Presented to:Nextor NAS-Wide Modeling Workshop By: Joseph Post, NextGen Systems Analysis Date: January Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements The ATO Perspective

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Introduction FAA Office of NextGen Systems Analysis (AJP-D) Objective: Estimating the monetary benefits of FAA's NextGen investments over next 10 years Platform: Modernized NASPAC –Includes demand generation process Question: What modeling improvements are needed to fully realize this objective?

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January What Is NextGen? ATM and Weather Airport Infrastructure Bio Fuels Engines and Airframes Security and Defense

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January FAA NextGen Portfolio Transformational Programs ADS-B SWIM NextGen Data Communications NextGen Network Enabled Weather NAS Voice Switch RNAV/RNP 41 Mid-Term Capabilities Airfield Improvements New Runways Runway Extensions Airfield Reconfigurations 7 Solution Sets TBO High Density Airports Flexible Terminal & Airports CATM Reduced Weather Impact Safety, Security, & Environ. Transform Facilities

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Trajectory-Based Ops

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January High-Density Airports

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Flexible Terminal

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Collaborative ATM

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Reduce Weather Impact

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Transform Facilities

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Shortfall Summary En Route –Conflict resolution (inefficiency) –Dynamic sectorization –Off-nominal operations –Re-routing - Tactical Fix Balancing Convective weather –Storm tops –Route vs. sector capacity Terminal –Routes –Inter-arrival time variance –Convective weather –CDTI-Assisted Visual Separation (CAVS) –Severe IMC Cat II/III operations Airport closure Diversions Equipage-specific effects En Route/Terminal –SIDs/STARs

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Shortfall Summary (cont.) Surface –Gates –Taxiways –Runway usage –De-icing –Tail numbers and delay propagation –Passenger delay Oceanic –In-trail climb –Separations –Track assignment Traffic Flow Management –GDPs/Ground Stops Probabalistic demand/capacity –Airspace Flow Programs (AFPs) –Re-routing - Strategic –Miles-In-Trail –Time-based metering Airline Operations Center –Cancellations –Substitutions –User preferences and decision-making Value of flexibility

Federal Aviation Administration NextGen Modeling Requirements January Additional Requirements Improved ease of use –GUI? Future fleet representation –International fleet –Avionics Monte Carlo capability –Demand –Capacities –Weather –Routings –etc. Visualization Validation

Any Questions?