U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Use of Administrative Data in EIA’s Data Program For 10 th Meeting.

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Presentation transcript:

U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Use of Administrative Data in EIA’s Data Program For 10 th Meeting of the Oslo Group on Energy Statistics May 12, 2016 | Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes, Mexico By Stephen Harvey, Assistant Administrator for Energy Statistics

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12,

What EIA does Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy Collect, analyze, and disseminate independent and impartial energy information Committed to promoting: –Sound policymaking –Efficient markets –Public understanding of energy and its interaction with the economy and the environment By law, EIA data, analyses, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the U.S. government

Selected EIA strategic data objectives Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Maintain an integrated, comprehensive data program Improve the data planning and development process Establish and implement standard, reusable processes Evaluate and implement improvements on a regular basis Improve the survey respondent experience through –Effective communications –Clear definitions and instructions –Facilitated submissions through technology Protect the confidentiality of data entrusted to EIA

Federal Policy Regarding the Use of Administrative Data in Official U.S. Statistics Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12,

U.S. statistical policy promotes the increased use of administrative data Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Definition: “..administrative, regulatory, law enforcement, adjudicatory, financial, or other data … collected for other than statistical purposes.” “The increased use of administrative data for statistical purposes can generate a range of benefits. Most notably, individuals, businesses, and institutions will benefit through agencies' use of existing information that would otherwise need to be collected from them again through costly and duplicative surveys.”

Four goals of U.S. policy regarding use of administrative data Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Strengthen the federal statistical programs by increasing the utility of and access to administrative data. Promote collaboration between agencies on expanding use of administrative data, while protecting privacy and respecting confidentiality parameters. Establish best practices and a model for inter-agency data sharing for statistical purposes. Identify and monitor barriers that may impede agencies sharing administrative data. Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Memorandum M “Guidance for Providing and Using Administrative Data for Statistical Purposes,” February 14, 2014,

EIA Program Innovation and Calculated Use of Administrative Data Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12,

EIA already makes extensive use of administrative data Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Fill data gaps Review quality of survey results Calculate non-sample estimates Provide inputs to models At least 62 administrative datasets used for data publications and models – likely undocumented uses of administrative data in analyst-driven quality reviews

Important areas where EIA uses administrative data Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Imports and exports of energy Buildings lists for consumption survey sampling Oil and natural gas production in certain areas State-level breakouts of energy production and use Energy transportation by rail Financial operations of energy companies National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration local weather data

Administrative data may not meet all needs: EIA’s oil production experience Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Modeled oil and gas production based on tax data reported by the state of Oklahoma Data lagged, with delays in posting volumes for near months Model estimated how lagged data was likely to be based on past trends In 2015, EIA began surveying oil and gas companies directly Materially changed assessment of Oklahoma estimates JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep Thousand b/d 2015 Comparison of Oklahoma Monthly Crude Oil Production Estimates, 2015 EIA-914 EstimateALR Estimate State Data derived from well-level figures Survey estimate EIA estimate based on administrative data Oklahoma administrative data

Recent coordination promises significant enhancement of petroleum supply balances Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, Near-real-time petroleum export data promises significant improvement in EIA petroleum balance reports EIA summarizes the previous week’s petroleum complex supply balances every Wednesday, including oil supply, refinery production, imports, and exports Many elements surveyed, but weekly oil production and petroleum product exports are estimated Agreement with U.S. Customs and Border Protection now permits EIA analysts to see near-real-time export data Working with OMB and the U.S. Census Bureau (publishes official U.S. export data) to reach agreement to incorporate estimates based on this data into the weekly balances

Stephen Harvey, U.S. Energy Information Administration Aguascalientes, Mexico, May 12, U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook | Annual Energy Outlook | Monthly Energy Review | EIA Information Center (202) hour automated information line about EIA and frequently asked questions. For more information