Prospects for Green Growth in Macedonia Modeling Approaches Michael Jacobsen Water Economist Skopje March 1, 2011.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

The Farmers Voice at the World Level La Voz de Los Agricultores al Nivel Mundial La Voix des Agriculteurs au Niveau Mondial.

Advertisements

Water and Climate Change in Africa Raffaello Cervigni The World Bank.

Reporting sheet no.3 State and quantity of water resources.

Generating Economic Impacts from Physical Climate Impacts: Implications for California Prof. Charles D. Kolstad Environmental Economics Program Bren School.

Safe and Sustainable Water Resources Research Integrate the existing Drinking Water and Water Quality research programs into one holistic program that.

Michael Hanemann University of California, Berkeley Guido Franco California Energy Commission California Climate Action Team March 11, 2009 Sacramento.

The water-food-energy nexus from an energy system modelling perspective Paul Dodds.

A 2030 framework for climate and energy policies Energy.

A STAKEHOLDER PERSPECTIVE LAURNA KAATZ DENVER WATER July 30, 2014 ~ ASP Colloquium.

Country’s experience in the frame of the UNFCCC National Communications Albania case Pellumb Abeshi General Secretary Ministry of Environment, Forestry.

Limpopo River Basin Focal Project Limpopo River Basin Focal Project Kevin Scott.

1 Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment Hands-on Training Workshop for the Africa Region - Integration and Communication of V&A Analysis - Maputo, Mozambique.

How can the water footprint contribute to the formulation of a national climate change adaptation strategy? Adaptation Workshop, 2 nd Nov. 2011, Nicosia.

1 Preparing Washington for a Changing Climate An Integrated Climate Change Response Strategy Department of Ecology Hedia Adelsman, Executive Policy Advisor.

Crop Physical System of Dams and Reservoirs Climate change impacts on water supply and irrigation water demand in the Columbia River Basin Jennifer Adam.

Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessments Hands-On Training Workshop

Land Use Strategy Rural Development Council 1 February 2010.

Climate Safeguards Systems Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into Bank Operations Al-Hamndou Dorsouma Climate Change Expert Compliance and Safeguards.

1 Water in Bioenergy Agroecosystems Workshop Industry perspective on water for bioenergy production Alistair Wyness, BP International Group Water Expert.

THE SPANISH CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION PLAN José Ramón Picatoste Ruggeroni Oficina Española de Cambio Climático Ministerio de Medio Ambiente GENERAL FRAMEWORK.

Capacity Building in Analytical Tools for Estimating and Comparing Costs and Benefits of Adaptation Projects in the Berg River Basin, South Africa AIACC.

Center for International Climate and Environmental Research-Oslo: Research Priorities and Interest in China Lin Gan SINCIERE Member Workshop October 19,

CARICOM WORKSHOP ON ENVIRONMENT STATISTICS St. Vincent and the Grenadines 7 th and 8 th April 2014.

Scenario 3.  Water use  Energy supply (including hydropower development)  Security implications.

Integrating Adaptation into Development Policy Breakout Session C.

IWRM as a Tool for Adaptation to Climate Change Introduction to IWRM and Climate Change.

The Pressures on Water Supply: Surface Water Dagmar Llewellyn, Reclamation Albuquerque Area Office WATER RESILIENCE IN A TIME OF UNCERTAINTY: H OW C AN.

Vulnerability Assessment Progress Dissemination of study on climate change vulnerability indicators Identification of agroecosystems Definition of methodology.

Linking current vulnerability with WEAP Bill Dougherty, SEI-Boston 9-13 May 2005 Akosomba, Ghana.

Department of Economics Climate Change Legislation & Livestock.

The AIACC Project Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change in Multiple Regions & Sectors UNFCCC Workshop Bonn 9 June 2003.

Using the DSF to assess scenarios Some things it will do for you - and some things it won’t.

Dr Richard Johnson, Mountain Environments, UK.  Lead Partner: Germany: Research Institute of Forest Ecology and Forestry  Partner countries: Germany,

Agriculture and Water Resources Cynthia Rosenzweig and Max Campos AIACC Trieste Project Development Workshop

Climate Futures for Tasmania: Prospects, Impacts and Information for Adaption Options Nathan Bindoff et al. ACE CRC, DPIW, Hydro Tasmania,SES,BoM, GA,

SBSTA Adaptation Workshop June 18, 2004 Incorporating Climate-related Risks into Development Planning: the U.S Approach Ms. Ko Barrett Director, Global.

BFP grant – GECAFS Objectives 1.Improve understanding of vulnerability of food systems to the stresses induced by GEC 2.Document food systems and analyze.

FutureWater Impact of Climate Change & Formulation of Adaptation Strategies Water, Climate, Food, and Nature Walawe Basin, Sri Lanka Ronald Loeve.

Climate Change Risk Assessment Tool. Weather & Climate.

The AIACC Project Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate Change in Multiple Regions & Sectors AIACC Asia-Pacific Region Meeting Chulalongkorn.

Community Based Adaptation Project Inception Workshop Overview of the CBA Project Presented by Stephen Gitonga, GEF Small Grants Programme CBA Preparatory.

Prices and Prospects for Global Food Security Keith Wiebe International Food Policy Research Institute USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum Arlington, VA February.

An Overview of the California Climate Adaptation Strategy Tony Brunello Deputy Secretary for Climate & Energy CA Resources Agency.

Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment Hands-on Training Workshop Integration of V&A Analysis.

Vulnerability, Resilience, & Adaptation: Societal Causes and Responses Elizabeth L. Malone Joint Global Change Research Institute CRCES Workshop: Societal.

Energy Efficiency Industrial Forum Andrew Warren Senior Advisor, EuroACE.

GCOS, Adaptation, and Development Climate for Development in Africa Programme (ClimDev Africa) Purpose: To mainstream climate information into decision-

EU Strategies for the Danube River 1 An Integrative Research Project on the Future of Water in the Upper Danube Basin Wolfram Mauser Department.

UNFCCC Workshop on the preparation of national communications from non-Annex I Parties General description of steps taken or envisaged by non-Annex I.

IEc INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED Responding to Climate Change in ECA Agriculture: Impact Assessments and Menu of Adaptation Options for Albania and.

Introduction of Regional Environmental Center for Central and Eastern Europe November, 2007 Zsuzsanna Ivanyi Head of Climate Change Department.

Asian Development Bank Activities in the Environment Sector/Water Ongonsar Purev Environment Specialist 5 June 2014.

IEc INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS, INCORPORATED Proposed Methodology and Action Plan to Develop the Impact Assessment and Menu of Adaptation Options for Uzbekistan.

Land Use: Globally consistent national mitigation and adaptation Michael Obersteiner.

Project ‘Third National Communication of Albania to UNFCCC’ Training Delivered during 17th – 21th March 2014 Hotel Mondial by Devaraj de Condappa, Consultant.

Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources and Human Livelihoods in the Coastal Zones of Small Island Developing States (CASCADE) Project Stakeholder Panel.

RIDING THE RIVER OF ADAPTATION CDMX 19 APRIL 2016.

European Commission: Environment Directorate General Slide: 1 Impacts and Adaptation Workgroup Draft Mandate Abigail Howells Climate Change Unit DG Environment,

N3 Partner Technical Meeting, March 28-29

Progress of the preparations for a White Paper on Adaptation to Climate Change Water Directors’ meeting Slovenia June 2008 Marieke van Nood, Unit.

Environmental modeling application domains

EC Workshop on European Water Scenarios Brussels 30 June 2003

First steps in the planning European Commission DG ENV, Unit D1

LA06 Assessment of Impacts and Adaptation Measures for the Water Resources Sector Due to Extreme Events Under Climate Change Conditions. REGIONAL PROJECT.

A Blueprint to safeguard Europe’s Water Resources

A Blueprint to safeguard Europe’s waters

Implementation EU White Paper Climate Change Adaptation Specific actions DG Environment Feedback from Expert Group Climate change and water Jacques Delsalle.

First steps in the planning European Commission DG ENV, Unit D1

From Water Scarcity & Droughts to Water Accounts

Meeting Water Directors

Presentation transcript:

Prospects for Green Growth in Macedonia Modeling Approaches Michael Jacobsen Water Economist Skopje March 1, 2011

The issue Climate variability impacts growth Mainly through water, energy, transport and agriculture Modeling tools exist to assess climate exposure, impact on infrastructure, agriculture etc. These tools can assist decision making Tools exist to assist in adaptation

An application of a tool developed by the UK Climate Office

4 A closer look at the assessment of climate impact and adaptation options – One possible approach

5 Modeling Approach – Crop Yield and Water Resources Crop Modeling – Process-based models (e.g., AquaCrop) for up to 7 select crops – country nominates crops for focus Water Resource Availability “Screening Tool” (e.g. CliRun ) projects runoff for all key basins in country Basin-level Water Balance Modeling – (e.g WEAP) for all large basins in each country Agricultural water demand from crop model Mining and Industry water demand projections from studies Climate-induced water supply variation and change from CliRun

Albania: Yield Effects – No Adaptation 6

Albanian Crop Water Demands – Percent Increase 7

Kosovo Iber BainWater uses - Year 2010 Project funded by the World Bank8 Public water supply Irrigation units Use for power generation Use for Industry - Mines Mitrovista W.S Vushtri Irrigation unit Shkabaj Irrigation unit Kosova B Power Generation Kosova A Power Generation Komoran Irrigation unit Feronikeli mining Prishtina W.S. W.S of small towns and villages from ground water or springs E-flow Biological minimum

9 Baseline scenario : WEAP results Gazivoda SYSTEM 1 : GAZIVODA RESERVOIR 2010 February 2011

Workshop on Water Security in Central Kosovo 24 –Feb Gazivoda 2020

Workshop on Water Security in Central Kosovo 24 –Feb Gazivoda 2035

Workshop on Water Security in Central Kosovo 24 –Feb Gazivoda – 2035

Identification of adaptation options – needs stakeholder consultation Source:: GEF, European Commission McKinsey et. al. Economics of Climate Adaptation

Risk, Impact, Adaptation options and economic consequences