Shell Exploration & Production Copyright: Shell Exploration & Production Ltd. Deepwater Exploration Challenges Mark W. Shuster Shell Exploration & Production.

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Presentation transcript:

Shell Exploration & Production Copyright: Shell Exploration & Production Ltd. Deepwater Exploration Challenges Mark W. Shuster Shell Exploration & Production Co. NOIA Lunch & Learn 13 th November, 2008

OUTLINE The Deepwater Exploration Challenge – Identifying & imaging opportunities Drilling Challenges – Unlocking opportunities Deepwater Development Challenges – Harvesting opportunities Summary

DEEPWATER EXPLORATION FUNNEL -5 yrs0 yrs10 yrs5 yrs Seismic Lease Sale Exploration Well Development Feasibility Analysis Appraisal Drilling Facility Design & Construction First Oil P P Lease Year P P P P P P P P New Technology New Geological Concepts Basin Analysis Prospect Selection Continued Application of New Ideas and Technology $ $ $ $ Escalating Costs

DEEPWATER EXPLORATION CHALLENGES Oil is found in the minds of men Wallace Pratt Future breakthroughs and new ideas exist within our people. Finding and enabling creativity and capability in people is essential for success (and women)

BACK TO THE ROCKS Successful exploration requires solid geological concepts

EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGY PRE-SALT DEPTH IMAGING Salt ? Conventional Prospect Salt OBS Wide Azimuth Seismic OCEAN BOTTOM SENSOR TECHNOLOGY Node containersAutomated node deploymentNode laying ROVNode on sea bed Courtesy of Fairfield Industries

SUB-SALT CHALLENGES Reservoir mapping & imaging Complex geology Drilling Costs Reservoir development & performance

SHELL AND SUB-SALT

GULF OF MEXICO - PRINCESS

OUTLINE The Deepwater Exploration Challenge – Identifying & imaging opportunities Drilling Challenges – Unlocking opportunities Deepwater Development Challenges – Harvesting opportunities Summary

 Extremely challenging extended reach well from Mars Platform  27,000 ft measured depth / 11,800 ft true vertical depth  Maximum inclincation > 80 degree  Very low drilling margin  Discovery to 1st oil in 5 months  4,000 boe/d into Shell infrastructure GULF OF MEXICO: MARS A-8 NEAR FIELD EXPLORATION IN THE GOM

RIG TECHNOLOGY PARTNERSHIP BULLY RIG –Game Changer Design water depth range Arctic capable –Joint development and 50% ownership Lower day rates Guaranteed availability –Reduced size 50% fuel savings Bully rig superimposed on Enterprise Class drill ship 188 metres, 45,000 tons 250 metres, 120,000 tons

OUTLINE The Deepwater Exploration Challenge – Identifying & imaging opportunities Drilling Challenges – Unlocking opportunities Deepwater Development Challenges – Harvesting opportunities Summary

2624 ft 3280 ft 3936 ft 4592 ft 5248 ft 5904 ft 6560 ft 7216 ft 7872 ft 8528 ft 5609 ft 8200 to 8528 ft DEEPWATER INDUSTRY MILESTONES

SHELL’S DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN ULTRA DEEPWATER – Peak production of 130 kboe/d of oil & gas; Shell share 35% – Spar shipped from Finland to GoM and being secured to the seafloor – Tobago field in ~2,925 m depth: world’s deepest sub sea completion – Peak production of 100 kboe/d; Shell share 50% – Based in Campos Basin in ~1,780 m depth – FPSO construction in Singapore – Transit to Brazil later in 2008 – Subsea hardware fabricated in Brazil BC10 – BRASIL PERDIDO – GULF OF MEXICO Perdido spar hull arrives in Texas FPSO construction in Singapore

SUMMARY No shortage of future challenges in the frontier of Deepwater Exploration. – Seismic imaging – Difficult exploration objectives – Difficult & high cost drilling – Deeper water & higher cost developments Key enabler is creative People applying the right Technology

DEFINITIONS & CAUTIONARY NOTE Reserves: Our use of the term “reserves” in this presentation means SEC proved oil and gas reserves and SEC proven mining reserves. Resources: Our use of the term “resources” in this presentation includes quantities of oil and gas not yet classified as SEC proved oil and gas reserves or SEC proven mining reserves. Resources are consistent with the Society of Petroleum Engineers 2P and 2C definitions. Organic: Our use of the term Organic includes SEC proved oil and gas reserves and SEC proven mining reserves excluding changes resulting from acquisitions, divestments and year-end pricing impact. This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward- looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. Also included as a forward looking statement in this presentation is our disclosure of reserves, proved oil and gas reserves, proven mining reserves, organic reserves, net reserves and resources. There are a number of factors that could affect the future operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for the Group’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results; (e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory effects arising from recategorisation of reserves; (k) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward- looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2007 (available at and ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this presentation. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. This presentation aggregates our equity position in projects for both direct and indirect interests. For example, this includes our indirect interest in the NWS and Pluto projects via our 34% shareholding in Woodside Energy Ltd. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms, such as resources, in this presentation that SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No , available on the SEC website You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling SEC In this presentation we have aggregated our proved reserves from consolidated and equity companies, as management does not view proved reserves differently based upon whether they are attributed to consolidated or equity companies. For a complete breakdown of our proved oil and gas reserves and proven mining reserves please see our Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2007