EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20061 Achievements in Sociology and Economy applied to Wildland Fires Acquis en Sociologie.

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Presentation transcript:

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20061 Achievements in Sociology and Economy applied to Wildland Fires Acquis en Sociologie et Economie appliquées aux Incendies de Forêt

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20062 Teams, objectives & deliverables in socio-economy issues

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20063

4

5 socio-economy issues shape it all

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20066 The Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires: a State of the Art Effective fire management needs to know more about where, when and why fires occur. In the Mediterranean Area, we deal with human caused fires (mostly). We therefore need to investigate socio-economic factors. Since causes are more diverse than it is often assumed, –a rational approach is necessary to give an interpretation to this complex reality, which is site and culture-specific (Leone et al, 2003). Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are appropriate tools to create, transform, and integrate geographical variables related to fire risk in order to supply the geographical location of those areas where risk factors are most severe.

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20067 Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires Planning, execution & coordination of II International Fire Economic Symposium (April 2004) with the following topics: 1.Methodological approaches to Strategic Fire Management Economy and Planning 2.Market and no-market economic evaluation techniques into wildland fire management and strategic planning 3.Trade-offs between fuel treatment and suppression activities

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20068 Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires –Planning, realization and coordination of 1st International Course on Landscape, Society and Defense against Forest Fire, (August, 2005) International University of Andalucia. with the following topics: 1."The forest landscape, modeling prevention of forest fires and economic point of view" 2."The forest landscape, modification, evolution and forest fire, technical and interpretation tools.“ 3."Methodological procedures for the determination of the natural regeneration after forest fire the Pinaster Pine”

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/20069 Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires 1.“Fire in the forest landscapes: cause and effects“ 2."The danger of forest fires in the interface area“ 3."Economic valuation and perception of the society before the forest fires impact“ 4."The human risk in the forest fires starting and their implication in the causes and motivations.“ Economic analysis of the conditions of the fire behavior, frequency of fires, and costs in the dispatch of the suppression resources, for the initial attack evaluation a province scale, developing and application tool (2005 fire season)

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ An example in S. Spain –Planning, research, and mathematical algorithm developed about economic values of natural Mediterranean from forest fire impact point of view. To integrate in “The National Forests Fire Management System” (Spain) –Research on recreation economic value to elaborate a specific digital map methodology how fire management tool in prevention and strategic planning using GIS. Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Towards methods for investigating fire causes Identification and generation of source data for the analysis of human factors related with fire occurrence (spatial and socio-economical variables) at regional scale using GIS. Integration of available historical fire data and official fire statistics into the database. Elaboration, application and validation of methodologies to predict fire occurrence at regional scale.

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ A French study site Towards methods for studying cost-to-benefit ratio of wildland fire prevention Forest fire valuation and assessment: a survey A method to study cost-to benefit ratio of wildland fire prevention

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Été 57 % Jour 68% Nuit 32% Situation 2 72% Situation 3 16% Situation 1 12% Ts les feux 100 % Hiver 43 % Vigie + PF 1 GA 0 GAAR Vigie + PF 2 GA 0 GAAR Vigie + PF 2 GA 1 GAAR Ni vigie, ni PF, ni GA ni GAAR Ni vigie, ni PF, ni GA ni GAAR 0,5ha brûlés 0hm d'interface 13ha brûlés 10hm d'interface 3ha brûlés 0hm d'interface Surface faible 72% Délai court 25% Délai long 75% Surface moy. 18% Délai court 41% Enjeux faibles 38% Enjeux forts 62% Délai long 59% Surface forte 10% Délai court 65% Enjeux faibles 34% Enjeux forts 66% Délai long 35% 12ha brûlés 13hm d'interface 24ha brûlés 13hm d'interface 63ha brûlés 8hm d'interface 94ha brûlés 8hm d'interface 125ha brûlés 12hm d'interface 209ha brûlés 10hm d'interface 314ha brûlés 57hm d'interface 418ha brûlés 51hm d'interface 63ha brûlés 46hm d'interface Densité forte 49% Densité faible 51% 16ha brûlés 14hm d'interface Densité forte 25% Densité faible 75% 31ha brûlés 12hm d'interface 47ha brûlés 11hm d'interface Densité forte 62% Densité faible 38% 125ha brûlés 42hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 33% Enjeux forts 67% Densité forte 52% Densité faible 48% 157ha brûlés 10hm d'interface Densité forte 68% Densité faible 32% 418ha brûlés 74hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 7% Enjeux forts 93% Densité forte 18% Densité faible 82% 209ha brûlés 68hm d'interface Surface faible 72% Délai court 82% Délai long 18% Surface moy. 18% Délai court 87% Délai long 13% Surface forte 10% Délai court 98% Enjeux faibles 24% Enjeux forts 76% Délai long 2% 1ha brûlés 3hm d'interface 5ha brûlés 3hm d'interface 6ha brûlés 4hm d'interface 19ha brûlés 10hm d'interface 25ha brûlés 7hm d'interface 21ha brûlés 3hm d'interface 63ha brûlés 20hm d'interface 84ha brûlés 21hm d'interface Densité forte 39% Densité faible 61% 2ha brûlés 3hm d'interface Densité forte 5% Densité faible 95% 6ha brûlés 3hm d'interface 6ha brûlés 4hm d'interface Densité forte 61% Densité faible 39% Densité forte 20% Densité faible 80% 16ha brûlés 2hm d'interface Densité forte 62% Densité faible 38% 84ha brûlés 19hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 30% Enjeux forts 70% Densité forte 11% Densité faible 89% 21ha brûlés 14hm d'interface Towards methods for studying cost-to-benefits ratio of wildland fire prevention Decision tree

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ UL- UFF Recommendations for updating the relevant European regulations Recommendations in this document will be made within six broad topics 1. Wildland Fire Data sets: enhancing Wildland Fire documentation causes investigation and official Wildland Fire Data sets 2. Wildland Fire Risk Assessments. 3. Infrastructures for Wildland Fire Pre-attack 4. Wildland Fuel treatments across the landscape (Rx) 5. Best wildland suppression actions 6. Fire Fighter Job hazard Abatement Actions 7. Enforcement and punishment (castigation, retribution)

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Recommendations for updating the relevant European regulations Single owner versus community UL- UFF

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Updating the relevant European regulations Job Hazard Safety issues: education, training, equipment, protocols, ICS UL- UFF

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Updating the relevant European regulations Job Hazard Safety issues: education, training, equipment, protocols, ICS, … All three fires hit the trigger point and were then in full alignment with wind, slope and solar preheated fuels. Firefighters died because they did not understand the potential fire behavior. UL- UFF Trigger Point of Fire Behavior change Fire Track

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Updating the relevant European regulations wise use of fire in Catalonia (NE Spain) recent (2006) regulation –Smart (skilful) use of fire under well known fuel bed structures & fire weather UL- UFF RxSuppression fire

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ M. Kids’ education - Social acceptability

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Updating the relevant European regulations UL- UFF Citizen confinement or evacuation If confinement, most likely output –People care for house survival. 6% houses survive undamaged. People may suffer smoke inhalation only. If evacuation, most likely output –People CANNOT care for house survival. +23% houses CANNOT survive undamaged. People may die: Catalonia 1993: 5 people died during evacuation (Vespella de Gaià) Catalonia 2003: 5 people died during evacuation (St Llorenç Savall) Please, confine citizens –If it is not extreme hazard –If evacuation is unsafe

EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/ Unit 05- Merci / thanks