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Presentation transcript:

Welcome Back Atef Abuelaish1

Welcome Back Time for Any Question Atef Abuelaish2

Homework assignment 860Chapter 10  Using Connect – 8 Questions for 60 Points; Chapter 10.  Last day of the Homework for ALL Chapters is 5/4 at 11:59 PM. 11 Capital Budgeting and Investment Analysis  Prepare chapter 11 “Capital Budgeting and Investment Analysis.” Happiness is having all homework up to date Atef Abuelaish3

Chapter 11 Capital Budgeting and

Chapter 11 Capital Budgeting and Investment Analysis

Capital budgeting is the process of analyzing alternative long-term investments and deciding which assets to acquire or sell.  Outcome is uncertain.  Large amounts of money are usually involved.  Investment involves a long-term commitment.  Decision may be difficult or impossible to reverse. Capital Budgeting 6 Capital budgeting decisions require careful analysis because they are usually the most difficult and risky decisions that managers make. Specifically, a capital budgeting decision is risky because:

1) Compute payback period and describe its use. 1) Compute payback period and describe its use. 7

Payback Period 8 The payback period of an investment is the expected amount of time it takes a project to recover its initial investment amount. Managers prefer investing in projects with shorter payback periods.

Payback period = Cost of Investment Annual Net Cash Flow Payback period = $16,000 $4,100 = 3.9 years Computing Payback Period with Even Cash Flows 9 Example: FasTrac is considering buying a new machine that will be used in its manufacturing operations. The machine costs $16,000 and is expected to produce annual net cash flows of $4,100. The machine is expected to have an 8-year useful life with no salvage value. Calculate the payback period.

$4,100 $3,000 Computing Payback Period with Uneven Cash Flows 10 In the previous example, we assumed that the increase in cash flows would be the same each year. Now, let’s look at an example where the cash flows vary each year. $4,000 $5,000

FasTrac wants to install a machine that costs $16,000 and has an 8- year useful life with zero salvage value. Annual net cash flows are: Computing Payback Period with Uneven Cash Flows 11 payback period of 4.2 years Payback occurs between years 4 & 5 To get the payback period when we have unequal annual net cash flows, we must add the cash flows each year until the total equals the cost of the investment.

Using the Payback Period 12 The payback period has two major shortcomings:  It ignores the time value of money; and  It ignores cash flows after the payback period. Consider the following example where both projects cost $5,000 and have five-year useful lives: Would you invest in Project One over Project Two just because it has a shorter payback period?

Need to Know 11.1 Period Expected Net Cash Flows Cumulative Net Cash Flows Year 0($75,000) Year 130,000(45,000) Year 225,000(20,000) Year 315,000(5,000) Year 410,0005,000 Year 55,00010,000 Payback between the end of Year 3 and the end of Year 4 Fraction of Year:$5,000 $10,000 Payback = 3.5 years 0.5 A company is considering purchasing equipment costing $75,000. Future annual net cash flows from this equipment are $30,000, $25,000, $15,000, $10,000, and $5,000. Cash flows occur uniformly during the year. What is this investment's payback period? Absolute Value Cumulative Cash Flows Beginning of Year Expected Net Cash Flows During Year P 1 13

2) Compute accounting rate of return and explain its use. 2) Compute accounting rate of return and explain its use. 14

Accounting Rate of Return 15 When comparing investments with similar lives and risk, a company will prefer the investment with the higher accounting rate of return. Two Ways to Calculate Average Annual Investment

Accounting Rate of Return 16 Annual Average Investment Calculation: Beginning book value ($16,000) + Ending book value ($0) 2 Let’s revisit the $16,000 investment being considered by FasTrac. The new machine has an annual after-tax net income of $2,100. Compute the accounting rate of return. Accounting $2,100 rate of return $8,000 == 26.25% = $8,000

Accounting Rate of Return Limitations 17  An asset's net income may vary from year to year.  The accounting rate of return ignores the time value of money.

Need to Know 11.2 The Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) measures the amount of net income generated from a capital investment. Accounting Rate of Return = Annual After-Tax Net Income Annual Average Investment Annual After-Tax Net Income (Cost + Salvage) / 2 $40,000 ($180,000 + $15,000) / 2 $40,000 $97,500 41% The following data relate to a company’s decision on whether to purchase a machine: Cost$180,000 Salvage value15,000 Annual after-tax net income40,000 Assume net cash flows occur uniformly over each year and the company uses straight-line depreciation. What is the machine's accounting rate of return? 18 P 2

3) Compute net present value and describe its use. 3) Compute net present value and describe its use. 19

Net Present Value 20  Discount the future net cash flows from the investment at the required rate of return.  Subtract the initial amount invested from sum of the discounted cash flows. Net present value analysis applies the time value of money to future cash inflows and cash outflows so management can evaluate a project’s benefits and costs at one point in time. We calculate Net Present Value (NPV) by: A company’s required rate of return, often called its hurdle rate, is typically its cost of capital, which is the rate the company must pay to its long-term creditors and shareholders.

Net Present Value with Equal Cash Flows 21 Example: FasTrac is considering the purchase of a machine costing $16,000, with an 8-year useful life and zero salvage value, that promises annual net cash inflows of $4,100. FasTrac requires a 12 percent annual return on its investments. Exhibit 24.7 FasTrac should invest in the machine!

Net Present Value Decision Rule 22 When an asset's expected future cash flows yield a positive net present value when discounted at the required rate of return, the asset should be acquired. When comparing several investment opportunities of similar cost and risk, we prefer the one with the highest positive net present value.

Although all projects require the same investment and have the same total net cash flows, Project B has a higher net present value because of a larger net cash flow in Year 1. Net Present Value with Uneven Cash Flows 23 Net present value analysis can also be applied when net cash flows are uneven (unequal). Exhibit 24.8

Need to Know 11.3 A company can invest in only one of two projects, A or B. Each project requires a $20,000 investment and is expected to generate end-of-period, annual cash flows as follows: Year 1Year 2Year 3Total Project A$12,000$8,500$4,000$24,500 Project B4,5008,50013,00026,000 Assuming a discount rate of 10%, which project has the higher net present value? Project ANet Cash Inflows PV of $1 at 10% PV of Net Cash Inflows Year 1$12, $10,909 Year 28, ,024 Year 34, ,005 $24,500$20,939 PV of Net Cash Inflows$20,939 Amount invested(20,000) Net Present Value – Project A$939 Net Cash Inflows P 3 24

Need to Know 11.3 A company can invest in only one of two projects, A or B. Each project requires a $20,000 investment and is expected to generate end-of-period, annual cash flows as follows: Year 1Year 2Year 3Total Project A$12,000$8,500$4,000$24,500 Project B4,5008,50013,00026,000 Project BNet Cash Inflows PV of $1 at 10% PV of Net Cash Inflows Year 1$4, $4,091 Year 28, ,024 Year 313, ,767 $26,000$20,882 PV of Net Cash Inflows$20,882 Amount invested(20,000) Net Present Value – Project B$882 Project A has the higher net present value. Net Cash Inflows PV of Net Cash Inflows$20,939 Amount invested(20,000) Net Present Value – Project A$ P 3

4) Compute internal rate of return and explain its use. 4) Compute internal rate of return and explain its use. 26

Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 27 The interest rate that makes... Present value of cash inflows Initial investment -   The Net Present Value equals zero. = $0

Step 1. Compute present value factor for the investment project. Step 2.Identify the discount rate (IRR) yielding the present value factor. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Projects with even annual cash flows 28 Project life = 3 years Initial cost = $12,000 Annual net cash inflows = $5,000 Determine the IRR for this project. $12,000 ÷ $5,000 per year = Example:

Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Step 1. Compute present value factor for the investment project. $12,000 ÷ $5,000 per year = Step 2. Identify the discount rate (IRR) yielding the present value factor. 29 IRR is approximately 12%.

Uneven Cash Flows If cash inflows are unequal, it is best to use either a calculator or spreadsheet software to compute the IRR. However, we can also use trial and error to compute the IRR. Use of Internal Rate of Return When we use the IRR to evaluate a project, we compare the internal rate of return on a project to a predetermined hurdle rate (cost of capital). To be acceptable, a project’s rate of return cannot be less than the company’s cost of capital. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 30

Need to Know 11.4 A machine costing $58,880 is expected to generate net cash flows of $8,000 per year for each of the next 10 years. 1. Compute the machine’s internal rate of return (IRR). 2. If a company’s hurdle rate is 6.5%, use IRR to determine whether the company should purchase this machine. PV of Net Cash Inflows$58,880 Amount invested(58,880) Net Present Value$0 PV of Net Cash Inflows = Annual Amount x PV Annuity of $1 factor $58,880=$8,000xPV of Annuity of $1 factor $58,880 $8, =PV of Annuity of $1 factor Internal rate of return (IRR) is the interest rate at which the net present value cash flows from a project or investment equal zero. =PV of Annuity of $1 factor IRR is approximately 6%. Since this rate is lower than the 6.5% hurdle rate, the machine should not be purchased. 31 P 4

Comparing Capital Budgeting Methods 32

5) Analyze a capital investment project using break- even time. 5) Analyze a capital investment project using break- even time. 33

Break-even time incorporates time value of money into the payback period method of evaluating capital investments. It tells us the number of years an investment requires for its net present value to equal its initial cost. Break-Even Time 34 Break even time for this investment is between 5 and 6 years. Cash Flows

Homework assignment  Using Connect 7Questions for 60Chapter 11  Using Connect – 7 Questions for 60 Points; Chapter 11.  Last day of the Homework for Chaptersis 5/4 at 11:59 PM.  Last day of the Homework for ALL Chapters is 5/4 at 11:59 PM.  Prepare chapter 13 Last Chapter in the course; Analysis of Financial Statements  Prepare chapter 13 Last Chapter in the course; “Analysis of Financial Statements.” Happiness is having all homework up to date Atef Abuelaish35

Thank you, and see you, Next Week at the Same Time