction, that in turn raises productivity[8] We aim to do much more than just build and operate a rail network

Over-crowding Poor connectivity in the South in the North UK not fulfilling economic potential – constraints on growth UK potential constrained by: lack of connectivity / underperforming economy in Midlands/North over-crowded transport and over-heated property market in London/South  In Midlands and North Cities have many resources e.g. fine universities; high tech manufacturers But resources constrained by lack of connectivity Longer distance rail network is slow compared to car journeys, with relatively low frequency[9] Many routes have inadequate capacity to cater for current passenger demand[9] Strategic Road Network between cities is congested, which leads to extended journey times day-to-day variation in travel times significant disruption through accidents and incidents[9]   In North/Midlands, poor connectivity reduces distance that people willing to travel for work and leisure In London / South East Is engine of British economy But its transport, housing, health and education systems struggling to keep up with growing population In 2014, average house price in London three times higher than north west (£594,000 vs £201,000)[10] This causes difficulties for many people, especially families and key workers (like teachers and nurses) Need to better connect London, Midlands and North so people and businesses can realise potential Over-crowding Poor connectivity in the South in the North

Rail demand continues to rise Growing population UK’s expected to rise by ~10m over next 25 yrs[11] Rail passenger trips More than doubled since mid-1990s to over1.5bn[12] West Coast Main Line full[13] Line is full over key route sections Midlands & East Coast lines can’t carry more services City-to-city connections Urban population predicted to rise to 14m by 2050[14] Many commuters have to stand for entire journeys[15] Rail freight volumes To be 20% higher than current levels by 2030[16] Traffic on strategic roads To grow quicker than additional capacity to road[17] network But Rail network is old and not fit for modern use Was built by the Victorians  No major railway in England been built north of London for over 120 years Railways carry inter-city, local and freight services all on the same lines – so problems on one service affects all other services Delays are common On the West Coast Main Line, 15% of trains regularly run more than 10 minutes late, even after a recent £9bn upgrade[18] Journeys are uncomfortable and unreliable In short, we need to invest in our transport infrastructure – doing nothing is not an option Rail demand continues to rise

HS2: a strategic transformation Phase Two Stations: East Midlands Hub Sheffield Leeds Crewe Manchester Piccadilly Manchester Airport HS2 is the strategic answer to these challenges HS2 will address capacity challenges Each train will have up to 1,100 seats[19] Expected to carry over 300,000 people every day[20] Will increase capacity on overall rail network by ~20,000 passenger seats per hour[21] Will free up extra capacity for local passenger services on existing route[22] Better passenger experiences on local and commuter services (as well as HS2) Additional capacity for freight DfT, Network Rail and HS2 Ltd indicate between 20-26 additional paths[23] Reduces traffic on roads Estimated 500,000 HGV lorries would be taken off our motorways each year as more freight travels by train[24] In addition to the HS2 service, there will be more space on the existing rail network and on the roads, meaning more people are able to travel, and travel in general will be more comfortable Phase One Stations: Euston Old Oak Common Birmingham Interchange Birmingham Curzon Street

HS2: a local transformation Nottingham University, Jubilee Campus

Journey times from East Midlands Hub Journeys that are currently time-consuming, unreliable and uncomfortable will be fast, frequent and stress-free on HS2

Catalyst for wider transport debate

Delivering and operating HS2 will realise wider benefits across the country

Upskilling the rail and construction industries

HS2 Timeline

Momentum 2016: 2017: Spring: Phase one House of Commons Third Reading Autumn: Phase Two route decision End of year: Royal Assent Phase One Bill 2017: Award of Main Civils Contracts Start of enabling works Deposit of Phase 2a Hybrid Bill

Thank you