Meeting of ICP Regional Coordinating Agencies Brief overview of ICP interim activities African Development Bank March 1, 2015, New York.

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Meeting of ICP Regional Coordinating Agencies Brief overview of ICP interim activities African Development Bank March 1, 2015, New York

INTRODUCTION..  Implemented the 2011 ICP in 50 African countries and published the results:  Comparing the Real Size of African Economies: Highlights of the Main Findings of the 2011 Round of the International Comparison Program  Comparing the Real Size of African Economies: Results of the 2011 International Comparison Program for Africa  ICP paper in the African Statistical Journal Still to be done  ? ??? Africa in the World report – in progress  ???? Have not estimated the PPPs for 2012, 2013 & 2015

INTRODUCTION…  In addition to producing internationally comparable price & expenditure data and PPP estimates, the AfDB has designed the ICP to serve as a capacity-building platform for Price statistics & NA. And  because of this importance, & the Accra Declaration of the Heads of African NSOs which decreed to conduct ICP on regular basis  Based on strong demand for reliable annual PPP  It is desirable to implement an ICP between benchmark years  consider lighter, sustainable ICP exercise. Why? Why? A full scale ICP would be expensive to run every year  Consider an integration of ICP and CPI/HCPI to reduce the costs of both ICP & CPI activities – long term agenda

Option… Compromise…  Undertake a reduced ICP program every two years between benchmark years. Similar program was implemented in  2009: covering only household consumption expenditure, (and not the GDP as a whole) Prices collected in capital city only  2015: Collection of price data in capital city only.????? Use of a reduced regional list…..????? Full GDP

Action… 2015 ICP-AFRICA  Preparatory Activities:  Development of regional reduced list using the 2011 list and the lists of products common to both ICP and CPI  Updating the data collection and validation tools  Tunis workshop: (i) review & agree on the Regional ICP products list for the undertaking of a reduced ICP-Africa round in 2015, (ii) discuss NA & capacity building (iii) brainstorm on ICP-CPI integration issues; (iv) discuss questions to be addressed within the framework of ICP-CPI integration; (v) discuss actions to be undertaken to ensure the sustainability of the integration

Action…2015 ICP-AFRICA  Launching the 2015 Reduced ICP-Africa:  About 150 participants from 54 RMCs, sub-regional organizations (SROs), regional and international institutions; Objective: Objective: to launch the 2015 reduced ICP-Africa round activities, discuss & agree on the timetable for the implementation of the 2015 ICP activities;  Review the regional reduced list related to major household products;  Discuss survey frameworks issues (principles, preparation and implementation)  Provide participants with all the necessary information for the implementation of the program

CONCLUSION … Data will be collected mid quarter months over 4 quarters Way forwardWay forward Collaborate with the ICP Global team Implementing the reduced program to ensure that the results can be linked to the rest of the world & incorporated into the global PPP time series. Estimation PPP exercise for none ICP years ICP-CPI integration pilot of exercise Hence outreach initiatives to simplify the utilization of the ICP results

THANK YOU 8