The Bio-Economic Model of European Fleets (BEMEF) Griffin Carpenter, New Economics Foundation.

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Presentation transcript:

The Bio-Economic Model of European Fleets (BEMEF) Griffin Carpenter, New Economics Foundation

Background Reformed Common Fisheries Policy now in place –Article 2.2 on MSY –Article 17 on socio-economics Differing economic analyses leading up to the reform

Purpose Illustrate the potential Contribute to greater understanding Open up the black box Start new conservations

Structure Information from the Commission’s Annual Economic Report on EU fishing fleets An extension of the EIAA model (Frost, et al) “Backward” model from quota level -> effort Uses estimates of future yield (MSY) and biomass (BMSY)

Model structure

Limitations Data coverage –211/603 fleets –24,526 vessels –73% of landings, 91% of quota Matching biological and fleet information Behavioural change Multi-period static equilibrium model

Gains at MSY

Modelling impacts Profits More fish € € € More revenue Jobs Wages

Quota allocation Maximise jobs (jobs/kg) Minimise fuel use (l/kg) Minimise effort (KW/kg) Quota to allocate Historic share Maximise profit (profit-subsidies/kg)

Trade-offs

Policy implications TACs still being set above scientific advice We’ve produced Landing the blame reports for 2015 Baltic & Deep Sea TACs

Policy implications More data is needed on the biological status of species (quota and non-quota) More data on fleet performance is needed for complete fleet coverage

Policy implications MSY is the limit, but method matters too Gear types, ecosystem damage, discarding of catch Implementing Article 17 and managing fisheries in the public interest

BEMEF-powered tools … User-friendly website: Linking results to the port level More to come!

Find out more Thank you