FY13 Budget and Caseload Update Fiscal Committee January 7, 2013

FY13 Caseload Overview Income Eligible: The Income Eligible account full year forecast is projecting a surplus of $12.7M which is approximately $900K more than last month’s projected surplus of $11.8M. Voucher access remains closed, and we are not replacing voucher children as they leave the program. The forecast includes Summer Only care for 779 children for June DTA-Related Caseload: The forecasted deficit has decreased to $5.97M, an decrease of $700K. The change is driven by a decrease in caseload (approximately 400 children). The November caseload forecast projected the following for October to November: a 3% increase for School Age children; we are reporting a 1% increase, a variance of 2%. a 2% increase for Toddlers; we are reporting a -1% decrease for Toddlers, a variance of 3%. The impact has been forecasted for the remaining 7 months of the fiscal year. Supportive: The projected surplus of $1.9M increased to a surplus of $2.8M. Contract slots continue to remain open impacting the change in forecast. Ongoing discussions with DCF indicate an effort to fill open slots. Summary: After reducing the current surplus by the forecasted DTA deficit ($6.0M), and adding the anticipated DCF surplus, the overall surplus in the caseload accounts is approximately $9.5M. 2

FY13 Caseload Overview Summary As of November

FY13 Caseload Overview Summary 4

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6 FY 2013 Income Eligible ( )

7 FY 2013 DTA Related ( )

8 FY 2013 Supportive ( )

9 (Amount in Thousands) FY2013 Income Eligible Total Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures Total Appropriation of $231.9M includes $9,019,276 for Grants and $600K Reserve for Late Billing November 2012 Voucher Expenditures paid is $6,831,420 Actual/Forecast includes projected cost for Infant Toddler Rate Increase Gray : FY13 Appropriation (Vouchers, Contracts & Grants) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures

FY2013 DTA Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures 10 ( Amount in Thousands ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures Gray : FY13 Appropriation

FY2013 Supportive Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures 11 ( Amount in Thousands ) Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures Gray : : FY13 Appropriation

FY12/13 IE Contract Slots - Regular and Flex 12 Total Awarded Slots is and Allowable Flex Slots is Providers representing 32 contracts are Over 5% Flex (273) **No. of children filling slots may be greater than slots awarded.

New Children on Waitlist (Jan 2012 thru June 2012) 13 Note: This report shows the number of children who first time entered waitlist, as active child, within specified period of time and still active when the report is created.

New ChildrenonWaitlist (July 2012 thru Dec 2012) 14 Note: This report shows the number of children who first time entered waitlist, as active child, within specified period of time and still active when the report is created.

Waitlist Enrollment in The children count is the sum from the first to the end of the month on specified month.

Caseload Waitlist Since 11/ * Waitlist Data as of September 2011 is reported from KinderWait ** Excludes Unborn children, Children 13 or older, “0” zip codes and towns out of state.