National Association of Wheat Growers 415 Second St. NE, Suite 300 / Washington DC 20002 www.wheatworld.org.

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Presentation transcript:

National Association of Wheat Growers 415 Second St. NE, Suite 300 / Washington DC

“It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way…” Charles Dickens, A Tale of Two Cities

SenateHouse 2002 Law Expired on Sept. 30, 2007 Hearings throughout Spring 2007 Subcommittee markups in May and June Full Committee markup in July Kind-Flake amendment crushed Passed bill on July 27 Scattered hearings in April & May Bypassed Subcommittee action Full committee markup Oct Over 100 floor amendments filed Mired in procedural disputes

 Defend the bill from attack  The usual critics  New critics, including some surprises  Preserve and increase direct payments  Reliable regardless of weather  WTO-compliant (Green Box)  Improve equity between commodities  Market orientation

Source: Sen. Kent Conrad

Sources: USDA Economic Research Service; US Energy Information Administration.

Farms in the largest sales class (at least $500,000 in 2002 dollars) accounted for 43.9 percent of production in 2002, up from 28.9 percent in 1989, the earliest year with consistent data. There were 64,000 farms in that size class in 2002, up from 32,000 in Source: USDA Economic Research Service

 Payment limitations ▪ Lower hard cap on AGI ▪ Tighter limits if majority of income is nonfarm ▪ Lower aggregate limit for commodity programs ▪ Direct attribution - eliminates 3-entity ▪ House limits apply to both commodity and conservation payments  Expenditures on commodity programs are down  Increases in spending for conservation, nutrition, and fruits & vegetables  Optional revenue-based coverage

 State or national targets for revenue  Conversion to a recourse loan (Senate bill)  Financial and WTO Impact on crop insurance  fixed by Roberts amendment in committee  ACR program (Senate bill) relies on yield trends  Constantly updated yield trendlines ▪ Negative or flat yield trends in some states ▪ WTO implications of moving targets

Amber Box Trade –distorting support Tied directly to production and/or price Includes marketing loans/LDPs A few disaster programs Sugar quota Dairy programs Storage payments, Cotton Step 2 De minimus Minimal expenditures (5% of production value) Includes Product-specific de- minimus Countercyclical Crop insurance Irrigation & grazing Aggregate Measure of Support (AMS) Total of Amber and de minimus Limit of $19.1 billion per year Recent spending 2002: $16.3 B 2003: $10.2 B 2004: $18.1 B 2005: $18.9 B Doha range between $13-16 B += Sources: Summary of US Government domestic supports filing to the WTO, October 3, 2007

Daren Coppock Chief Executive Officer National Association of Wheat Growers

House BillSenate Bill Wheat (bu) Target$4.15 Direct0.52 Loan Rate $ Corn (bu) Target2.63 Direct0.28 Loan Rate Soybeans (bu) Target6.10 Direct0.44 Loan Rate Cotton (lb) Target0.70 Direct Loan Rate Rice (cwt) Target10.50 Direct2.35 Loan Rate Barley (bu) Target2.73 Direct0.24 Loan/Feed1.90 Loan/Malt