CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR

 New approach to assessing the climate vulnerability of the world at country level.  It draws on the most recent science and research.  Looks into socio-economic impacts – negative and positive – of Climate Change and the Carbon economy, separately and combined.  Commissioned by the Climate Vulnerable Forum in the Dhaka Ministerial Declaration of November 2011: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Costa Rica, Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar, Maldives, Nepal, Philippines, Rwanda, Saint Lucia, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Tuvalu, Vanuatu, Vietnam

 34 indicators of effects of Climate Change (22 indicators) and the Carbon economy (12 indicators).  Determined on the basis of mortality and economics losses or gains.  Estimations for 2010 &  Data for 184 countries.  Five vulnerability levels.

 Environmental Disasters 1. Drought 2. Floods and landslides 3. Storms 4. Wildfires  Habitat Change 1. Biodiversity 2. Desertification 3. Heating and Cooling 4. Labour Productivity 5. Permafrost 6. Sea-level Rise 7. Water  Health Impact 1. Diarrheal Infections 2. Heat & Cold Illnesses 3. Hunger 4. Malaria & Vector-borne 5. Meningitis  Industry Stress 1. Agriculture 2. Fisheries 3. Forestry 4. Hydro Energy 5. Tourism 6. Transport

 Environmental Disasters 1. Oil Sands 2. Oil Spills  Habitat Change 1. Biodiversity 2. Corrosion 3. Water  Health Impact 1. Air Pollution 2. Indoor Smoke 3. Occupational Hazards 4. Skin Cancer  Industry Stress 1. Agriculture 2. Fisheries 3. Forestry

 Level of confidence that the research team attributes to the indicator summarizing 4 criteria  A 3 point scale is used to evaluate each criteria

The map indicates regional uncertainties of key climate factors. It shows the level of disagreement among groups of climate models on the direction of change of a given indicator's key climate variable.

The map shows the 2030 vulnerability level for every country.

CLIMATE VULNERABILITY MONITOR

 Feedback for the development of the monitor’s methodology  Explain how the analysis of the monitor can be used in a national situation  Serve as a knowledge-sharing mechanism for best practice and change management for the benefit of other vulnerable countries  Provide an outside supporting analysis of interest to national policy makers and development partners

ClimateCarbon

 Total economic cost due to CC impacts estimated to increased from 5% (2010) to 11% (2030).

 The most significant impacts for Vietnam (and also globally), especially in relation to heat stress.  Total cost due to climate change: 4.4% GDP (2010)/8.6% GDP (2030)

 Total economic cost: 0.7% (2010) to 2% (2030) GDP.  Largest total losses in the fisheries sectors due to climate change.

 National workshop in Hanoi focused on policy aspects.  Field researches on Ben Tre and Yen Bai.  In-depth interview with stakeholders (Authorities, NGOs, Businesses, Communities etc.)

Public awareness:  A key priority.  Levels of public awareness on climate change issues are both challenges and opportunities.  A focus on practical actions that people can apply and involved in is necessary. M&E:  Needs to enhance M&E efforts to promote learning and improve implementation.  A better criteria for evaluation is vital.

Sea level rises and related phenomena:  The tendency to adopt hard measures may not be the best option.  A diversification of response strategy is more practical.  Addressing other factors (e.g. managing common resources and/or transnational water issues) would be a step toward meeting these challenges.

Aquaculture and fisheries:  Dominant industries and sources of livelihood, but also capital intensive, highly sensitive to climate and risky.  Limited serious regulation targeting overfishing and protecting young fish stock.  Preservation of coastal mangrove is seen as vital.

Social vulnerability:  Malnutrition, access to clean water and electricity etc. School and education:  Initiatives exist with initial positive results Agriculture:  Very sensitive to extreme weather and impacts. Currently no insurance scheme to help protect the farmer from weather/climate related risks.