1 FAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORKFAMINE EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS NETWORK

2 FEWS NET PARTNERS

3 FEWS NET COVERAGE  FEWS NET has resident representative s in 17 African countries     FEWS NET also provides regional coverage from Harare, Bamako and Nairobi

4 To strengthen the abilities of African countries and regional organizations to manage threats of food insecurity, through the provision of timely and analytical early warning and vulnerability information THE FEWS NET VISION

5 FEWS NET ACTIVITIES  EARLY WARNING Variables:  Agroclimatic  Production crop, livestock  Prices  Welfare – malnutrition, conflict  Interventions  VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS Understand livelihoods and local economies – geographically (where?) and economic status focus (who?)  NET WORKING  Government  Donors  NGOs  Institutions  Communities Monitor hazards, shocks, that cause a change in how people normally live = Risk / Outcome The analysis of how different types of hazards or changes affect different households Baseline +Early Warning  Capacity Building oDevelop skills oWorkshops oSoftware  Response Planning  Preparedness  Numbers affected  Actions needed

6 USE OF DMC FORECAST  To develop Contingency plans – for drought, etc Example 1: Most Probable Scenario – mixed rainfall performance “normal to above normal” and below- normal to normal according to the forecastExample 1: Most Probable Scenario – mixed rainfall performance “normal to above normal” and below- normal to normal according to the forecast Assumptions and implications: Example 2: Best Case Scenario – Normal to above normal rainfall performance in all areasExample 2: Best Case Scenario – Normal to above normal rainfall performance in all areas Assumptions and implications: Example 3: Worst Case Scenario – poor or failing rainfall performance in the countryExample 3: Worst Case Scenario – poor or failing rainfall performance in the country Assumptions and implications:

7  Dissemination of DMC Forecast via Reports

8 FEWS Net information can be accessed at …