Multiple Benefits of Short Lived Climate Pollutant Mitigation for Latin America and the Caribbean Paulo Artaxo, Graciela Raga and the LAC Regional SLCP.

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Presentation transcript:

Multiple Benefits of Short Lived Climate Pollutant Mitigation for Latin America and the Caribbean Paulo Artaxo, Graciela Raga and the LAC Regional SLCP Assessment Initiative Goal: Develop a scientifically robust policy-relevant integrated assessment of SLCPs for Latin America and the Caribbean

UNEP/WMO Integrated Assessment of Black Carbon and Tropospheric Ozone Johan Kuylenstierna, Stockholm Environment Institute, SEI, Scientific Coordinator and lead author Drew Shindell, NASA-GISS, Chair; Vice- Chairs: Frank Raes, Joint Research Centre, EC; V. Ramanathan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography; Kim Oanh, AIT; Luis Cifuentes, Catholic University of Chile Coordinating lead authors: David Streets, Argonne National Laboratory; David Fowler, CEH; Lisa Emberson, SEI; Martin Williams, Kings College London 50 Contributors, over 100 reviewers UNEP/WMO Coordinators: Volodymyr Demkine, UNEP / Liisa Jalkanen, WMO In the LAC new initiative: Done in the region, coordinated by the region with focus on the region, supporting rapid actions in the region, with many benefits UNEP/WMO - 50 Contributors, over 100 reviewers UNEP/WMO Coordinators

What are short-lived climate pollutants? Multiple benefits of reducing SLCPs: Reduce regional air pollution - Protect health, crops and ecosystems. Slow down near-term global warming, reduce regional impacts of climate change Relatively short-lived in the atmosphere, with faster route to effects Most of them are air pollutants with important public health and food security impacts One of the main causes of global warming Black carbon Methane Tropospheric ozone Other key SLCP

Lifetimes in the atmosphere

Ground level ozone is increasing Source: UNEP GEO-5, HTAP Due to methane and other precursors Reducing ground level ozone: protects public health reduces ozone damage to crops

Air pollution: unfinished business on the sustainable development agenda around people die each year prematurely from illness attributable to indoor air pollution in LAC Source: WHO statistics About premature deaths each year due to outside air pollution in LAC. Outdoor air pollution Indoor air pollution Progress towards global environmental goals (UNEP GEO-5 ) “Indoor air pollution from particulate matter continues to have major health impacts, particularly on women and children.” Urgent issue in most large urban areas

Black carbon measures addressing emissions from incomplete combustion - BC, OC, methane, CO, NMVOCs Methane measures reducing methane emissions A package of 16 measures can substantially reduce emissions and achieve multiple benefits including health No technical breakthroughs These measures already implemented in many countries Cost-effective Mitigation measures ranked by net climate impact (using GWP) of emission changes Considering CO, CH 4, BC, OC, SO 2, NO X, NMVOCs, and CO 2 Picked the top measures – about 90% of warming benefit

The measures aiming at reducing methane emissions Intermittent aeration -paddy Recovery from oil and gas Recovery from livestock manure /change feed Recovery from landfill Recovery from wastewater Coal mine methane captureReducing pipeline leakage

The measures aiming to reduce black carbon emissions Improved biomass stoves Modern coke ovensRemove big smokers / DPF Cooking with clean fuel Pellet biomass heating stoves Improved brick kilns Coal briquettes replacing coalReduce agricultural burning Reduce flaring

In Latin America and the Caribbean about 39,000 premature deaths would be avoided each year HEALTH IMPACTS: Implementing the Black Carbon measures avoids about 2.4 million premature deaths globally each year

Effect of measures on global emissions projected in 2030 relative to BC measures reduce ̴80% of BC 7 CH 4 measures reduce ̴25% of CH 4 relative to 2030 BC measures reduce CO

Regional Warming Benefits Comparison of regional mean warming over land (˚C) - change in 2070 compared with 2005 for the reference scenario and the SLCP measures scenario

Addressing SLCPs is a development issue – countries reducing emissions will benefit from improved health and Improve food security. Improved urban air pollution increasing efficiency in transportation system, industrial emissions, and other measures 16 identified measures, implemented by 2030, would reduce warming in LAC by 0.5 o C in 2050 halving the rate of warming projected by the Reference Scenario, and reduce some near term climate change impacts on vulnerable areas, such as the Andes. Near-term measures would improve the chance of not exceeding 2 o C target, but only if CO 2 is also addressed, starting now (complementary strategies; not alternatives). SLCF emission reductions IS NOT an alternative to CO2 mitigation. Many measures achieve cost savings over time, increasing competitiveness. Conclusions Develop a scientifically robust policy-relevant integrated assessment of SLCPs for Latin America and the Caribbean We now need a tailored LAC integrated assessment to support rapid action!!!

Participation of National governments in LAC region is critical to this effort! TO NOMINATE YOUR NATIONAL FOCAL POINT PLEASE CONTACT: Ileana Villalobos, National Institute of Ecology and Climate Change ); Charles Davies, UNEP More information in the "INFORMATIONPAPER FOR NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS AND REGIONAL STAKEHOLDERS" which can be found here: