QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Das neue COSMO-EU Mikrophysikschema: Validierung von Eisgehalten Axel Seifert Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Simulating cloud-microphysical processes in CRCM5 Ping Du, Éric Girard, Jean-Pierre Blanchet.
Advertisements

Meteorologisches Institut der Universität München
WMO International Cloud Modeling Workshop, July 2004 A two-moment microphysical scheme for mesoscale and microscale cloud resolving models Axel Seifert.
Precipitation development; Warm and Cold clouds >0 ° C
Toward Improving Representation of Model Microphysics Errors in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble: Evaluation and Diagnosis of mixed- Microphysics and Perturbed.
“OLYMPEX” Physical validation Precipitation estimation Hydrological applications Field Experiment Proposed for November-December th International.
On the Luv-Lee Problem in the Simulation of Orographic Precipitation G. Doms, J.-P. Schulz a, D. Majewski a, J. Förstner a, V. Galabov b 1. Spatial Distribution.
Moist Processes ENVI1400: Lecture 7. ENVI 1400 : Meteorology and Forecasting2 Water in the Atmosphere Almost all the water in the atmosphere is contained.
Robin Hogan Anthony Illingworth Marion Mittermaier Ice water content from radar reflectivity factor and temperature.
What we have learned about Orographic Precipitation Mechanisms from MAP and IMPROVE-2: MODELING Socorro Medina, Robert Houze, Brad Smull University of.
Ensemble Post-Processing and it’s Potential Benefits for the Operational Forecaster Michael Erickson and Brian A. Colle School of Marine and Atmospheric.
ON THE RESPONSE OF HAILSTORMS TO ENHANCED CCN CONCENTRATIONS William R. Cotton Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University.
In this work we present results of cloud electrification obtained with the RAMS model that includes the process of charge separation between ice particles.
Introducing the Lokal-Modell LME at the German Weather Service Jan-Peter Schulz Deutscher Wetterdienst 27 th EWGLAM and 12 th SRNWP Meeting 2005.
Thompson Runs Precipitation Comparison John D. McMillen.
COSMO General Meeting, Offenbach, 7 – 11 Sept Dependance of bias on initial time of forecasts 1 WG1 Overview
 Comparison of predicted radar reflectivity (Z) with observations, such as e.g. from the W-band ARM Cloud Radar (WACR), is an essential part of verifying.
Outline Background Highlights of NCAR’s R&D efforts A proposed 5-year plan for CWB Final remarks.
Experiences with 0-36 h Explicit Convective Forecasting with the WRF-ARW Model Morris Weisman (Wei Wang, Chris Davis) NCAR/MMM WSN05 September 8, 2005.
Comparison of Evaporation and Cold Pool Development between Single- Moment (SM) and Multi-moment (MM) Bulk Microphysics Schemes In Idealized Simulations.
WMO International Cloud Modeling Workshop
Toulouse IHOP meeting 15 June 2004 Water vapour variability within the growing convective boundary layer of 14 June 2002 with large eddy simulations and.
On the Definition of Precipitation Efficiency Sui, C.-H., X. Li, and M.-J. Yang, 2007: On the definition of precipitation efficiency. J. Atmos. Sci., 64,
Deutscher Wetterdienst Fuzzy and standard verification for COSMO-EU and COSMO-DE Ulrich Damrath (with contributions by Ulrich Pflüger) COSMO GM Rome 2011.
Overview of WG5 activities and Conditional Verification Project Adriano Raspanti - WG5 Bucharest, September 2006.
COSMO General Meeting, WG3-Session, 7 Sep Cloud microphysics in the COSMO model: New parameterizations of ice nucleation and melting of snow.
Analysis of High-Resolution WRF Simulations During A Severe Weather Event Jason A. Otkin* Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University.
Cloudnet Workshop April 2003 A.Tompkins 1 Changes to the ECMWF cloud scheme  Recent package of changes for 25r3:  COMPLETE REWRITE OF NUMERICS FOR CLOUD.
NUMERICAL SIMULATION CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION CAUSED CATASTROPHIC FLOODS ALONG THE ELBE RIVER IN AUGUST 2002 Krakovskaia S.V., Palamarchuk L.V. and Shpyg.
Update on progress with the implementation of a new two-moment microphysics scheme: Model description and single-column tests Hugh Morrison, Andrew Gettelman,
COSMO General Meeting 2008, Krakow Modifications to the COSMO-Model Cumulus Parameterisation Scheme (Tiedtke 1989): Implementation and Testing Dimitrii.
1)Consideration of fractional cloud coverage Ferrier microphysics scheme is designed for use in high- resolution mesoscale model and do not consider partial.
Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Case Intercomparison For the 9th GCSS Boundary Layer Cloud Workshop, September 2006, GISS.
Jason Milbrandt Recherche en Prévision Numérique [RPN] Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada GEM Workshop, June 12, 2007 Multi-Moment Cloud.
Control Run Precipitation Comparison John D. McMillen.
© Crown copyright Met Office Review topic – Impact of High-Resolution Data Assimilation Bruce Macpherson, Christoph Schraff, Claude Fischer EWGLAM, 2009.
Impact of Cloud Microphysics on the Development of Trailing Stratiform Precipitation in a Simulated Squall Line: Comparison of One- and Two-Moment Schemes.
Regional-scale OSSEs used to explore the impact of infrared brightness temperature observations Jason Otkin UW-Madison/CIMSS 06 February 2013.
Part II: Implementation of a New Snow Parameterization EXPLICIT FORECASTS OF WINTER PRECIPITATION USING AN IMPROVED BULK MICROPHYSICS SCHEME Thompson G.,
B3. Microphysical Processes
Diagnosing latent heating rates from model and in-situ microphysics data: Some (very) early results Chris Dearden University of Manchester DIAMET Project.
Reflections on Radar Observations of Mesoscale Precipitation
Introducing the Lokal-Modell LME at the German Weather Service
Japan Meteorological Agency / Meteorological Research Institute
Development of nonhydrostatic models at the JMA
Influences of Particle Bulk Density of Snow and Graupel in Microphysics-Consistent Microwave Brightness Temperature Simulations Research Group Meeting.
Parameterization of Cloud Microphysics Based on the Prediction of Bulk Ice Particle Properties. Part II: Case Study Comparisons with Observations and Other.
WRF model runs of 2 and 3 August
By SANDRA E. YUTER and ROBERT A. HOUZE JR
QPF sensitivity to Runge-Kutta and Leapfrog core
ICE-POP WORKSOP Sep , Korea
Evaluating Cloud Microphysical Schemes in Simulating Orographic Precipitation Events Using OLYMPEX Field Experiment Observations Brian A. Colle1 and Aaron.
GEORGE H. BRYAN AND HUGH MORRISON
Simulation of the Arctic Mixed-Phase Clouds
OBR: Cloud Physics Research
Weather and Climate.
Microphysics of Cold Clouds
Three-category ice scheme
The Water Cycle.
Weather Maps.
Precipitation Rain, Snow, Sleet, hail
Han, J. , W. Wang, Y. C. Kwon, S. -Y. Hong, V. Tallapragada, and F
The Water Cycle.
Precipitation Rain, Snow, Sleet, hail
Rita Roberts and Jim Wilson National Center for Atmospheric Research
Revised and edited by Tracy Sikes Mount Bethel Elementary
Sensitivity of idealized squall-line simulations to the level of complexity used in two-moment bulk microphysics schemes. Speaker: Huan Chen Professor:
Latest Results on Variational Soil Moisture Initialisation
The Water Cycle.
Clouds, Fog, and Precipitation
Presentation transcript:

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Das neue COSMO-EU Mikrophysikschema: Validierung von Eisgehalten Axel Seifert Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach Geschäftsbereich Forschung und Entwicklung Referat FE13 “Numerische Modelle” Deutscher Wetterdienst GB Forschung und Entwicklung

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach LME cloud ice scheme: Changes with 3.22: Sticking efficiency (O) Fall speed of snow (O) Intercept parameter and geometry of snow (O) Warm rain scheme (O) Overall effect? Precipitation formation much slower, especially at cold temperatures. On average higher mixing ratios of cloud water, cloud ice and snow.

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Variable snow intercept parameter  The snow size distribution can now adjust to different conditions as a function of temperature and snow mixing ratio.  This will (hopefully) give more accurate estimates of the various microphysical process rates. higher qs lower qs new scheme: variable intercept f(D) D higher T lower T new scheme: variable intercept f(D) D higher qs lower qs old scheme: constant intercept f(D) D N 0,s

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Using a parameterization of Field et al. (2005, QJ) based on aircraft measurements all moments of the snow PSD can be calculated from the mass moment: Assuming an exponential distribution for snow, N 0,s can easily be calculated using the 2 nd moment, proportional to q s, and the 3 rd moment: Now we have parameterized N 0 as a function of temperature and snow mixing ratio. Variable snow intercept parameter: An empirical parameterization

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Variable snow intercept parameter: (continued) The dominant effect is the temperature dependency, which represents the size effect of aggregation, i.e. on average snow flakes at warmer temperature are larger. This dependency has already been pointed out be Houze et al. (1979, JAS) and is parameterized in many models using N 0,s (T).

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Accumulated precipitation UTC, 06h - 30h  Orographic precipitation falls out slower leading to decreased precip amounts at mountain tops and more horizontal advection into the lee accumulated precipitation in mm mean: 8.1 mm max: 31.5 mm mean: 11.5 mm max: 50.7 mm mean: 10.3 mm max: 36.7 mm Surface observations LME, old microphysicsLME, new microphysics

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach IWC Validation with AMF cloud radar During GOP the ARM Mobile Facility is located in the Murg valley The W-band ARM cloud radar can provide an estimate of the IWC using a dBZ-T-retrieval, e.g. the CLOUDNET algorithm.

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach IWC validation with cloud radar For 4 May 2007 the COSMO-EU operational forecast is able to predict the ice water content of a frontal system. Most of the IWC is in the large mode (snow), only a small portion of the mass is in the cloud ice mode. This is consistent with the measurements of Field et al. (2005).

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach IWC validation with cloud radar Re-running the case with a smaller domain leads to a similar result, but with lower IWC. The LMQ experiment was initialized on 1 May from GME anaysis. After that a full data assimilation was run until 4 May 00 UTC. Operational COSMO-EU LMQ Experiment

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach IWC validation with cloud radar 00 UTC runs A comparison of old an new microphysics shows a quite dramatic difference. The old scheme is not able to produce realistic cloud structures and IWC. LMQ new microphysics LMQ old microphysics

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach IWC validation with cloud radar 06 UTC runs Realistic IWC using the new scheme. Very low IWC for the old microphysics scheme. LMQ new microphysics LMQ old microphysics

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach IWC validation with cloud radar A comparison of old an new microphysics shows a quite dramatic difference. The old scheme is not able to produce realistic cloud structures and IWC. LMQ new microphysics LMQ old microphysics