2010 Census Redistricting - Collier County Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 8/18/2011.

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Presentation transcript:

2010 Census Redistricting - Collier County Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 8/18/2011

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Collier County2000 Census2010 Census Total Population251,377321,520 Ideal BCC Dist.50,27564,304 Voting Age Pop.201,436258,873 Hispanic VAP33,55556,742 Hispanic VAP %

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Collier County2000 Census2010 Census Total Population251,377321,520 Native Born205,306241,602* Foreign Born46,07174,242* Naturalized14,19422,587* Not a Citizen31,877 (12.7%) 51,655* (16.0%) 3 * 2009 ACS

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Collier County Not Adjusted for Citizenship Adjusted for Citizenship Adjusted for List Maint. Voting Age Population 258,873217,291*217,291 Registered Voters 184, ,570166,113** Percentage71.3%84.9%76.4% 4 * 258,873 RVs – (51,655 NCs x.805 %VAP) = 217,291** 184,570 – 10% = 166,113

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections BCC District Voting Age Population Registered Voters RVs/VAP (Not Adjusted for Citizenship) 149,40635, % 251,51842, % 362,24542, % 440,63931, % 555,06531, % 5

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections  Equal Population  Contiguous Territory  Voting Rights Act  Equal Protection Clause _________________________________  Compactness  Political Subdivisions  Communities of Interest  Respect Existing Districts  Incumbency Protection Redistricting Criteria: 6

Across the States (2000) Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 7

Equal Population – Pre- Reynolds v. Sims Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 8 StateSmallestLargestRatio Connecticut (H)19181,000424:1 New Hampshire (H)33,2441,081:1 Utah16532,380196:1 California (S)14,0006M (L.A.) 428:1 Nevada (S)568127,000224:1 Idaho (S)95193,40097:1 Vermont (GA)3635,000972:1

Equal Population – Current Situation  One person, one vote.  The unit of measure for initial redistricting is total population.  Congressional districts require nearly precise mathematical equality.  State and local districts may deviate up to 10% to achieve a recognized redistricting goal. Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 9

Equal Population – Current Situation  One person, one vote.  The unit of measure for initial redistricting is total population.  Congressional districts require nearly precise mathematical equality.  State and local districts may deviate up to 10% to achieve a recognized redistricting goal. Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 10

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 11

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections District 2 is contiguous.District 2 is not contiguous. 12

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections BCC Census2010 Census Total Population55,99976,157 Voting Age Pop.39,44055,065 Hispanic VAP14,24223,013 Hispanic VAP %36.1%41.8% 13

14 Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Section 5, VRA - Retrogression District 5Hispanic - TotalHispanic - VAP Benchmark/Current45.5%41.8% Map 149.1%46.0% Map 249.2%45.6% Map 349.1%46.0% Map 449.7%46.7% Map 550.2%47.4%

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 15 Section 2, VRA - Dilution Section 2 requires the creation of majority-minority districts where justified by the circumstances.  Packing – an overconcentration of the minority population that dilutes minority voting strength.  Cracking – fragmenting the minority population so that it dilutes minority voting strength.

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 16 Thornburg v Gingles, 478 U.S. 30 (1986): A.Pre-conditions: 1)The minority group must be sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member district. 2) The minority group must be politically cohesive. 3)The majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it usually to defeat the minority's preferred candidate. B.Totality of the Circumstances Test Section 2, VRA - Dilution

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Section 2, VRA - Dilution Are Collier County Hispanics politically cohesive? DEM REP NPA Other 38.6% 30.4% 26.6% 4.3% 17 Elected Hispanic Officials Year Elected District Luis Rojas 1992House 102 Ralph Arza 2000House 102 David Rivera 2002House 112 Mario Diaz-Balart 2002Cong. 25 David Rivera 2010Cong. 25 Jeanette Nuñez 2010House 112

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Highly Compact 61% 18

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Not Compact 9% 19

20 Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections House 101 House 112 GGC CDP

21

22 + 6, , , , ,853 BCC 1 BCC 2 BCC 3 BCC 4 BCC 5

23 David Weeks, AICP Growth Management Plan Manager/ BCC Redistricting Project Manager Growth Management Division, Planning & Regulation Land Dev. Services Dept., Comprehensive Planning Section 2800 North Horseshoe Drive, Naples, FL Phone: ; E-fax: website: BCC Redistricting website:

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections Go to Maps 24

Jennifer J. Edwards Supervisor of Elections 25