Future employment trends Tony Donohoe, Head of Social and Education Policy

Future employment trends  Short-term outlook  Long-term forecasts –FAS/ESRI Manpower Studies 2003 –National Skills Strategy  Policy context  Workplace of the future  Implications for supported employment

Economic outlook (%) Consumer spending Government spending Investment Exports Imports GDP GNP

Employment outlook Agriculture Industry Services1,3621,4141,454 Total at work2,0392,1032,130 Unemployed % unemployed (‘000 )

Vacancies notified to FAS

PPSN allocations to EU10 migrants Source: FAS Labour Market Commentary

International unemployment

Employment growth Source: FAS/ESRI Manpower Forecasting Study

Employment by sector

National Skills Strategy Current stock 1.43m New flow from education system 640,000 Migrant labour 310,000 Upskill through: Training Adult education Increase retention rates at second level Increase third level participation Recognition of qualifications English language programmes Integration into education & training system

National Skills Strategy - Vision

Policy context – Towards 2016  Consolidating and progressing vocational training and employment services  Extending the National Employment Action Plan FAS referral process to people with disabilities  Public service employment in accordance with Disability Act, 2005  Promoting awareness  Materials developed under Workway

Workplace of the future  Agile  Customer centred  Knowledge intensive  Responsive to employee needs  Networked  Highly productive  Involved and participatory  Continually learning  Proactively diverse

Obstacles to employment