For Official Use Only 21FEB2013 0210Z RFI – 0131U 25FEB2013 Requestor: Kevin Kirmse VIBRANT RESPONSE 2013-2 10kT Nuclear Device Detonation in Columbus,

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Presentation transcript:

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z RFI – 0131U 25FEB2013 Requestor: Kevin Kirmse VIBRANT RESPONSE kT Nuclear Device Detonation in Columbus, OH Distribution: Limited to DoD and authorized contractors. Further distribution contact DTRA. Derived From: ARNORTH Reason: E.O sections 1.4 (e), (g) and (h). J9 Directorate Information and Systems Application Dept. Technical Reachback Division (703) , DSN 427-

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 2 Request Summary (FOUO) Request data Requestor: Mr. Kevin Kirmse, ARNORTH Contact: , Request: Request the effects of a nuclear device detonation in Columbus, OH. (FOUO) Solution Summary: Dose rate, aerial sampling, infrastructure, and prompt effect circle plots are provided. Employment: Exercise Reachback: S. Hatton, J. Zielonka, R. Washington, G. Eckhardt Location: Columbus, OH Latitude: °N Longitude: °W Time: 1300Z (0900 Local) Date: 10AUG2013 Hazard: 10 kT IND Ground Burst Weather: User defined to meet exercise criteria. Comments:

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 3 Dose Rate – 12 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 4 Dose Rate – 24 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 5 Dose Rate – 48 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 6 Dose Rate – 72 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 7 Dose Rate – 96 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 8 Dose Rate – 120 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 9 Dose Rate – 144 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 10 Dose Rate – 168 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 11 Dose Rate – 192 hr – Far View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 12 Dose Rate – 12 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 13 Dose Rate – 24 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 14 Dose Rate – 48 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 15 Dose Rate – 72 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 16 Dose Rate – 96 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 17 Dose Rate – 120 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 18 Dose Rate – 144 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 19 Dose Rate – 168 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 20 Dose Rate – 192 hr – Near View FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 21 Aerial Sampler – 12 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 22 Aerial Sampler – 24 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 23 Aerial Sampler – 48 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 24 Aerial Sampler – 72 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 25 Aerial Sampler – 96 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 26 Aerial Sampler – 120 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 27 Aerial Sampler – 144 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 28 Aerial Sampler – 168 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 29 Aerial Sampler – 192 hr FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Strike Time: 1300Z 10AUG2013 Type: IND Yield: 10 kT Weather: User-defined to meet exercise criteria Model: HPAC 5.1 Static Population Estimates: LandScan 2011

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 30 Initial (prompt) Radiation Exposures (1 st minute) PromptRadius (meters) 1,000 REM1, REM1, REM1, REM1, REM1,728 5 REM2,070 Note: Building shielding can significantly reduce effects – contours shown are more representative of open terrain effects. FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: LANL

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 31 Thermal Radiation Thermal FluxSkin Burn * Radius (meters) 6.7 cal/cm 2 3 rd degree burn1, cal/cm 2 2 nd degree burn1, cal/cm 2 1 st degree burn2,449 * Medium skinned person Note: Building shielding and dust/debris can significantly reduce effects – contours shown are more representative of open terrain effects. FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: LANL

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 32 Peak Pressure Radius (meters) 50 psi psi543 5 psi1,007 3 psi1,395 2 psi1,840 1 psi3,061 FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: LANL

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 33 Conditions of Failure of Over-Pressure Sensitive Elements Structural Element Failure psi Glass Windows Shattering/Frame Failure Corrugated Steel or Aluminum Siding Connection Failure/Buckling Brick (not reinforced) Shearing and Flexure Failures Wood Siding/Panels Connection Failure/Displacement Concrete or Cinder Block Wall Shattering Primary Blast Effects from Fast-Rising/Long-Duration Pressure Pulses Human Effect Threshold psi Eardrum Rupture 5.0 Lung Damage 8-15 Lethality Peak Pressure Reference * * Glasstone and Dolan, 1977

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 34 SREMP – Nuclear Detonation – Far SREMPRadius (km) Highly Likely1,315 Likely7,396 Possible44,373 FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: EM-1

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 35 SREMP – Nuclear Detonation – Near SREMPRadius (km) Highly Likely1,315 Likely7,396 Possible44,373 FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: EM-1

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 36 Equipment Effects – Military Application Electro-Magnetic Pulse Effects Contours: These are Rough Order of Magnitude (ROM) on electronic equipment. Specific equipment design, orientation and power coupling could greatly affect susceptibility to EMP. EMP hardened facilities and equipment should not be affected. Highly Likely. At this level electronic equipment could see the onset of permanent damage. Based on generic electric and electronic components disruption of services and equipment is very likely. Effects may vary due to specific equipment configurations. Likely. At this level electronic equipment could see the onset of disruption. Interruption of services and equipment is likely. Effects may vary due to specific equipment configurations. Possibly. At this level electronic equipment interference is possible, however unlikely. Effects may vary due to specific equipment configurations.

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: Glasstone & Dolan, Cratering CraterRadius (meters) Apparent40 Crater Lip50

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 38 Building Damage from Air-blast DamageBuilding Type * Radius (meters) Severe2617 Moderate2709 * See backup slide for definitions FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: Glasstone & Dolan, 1977

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 39 Building Damage from Air-blast DamageBuilding Type * Radius (meters) Severe31,052 Moderate31,234 * See backup slide for definitions FACTS Columbus, OH Location: °N/ °W Hazard: Nuclear Weapon Type: Ground Burst Yield: 10 kT Delivery: IND Model: Glasstone & Dolan, 1977

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 40 Building Types: Air-blast Damage Building TypeSevere DamageModerate Damage Type-2: Multistory reinforced concrete building with concrete walls, small window area, 3 to 8 stories. Walls shattered, severe frame distortion, incipient collapse Exterior walls severely cracked. Interior partitions severely cracked or blown down. Structural frame permanently distorted, extensive palling of concrete. Type-3: Multistory wall-bearing building, brick apartment house types, up to 3 stories. Collapse of bearing walls resulting in total building collapse Exterior walls severely cracked, interior partitions severely cracked or blown down. Type-5: Wood frame building, house type, 1 or 2 stories Frame shattered resulting in almost complete collapse Wall framing cracked. Roof severely damaged, interior partitions blown down.

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z HSIP Data 41

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z 42 Hospitals – Columbus, Ohio - Hospitals

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z - Schools 43 School Buildings – Columbus, Ohio

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z - Firehouses 44 Firehouses – Columbus, Ohio

For Official Use Only 21FEB Z - Police Station 45 Police Stations – Columbus, Ohio