Transport Challenges in Northwest Auckland Presentation to Independent Hearings Panel Ian Clark 14 April 2016

North West Growth Area Kumeu / Huapai Riverhead Scott Point Whenuapai Westgate Redhills Hobsonville Hobsonville Point

Existing Situation – 2015 AM  SH16 already congested  Daily traffic on SH16: 55,000 vpd, north of Royal Road  Daily capacity ~75,000 vpd (73%)  Moderate congestion at Fred Taylor Drive/Don Buck Road Intersection Kumeu / Huapai Riverhead Scott Point Whenuapai Westgate Redhills Hobsonville Point

Existing Growth Areas – PC13-15 Approx GrowthResidentialEmployment PC13 - Hobsonville Peninsula 3,000 HH2,000 jobs PC14 – Hobsonville Village 500 HH4,000 jobs PC15 – Massey North 2,000 HH9,000 jobs

Predicted Future Growth – FULSS Approx Growth SHA Decade 1 Residential Long Term Residential Whenuapai SHA1,150 HH8,100 – 9,600 HH Red Hills SHA3,550 HH3,000 – 3,600 HH Scott Point SHA2,600 HH Kumeu SHA1,200 HH6,700 – 7,800 HH Sub Total6, ,000 HH17,800 – 21,000 HH TOTAL24,600 – 30,000 HH

Future Do Minimum – 2046 PM  Significant demands predicted in Kumeu/Huapai Network Improvements – Do Minimum  SH16 widening  SH16 Waterview Connection  SH1 Northern Corridor Improvements  Local upgrades along Fred Taylor Drive

Redhills Development Future Urban Land Supply Strategy (FULSS) = 7,100 dwellings Previous developer estimates = 9,175 dwellings Latest developer estimate = 10,650 dwellings (over years) 2046 forecast mode share (excluding Active Modes) – 85% Car – 12% Public Transport – 3% Heavy Vehicles 2046 predicted peak hour traffic (based on 9,175 h/h) – 4,000 vph (AM) – 4,950 vph (PM) 2046 estimated daily trips = 45,000 vpd (based on 9,175 h/h)

Predicted Intersection Delays < 80 seconds 80 – 180 seconds > 180 seconds AM Peak PM Peak Future Do Minimum – Fred Taylor Drive

Future Operation of Network: With Improvements – Fred Taylor Drive Predicted Intersection Delays < 80 seconds 80 – 180 seconds > 180 seconds AM Peak PM Peak

Transport for Urban Growth – Draft North West Preferred Network

Future Transport Network Improvements Proposed Upgrades about Redhills Strong East – West Connection (with Hobsonville Interchange) – Fred Taylor Drive/Don Buck Road intersection upgrade – Fred Taylor Drive Urbanisation (consistent with PC15) Northside Drive Extension New North-South Arterial (to the west of the RUB) New intersections and connections along Fred Taylor Drive and Don Buck Road (associated with Redhills development) Dunlop Road Frequent Bus link Park and Ride Bus Stations – Brigham Creek Road – Westgate – Royal Road

Summary The scale of the live zoning request is significant and would place the existing network (with current approved improvements) under great pressure. The live zoning request relies on investment in the transport network that; – Is in the planning phase – Is currently out for public consultation – Does not have an approved business case – Is therefore unfunded and not programmed in the Long Term Plan. The Redhills area transport network should be planned comprehensively within the context of the wider North West growth area prior to any live zoning

Questions?