International Financial Markets 3 3 Chapter South-Western/Thomson Learning © 2003.

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Presentation transcript:

International Financial Markets 3 3 Chapter South-Western/Thomson Learning © 2003

 To describe the background and corporate use of the following international financial markets:  Foreign exchange market,  Eurocurrency market,  Eurocredit market,  Eurobond market, and  International stock markets. Chapter Objectives

Motives for Using International Financial Markets  The markets for real or financial assets are prevented from complete integration by barriers such as tax differentials, tariffs, quotas, labor immobility, communication costs, cultural differences, and financial reporting differences.  Yet, these barriers can also create unique opportunities for specific geographic markets that will attract foreign investors.- MNCs might want to do business in a country to capitalize on favourable conditions unique to that country – imperfect markets theory.

 Investors invest in foreign markets:  to take advantage of favorable economic conditions;  when they expect foreign currencies to appreciate against their own; and  to reap the benefits of international diversification. Motives for Using International Financial Markets

 Creditors provide credit in foreign markets:  to capitalize on higher foreign interest rates;  when they expect foreign currencies to appreciate against their own; and  to reap the benefits of international diversification. Motives for Using International Financial Markets

 Borrowers borrow in foreign markets:  to capitalize on lower foreign interest rates; and -  when they expect foreign currencies to depreciate against their own. – MNC can reduce exchange rate risk by having the subsidiary borrow funds locally to support its business. Motives for Using International Financial Markets

Foreign Exchange Market  The foreign exchange market allows currencies to be exchanged in order to facilitate international trade or financial transactions.  The system for establishing exchange rates has evolved over time.  From 1876 to 1913, each currency was convertible into gold at a specified rate, as dictated by the gold standard.

Foreign Exchange Market  This was followed by a period of instability, as World War I began and the Great Depression followed.  The 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement called for fixed currency exchange rates.  By 1971, the U.S. dollar appeared to be overvalued. The Smithsonian Agreement devalued the U.S. dollar and widened the boundaries for exchange rate fluctuations from ±1% to ±2%.  Even then, governments still had difficulties maintaining exchange rates within the stated boundaries. In 1973, the official boundaries for the more widely traded currencies were eliminated and the floating exchange rate system came into effect.

Foreign Exchange Transactions  There is no specific building or location where traders exchange currencies. Trading also occurs around the clock.- commercial banks or online  The market for immediate exchange is known as the spot market.  The forward market enables an MNC to lock in the exchange rate at which it will buy or sell a certain quantity of currency on a specified future date. – what is a forward contract ?

 Hundreds of banks facilitate foreign exchange transactions, though the top 20 handle about 50% of the transactions. ( Deutsche Bank, Citibank)  Trading between banks occurs in the interbank market. Within this market, foreign exchange brokerage firms sometimes act as middlemen.  The following attributes of banks are important to foreign exchange customers:  competitiveness of quote  special relationship between the bank and its customer  speed of execution  advice about current market conditions  forecasting advice Foreign Exchange Transactions

 Banks provide foreign exchange services for a fee: the bank’s bid (buy) quote for a foreign currency will be less than its ask (sell) quote. This is the bid/ask spread.  bid/ask % spread = ask rate – bid rate ask rate  Example:Suppose bid price for £ = $1.52, ask price = $1.60. bid/ask % spread = (1.60–1.52)/1.60 = 5% Foreign Exchange Transactions

Factors that affect the bid/ask spread  Order costs  Inventory costs  Competition  Volume  Currency risk

 The bid/ask spread is normally larger for those currencies that are less frequently traded.  The spread is also larger for “retail” transactions than for “wholesale” transactions between banks or large corporations. Foreign Exchange Transactions

Interpreting Foreign Exchange Quotations  Exchange rate quotations for widely traded currencies are frequently listed in the news media on a daily basis. Forward rates may be quoted too.  The quotations normally reflect the ask prices for large transactions.

 Direct quotations represent the value of a foreign currency in dollars, while indirect quotations represent the number of units of a foreign currency per dollar.  Indirect quotation = 1/Direct quotation  Note that exchange rate quotations sometimes include IMF’s special drawing rights (SDRs).  The same currency may also be used by more than one country. Interpreting Foreign Exchange Quotations

 A cross exchange rate reflects the amount of one foreign currency per unit of another foreign currency.  Value of 1 unit of currency A in units of currency B = value of currency A in $ value of currency B in $ Interpreting Foreign Exchange Quotations

Currency Futures and Options Market  A currency futures contract specifies a standard volume of a particular currency to be exchanged on a specific settlement date. Unlike forward contracts however, futures contracts are sold on exchanges.  What is the difference between a forward contract and a futures contract?

Options Market  Currency options contracts give the right to buy or sell a specific currency at a specific price within a specific period of time. They are sold on exchanges too.  Options contracts can e classified as calls or puts  Call option- the right to buy a specific currency at a specific price (strike price or exercise price) within a specific period of time  Put Option – provides the right to sell a specific currency at a specific price within a specific period of time.  Options contracts offer more flexibility than forward or futures contracts because they do not require any obligation, i.e. the firm can elect not to exercise the option.

International money markets  The European Money Market  The Asian Money Market

$ Eurocurrency Market  U.S. dollar deposits placed in banks in Europe and other continents are called Eurodollars.  In the 1960s and 70s, the Eurodollar market, or what is now referred to as the Eurocurrency market, grew to accommodate increasing international business and to bypass stricter U.S. regulations on banks in the U.S.

$ Eurocurrency Market  The Eurocurrency market is made up of several large banks called Eurobanks that accept deposits and provide loans in various currencies.  For example, the Eurocurrency market has historically recycled the oil revenues (petrodollars) from oil- exporting (OPEC) countries to other countries.

$  The Eurocurrency market in Asia is sometimes referred to separately as the Asian dollar market.  The primary function of banks in the Asian dollar market is to channel funds from depositors to borrowers.  Another function is interbank lending and borrowing. Eurocurrency Market

 Although the Eurocurrency market focuses on large- volume transactions, there are times when no single bank is willing to lend the needed amount.  A syndicate of Eurobanks may then be composed to underwrite the loans. Front-end management and commitment fees are usually charged for such syndicated Eurocurrency loans. $ Eurocurrency Market

International Credit Market (Eurocredit Market)  Loans of one year or longer are extended by Eurobanks to MNCs or government agencies in the Eurocredit market. These loans are known as Eurocredit loans.  Floating rates are commonly used, since the banks’ asset and liability maturities may not match - Eurobanks accept short-term deposits but sometimes provide longer term loans.

International Bond Market (Eurobond Market) There are two types of international bonds.  Bonds denominated in the currency of the country where they are placed but issued by borrowers foreign to the country are called foreign bonds or parallel bonds.  Bonds that are sold in countries other than the country represented by the currency denominating them are called Eurobonds.

 The definition of the eurobond market can be confusing because of its name. Although the euro is the currency used by participating European Union countries, eurobonds refer neither to the European currency nor to a European bond market. A eurobond instead refers to any bond that is denominated in a currency other than that of the country in which it is issued. Bonds in the eurobond market are categorized according to the currency in which they are denominated. As an example, a eurobond denominated in Japanese yen but issued in the U.S. would be classified as a euroyen bond.eurobondeuroyen bond  Foreign bonds are denominated in the currency of the country in which a foreign entity issues the bond. An example of such a bond is the samurai bond, which is a yen-denominated bond issued in Japan by an American company. Other popular foreign bonds include bulldog and yankee bonds. Foreign bondssamurai bondbulldogyankee bonds  Global bonds are structured so that they can be offered in both foreign and eurobond markets. Essentially, global bonds are similar to eurobonds but can be offered within the country whose currency is used to denominate the bond. As an example, a global bond denominated in yen could be sold to Japan or any other country throughout the Eurobond market. Global bonds

 A foreign bond has three characteristics:  The bond is either issued by a foreign entity (such as a government, municipality, or corporation).  The bond is traded on a foreign market.  and, The bond is denominated in a foreign currency.  Foreign bonds are subject to currency risks, as when you hold the bond it is denominated in a foreign currency. As bonds take a specified time to mature, there is no guarentee of the return of the bond given the currency exchange fluctuations. A eurobond is a bond issued and traded in a country other than the one in which its currency is denominated. A eurobond does not necessarily have to originate or end up in Europe although most debt instruments of this type are issued by non-European entities to European investors. Meaning an entity can place a bond on the German exchange denominated in American dollars. Another difference is the composition of the underwriting syndicate. Eurobonds are underwritten by an international syndicate and is not subject to the rules and regulations of any country. Foreign bonds, however, are underwritten in the country of currency denomination, and are therefore subject to the regulations of that country.

 The emergence of the Eurobond market is partially due to the 1963 Interest Equalization Tax imposed in the U.S.  The tax discouraged U.S. investors from investing in foreign securities, so non-U.S. borrowers looked elsewhere for funds.  Then in 1984, U.S. corporations were allowed to issue bearer bonds directly to non-U.S. investors, and the withholding tax on bond purchases was abolished. Eurobond Market

 Eurobonds are underwritten by a multi-national syndicate of investment banks and simultaneously placed in many countries through second-stage, and in many cases, third-stage, underwriters.  Eurobonds are usually issued in bearer form, pay annual coupons, may be convertible, may have variable rates

 Interest rates for each currency and credit conditions in the Eurobond market change constantly, causing the popularity of the market to vary among currencies.  About 70% of the Eurobonds are denominated in the U.S. dollar. Eurobond Market

Comparing Interest Rates Among Currencies  Interest rates vary substantially for different countries, ranging from about 1% in Japan to about 60% in Russia.  Interest rates are crucial because they affect the MNC’s cost of financing.  The interest rate for a specific currency is determined by the demand for and supply of funds in that currency.

Quantity of $ Interest Rate for $ S D Quantity of Real Interest Rate for Real S D Why U.S. Dollar Interest Rates Differ from Brazilian Real Interest Rates  The curves are further to the right for the dollar because the U.S. economy is larger.  The curves are higher for the Brazilian Real because of the higher inflation in Brazil.

Equilibrium rate of interest The interest rate that clears the market. Also called the trade-clearing interest rate.interest rate market  Equilibrium Rate of Interest  In money markets, an interest rate at which the demand for money and supply of money are equal. When a central bank sets interest rates higher than the equilibrium rate, there is an excess supply of money, resulting in investors holding less money and putting more into bonds. This causes the price of bonds to rise, driving down the interest rate toward the equilibrium rate. The opposite occurs when interest rates are lower than the equilibrium rate: there is excess demand for money, causing investors to sell bonds to raise cash. This decreases the price of bonds, causing the interest rate to rise to the equilibrium point. Central banks can use the equilibrium rate of interest as a tool in determining the appropriate money supply.money marketsinterest ratedemandmoneysupplycentral bankbonds

Comparing Interest Rates Among Currencies  As the demand and supply schedules change over time for a specific currency, the equilibrium interest rate for that currency will also change.  Note that the freedom to transfer funds across countries causes the demand and supply conditions for funds to be somewhat integrated, such that interest rate movements become integrated too.

International Stock Markets  In addition to issuing stock locally, MNCs can also obtain funds by issuing stock in international markets.  This will enhance the firm’s image and name recognition, and diversify the shareholder base. The stocks may also be more easily digested.

 Stock issued in the U.S. by non-U.S. firms or governments are called Yankee stock offerings. Many of such recent stock offerings resulted from privatization programs in Latin America and Europe.  Non-U.S. firms may also issue American depository receipts (ADRs), which are certificates representing bundles of stock. ADRs are less strictly regulated. International Stock Markets

 The locations of the MNC’s operations can influence the decision about where to place stock, in view of the cash flows needed to cover dividend payments.  Market characteristics are important too. Stock markets may differ in size, trading activity level, regulatory requirements, taxation rate, and proportion of individual versus institutional share ownership. International Stock Markets

 Electronic communications networks (ECNs) have been created to match orders between buyers and sellers in recent years.  As ECNs become more popular over time, they may ultimately be merged with one another or with other exchanges to create a single global stock exchange. International Stock Markets

Comparison of International Financial Markets  The foreign cash flow movements of a typical MNC can be classified into four corporate functions, all of which generally require the use of the foreign exchange markets.  Foreign trade. Exports generate foreign cash inflows while imports require cash outflows.  Direct foreign investment (DFI). Cash outflows to acquire foreign assets generate future inflows.  Short-term investment or financing in foreign securities, usually in the Eurocurrency market.  Longer-term financing in the Eurocredit, Eurobond, or international stock markets.

Foreign Cash Flow Chart of an MNC MNC Parent Foreign Subsidiaries Foreign Business Clients Eurocurrency Market Eurocredit & Eurobond Markets International Stock Markets Foreign Exchange Markets Export/Import Short-Term Investment & Financing Long-Term Financing Foreign Exchange Transactions Medium- & Long-Term Financing Dividend Remittance & Financing Long-Term Financing Medium- & Long-Term Financing Short-Term Investment & Financing

Impact of Global Financial Markets on an MNC’s Value E (CF j,t )=expected cash flows in currency j to be received by the U.S. parent at the end of period t E (ER j,t )=expected exchange rate at which currency j can be converted to dollars at the end of period t k =weighted average cost of capital of the parent Cost of parent’s funds borrowed in global markets Cost of borrowing funds in global markets Improved global image from issuing stock in global markets Cost of parent’s equity in global markets