THE SMN / MEXICO OPERATIONAL PRODUCTS AND FORECAST PROCESSES IN NAME PROJECT Alberto Hernández Unzón National Weather Forecast Center México City Comisión.

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Presentation transcript:

THE SMN / MEXICO OPERATIONAL PRODUCTS AND FORECAST PROCESSES IN NAME PROJECT Alberto Hernández Unzón National Weather Forecast Center México City Comisión Nacional del Agua Subdirección General Técnica

SMN Mexico Weather Office Responsabilities Provide QPF for 13 regions to CNA in 24, 48, 72 & 96 hours Provide QPF for 13 regions to CNA in 24, 48, 72 & 96 hours Provide specific information to emergency managment regarding the storms effects on individual areas (rainfall, wind, thunderstorms, etc) Provide specific information to emergency managment regarding the storms effects on individual areas (rainfall, wind, thunderstorms, etc) Dissemite information through news media, CNA, civil defense, etc. Dissemite information through news media, CNA, civil defense, etc.

Constructing the Forecast l Based on the knowledge and experience of the forecaster combined with model guidance and all available data l Important to maintain consistency with the previous forecast l Also important to remember that the guidance could be wrong!

SMN-México National Weather Forecast Center People Resources 2003 and possible 2004? l Four Project Leaders - Supervisors l Ten Forecasters (meteorologist in charge) l Three Auxiliar Meteorologist Staff: Operational Personnel There are only.-

time (hr:min) event 07:00 cycle begins 08:00 receive synop data 09:00 national met bulletin 10:00 tropical cyclone regions (Pacific & Atlantic bulletins) 08:00 11:00 14:00 TC advisories 12:00 receive model products begin routine preparation 14:30 Briefing begins 15:30 (proposal) NAME QPF Forecast- México SMN forecast cycle in summer time (TC Activity)

Exchange visits during summer 2003 From Mex to USA From Mex to USA Two forecasters Two forecasters Results: A few days - obtain only information on the practice from this summer Results: A few days - obtain only information on the practice from this summer From USA to Mex From USA to Mex Two forecasters Two forecasters Try to obtain some coordination of QPF Try to obtain some coordination of QPF