The Airline Pilot …….. Is the career in trouble?

Where will airline pilots come from?  Military  General Aviation  Structured Flight School Programs Will there be enough interest in the career?

Regional Aircraft Fleet  Regional Outlook 50 seat dynamics –Fleet forecast –Second generation –Replacement aircraft seat forecast –Scope –New or replace existing narrow bodies Turboprop –How many can the market handle?

Regional Aircraft Fleet  50 Seat Forecast Currently 1, by Capacity Purchase Agreements Fuel Aging fleet – structural issues/engine costs Cost per seat

Seat Forecast  E-Jets, C-Series, M-Jet 2010 – 2015 –75-90 seats400+ – seats500+ Scope seat geared turbo-fan New or replacement?

Pilot Job Market  Fleet growth Legacy – will there be vacancies Regional – growth or reduction in fleet  Retirements  LLC Growth Opportunities  Regional industry quirks

Training Before the Career  Choices  Instructors – the real challenge  Cost Return on investment  First Officer – how long and where  Upgrade History expectations

Solutions  Who’s problem is it?  Subsidized by….  Flow-through….career path  MPL