2012 Elections - Presidential Race Electoral Votes Breakdown.

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Presentation transcript:

2012 Elections - Presidential Race

Electoral Votes Breakdown

Presidential Race Toss Up States Polling Averages State – Date of PollPollResultsSpread OhioOhio – 8/3 – 9/2RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 46.2, Romney 4Obama 46.2, Romney 45.5Obama +0.7 MichiganMichigan–8/16-9/2RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 47.8, Romney 45.4Obama +2.4 FloridaFlorida – 8/13 – 9/2RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 47.3, Romney 4Obama 47.3, Romney 46.7Obama +0.6 North CarolinaNorth Carolina 8/22 - 9/2/12 RealClearPolitics Avg.Romney 47.3, Obama 45.3Romney +2 IowaIowa 5/22 – 8/26RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 45, Romney 44.8Obama +0.2 ColoradoColorado 8/9 – 9/2RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 47.8, Romney 45.5Obama +2.3 VirginiaVirginia 8/13-8/23RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 47.3, Romney 46.7Obama +0.6 WisconsinWisconsin 8/13 - 8/21RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 48.2, Romney 46.8Obama +1.4 NevadaNevada 7/24-8/26RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 49, Romney 45Obama 49, Romney 45.7Obama +3.3 New HampshireNew Hampshire 6/20 - 8/12 RealClearPolitics Avg.Obama 48.3, Romney 44.8Obama +3.5

2012 Race for Senate * Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I-CT) and Sen. Bernard Sanders (I-VT) currently caucus with the Democrats and former Gov. Angus King is likely to caucus with the Democrats if he wins the open Maine seat in November.

2012 Race for Senate Snapshot *Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I-CT) and Sen. Bernard Sanders (I-VT) currently caucus with the Democrats and former Gov. Angus King is likely to caucus with the Democrats if he wins the open Maine seat in November.

Senate Breakdown Toss Up States (8) Connecticut (CT) - Linda McMahon ( R) vs. Chris Murphy (D) Average Polling data from 8/21-8/26 shows McMahon +0.6 Indiana (IN) – Richard Mourdock (R) vs. Joe Donnelly (D) Rasmussen Polling data from 8/1 shows Mourdock +2.0 Massachusetts (MA) – Scott Brown (R) vs. Elizabeth Warren (D) Average Polling data from 5/20 - 8/19 shows Brown +0.8 Michigan (MI) – Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R) vs. Debbie Stabenow (D) Average Polling data from 7/24-8/23 shows Stabenow +4.8 Montana (MT) – Denny Rehberg (R) vs. Jon Tester (D) Rasmussen Polling data from 8/20 shows Rehberg +4 North Dakota (ND) – Rick Berg (R) vs. Heidi Heitkamp (D) Average polling data from 5/3-7/11 shows Berg +5.0 Ohio (OH) – Josh Mandel (R) vs. Sherrod Brown (D) Average polling data from 8/9 – 8/25 shows Brown +3.6 Virginia (VA) – George Allen (R) vs. Tim Kaine (D) Average polling data from 7/31-8/23 shows Kaine +0.6Contd.

States leaning Democratic (4) Florida (FL) Bill Nelson (D) vs. Connie Mack (R) Average Polling data 7/26-8/21 shows Nelson +6.0 Hawaii (HI) Linda Lingle(R) vs. Mazie Hirono (D) Polling data from 7/12-7/21 shows Hirono +19 Missouri (MO) Todd Akin(R) vs. Claire McCaskill(D) Average Polling data from 8/22-8/20 shows McCaskill +6.7 New Mexico Heather Wilson(R) vs. Martin Heinrich(D) Average polling data from 7/9-8/21 shows Heinrich +7.5

States leaning Republican (3) Arizona (AZ) – Jeff Flake (R) vs. Richard Carmona (D) Average Polling data 4/30-7/25 shows Flake +6.7 Nevada (NV) – Dean Heller (R) vs. Shelley Berkley (D) Polling data from 7/24-8/26 shows Heller +5.3 Wisconsin (WI) – Tommy Thompson (R) vs. Tammy Baldwin (D) Average Polling data from 8/15-8/21 shows Thompson +7.8

2012 Battle for the House Snapshot

House Breakdown - DEM CA-24 – Lois Capps (D) vs. Abel Maldonado (R) CA-09 - Jerry McNerney vs. Ricky Gill (R) IA-03 - Leonard Boswell vs. Tom Latham (R) IL-12 - Bill Enyart (D) vs. Jason Plummer (R) NY-1 – Tim Bishop (D) vs. Randy Altschuler (R) NY-21 – Bill Owens (D) vs. Matt Doheny (R) NY-27 - Kathy Hochul (D) vs. Chris Collins (R) OH-16 – Betty Sutton (D) vs. Jim Renacci (R) OK-2 – Rob Wallace (D) vs. Markwayne Mullin (R) PA-12 – Mark Critz (D) vs. Keith Rothfus (R)

House Breakdown - GOP CA-26 – Tony Strickland(R) vs. Julia Brownley (D) CA-52 - Brian Bilbray (R) vs. Scott Peters (D) CA-07 - Dan Lungren (R) vs. Ami Bera (D) CO-06 - Mike Coffman (R) vs. Joe Miklosi (D) FL-18– Allen West (R) vs. Patrick Murphy (D) IA-04 – Steve King (R) vs. Christie Vilsack (D) IL-10 - Robert Dold (R) vs. Brad Schneider (D) IL-11– Judy Biggert (R) vs. Bill Foster (D) MI-11 – Kerry Bentivolio (R) vs. Syed Taj (D) MN-08 – Chip Cravaack (R) vs. Rick Nolan (D) NH-01 – Carol Shea-Porter (D) vs. Frank Guinta (R) NV-03 – Joe Heck (R) vs. John Oceguera (D) TX-23 – Fracisco Canseco (R) vs. Peter Gallego (D)