Jordan J. Gerth Assistant Researcher, Liaison to NWS Pacific Region Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies University of Wisconsin.

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Presentation transcript:

Jordan J. Gerth Assistant Researcher, Liaison to NWS Pacific Region Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies University of Wisconsin at Madison Bill D. Ward Environmental and Scientific Services Division Chief National Weather Service Pacific Region Headquarters 1

Guam’s “day one” was 4 December The NWS Guam forecast office was ready on “day one” due to foresight at NWS Pacific Region Headquarters earlier in the year. This presentation will outline the challenge, discuss risks and solutions, highlight ongoing issues, and make recommendations for upcoming new generation satellites based on the experience. 29 June 20162

The challenge is to prepare operational meteorologists for new generation weather satellites. 329 June 2016

Practically, this means building capacity. – Ensuring technical systems are capable of delivering and displaying imagery and products at the full spatial, spectral, and temporal resolution – Infusing imagery and products into the operational forecast process – Integrating new satellite data into predictive models (numerical weather prediction and otherwise) 429 June 2016

Value = Quality of Actionable Information (Statements) – Amount of Factual Information (Data) 529 June 2016

Value decreases when data increases without impacting a decision process. In this era of “big data”, the amount of data is endlessly increasing. Unfortunately, the time duration allocated to make a decision is generally fixed. Modernizing weather forecast services hinges on the practitioner leveraging the right data at the right time. 629 June 2016

There was not suitable or tailored training for Himawari-8 imagery immediately available. 29 June 20167

CIMSS developed a new two-day workshop on the Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) with learning experiences specifically tailored to the operational forecaster. Some of the workflows that forecasters envision during the workshop are translated to the operational environment. 29 June 20168

We train on…We need to convey… The spectral differences between the infrared window channels How these differences may lead to a different storm characterization during the application of the Dvorak technique The result of increasing zenith angle on brightness temperatures How to identify strong jets and synoptic features near the edge of the scan The reflectance of certain atmospheric and surface properties at varying visible and near-infrared wavelengths How to discriminate clouds based on phase and composition How spectral bands are composited to form a Red-Green-Blue (RGB) image How to use RGBs in certain situations and in such a manner that yields dividends to the forecaster workflow 29 June 20169

General Specialized 1029 June 2016

Develop a training course/workshop that – Lasts only a few days – Focuses on the “need to know” information – Ensures participants are ready to apply knowledge to operations, and continue learning – Incorporates lab sessions that encourage participants to interact with each other and interrogate the imagery Establish “day one” readiness 1129 June 2016

Bring instructors to train forecasters in their workplace Segment two-day workshop into 3 to 4 hour sections Regionally-relevant examples and lab activities Healthy ratio of hands-on interactivity to lectures Teach the meteorologists what the bands are capable of sensing; let the meteorologists learn what the bands are sensing – Develop expertise 1229 June 2016

Introduction to the new spectral bands Weighting functions and their relationship to vertical position of tropospheric features, particularly for the water vapor channels Visualization approaches for multi-spectral imagery (RGBs, band differences) Evolutionary considerations for the operational forecaster (spatial and temporal resolution) 1329 June 2016

There is inadequate AWIPS performance to support loading, panning, and zooming of large loops, especially at full resolution. 29 June

There was little validation of the AWIPS data-to- display value mapping and geostationary map projection prior to operational use. We are hampered by our ability to innovate on AWIPS for accommodating features that would improve the forecaster experience. 29 June

Source: Leigh Anne Eaton

Source: Tom Birchard

Remap imagery to conventional projections with McIDAS and provide it to AWIPS and N-AWIPS for location-sensitive applications. 29 June

“Seeing Amos accelerating toward Samoa-up to hours faster than current forecasts indicated. Viewing 10 minute Himawari clean and legacy IR bands really aided in center fixing and tracking. Was tracking overshooting tops in final RGB convective cloud product of day then meshed right into IR & lightning data to aid in confidence.” Tom Birchard Hurricane Specialist Central Pacific Hurricane Center 29 June

Different bit depths of legacy band imagery complicates compositing Himawari-8 full disk imagery with adjacent GOES-15 for AWIPS. No GOES-R baseline products are available for demonstration in NWS Pacific Region with Himawari-8 input to date. ESPC does not support Himawari-8 operationally despite NWS use. There is an inconsistent training experience for users beyond NWS Pacific Region. 29 June

“All Weather” Total Precipitable Water on Grid 175 (covering Guam) One of the outputs from Jun Li’s GOES-R Risk Reduction Project 29 June

Operational software applications must be able to display new generation satellite imagery seamlessly at the temporal frequency and duration that the user desires. – Test and innovate before and during the post-launch period Methods to reach users with training materials should be diverse and expansive. – Learning about the capabilities of new generation satellites will not occur in one sitting 29 June

We must consider the entire forecaster workflow as part of the training experience and technical implementation. Training content and capabilities of technical systems must be aligned. – Proving ground demonstrations can sometimes be too narrowly focused on the new and not as much on the existing. Success requires reliance on a system of systems. Ensure the avenues are in place to work across organizational and technical boundaries. 29 June