Iihs.org National older driver crash trends Older Driver Safety Summit Boston, MA June 16, 2015 Jessica B. Cicchino.

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Presentation transcript:

iihs.org National older driver crash trends Older Driver Safety Summit Boston, MA June 16, 2015 Jessica B. Cicchino

Passenger vehicle driver crash rates Per mile traveled, by driver age, 2008 driver age Per mile traveled crash rates and fatal crash rates start increasing at about age 70.

Projected population of people 70 and older In millions,

Percent of population with licenses By age, % +3% +8% +20%

Average passenger vehicle miles driven per year By driver age, and %39% 60% 51%

WTOP, December 7, 2011 Insurance Journal, January 31, 2011 USA Today, July 27, 2012 Associated Press, August 30, 2012 Tonawanda News (NY), July 12, 2012 Sun-Sentinel (FL), March 20, 2012 NPR, February 27, 2012

Fatal passenger vehicle crash involvements of drivers age 70 and older

Fatal crashes per 100 million miles traveled By driver age, , , 2008 driver age -55% -49% -32% -26%

Fatal crashes per 100,000 licensed drivers By driver age, % -36% -45% -49%

What has changed more for older drivers: risk of crashing or survivability in a crash?

Passenger vehicle driver deaths per 1,000 crashes By age, driver age The high death rates for older drivers are predominantly because they are more likely than younger drivers to die from their injuries.

Change in older drivers’ crash risk and death risk from to , relative to middle-age drivers

Change in crash risk and death risk of drivers age 75 and older, relative to middle-age drivers, in side and frontal crashes

Contribution of crash risk and death risk to older drivers’ excess fatality rates relative to middle-aged drivers By study period

Summary  Fatal crash involvements per mile traveled and per licensed driver have declined more among older than middle-age drivers  Declines for drivers 75+ due mainly to decreases in crash risk – Better health – Increased mileage – Improvements in roadway design  Declines in death risk relative to middle-age drivers greater in side impacts – Side airbags: evidence they have been more effective for older than other occupants – Reduced passenger vehicle incompatibility: older drivers more often drive passenger cars than SUVs or pickups compared with middle-age drivers

iihs.org More information and links to our YouTube channel and Twitter feed at iihs.org Jessica B. Cicchino, Ph.D. Senior Research Scientist