2035 Comprehensive Plan Update Introduction/Demographics 7/10/14 Planning Commission Meeting

Purpose of the Comprehensive Plan The purpose of a Comprehensive Plan is to provide a basis for assisting the County in promoting an optimal development pattern over the next 20 years. The Plan shall serve as a guide to assist in decisions related to development, growth, and provision of public services. The Comprehensive Plan is general in nature and “comprehensive” covering a wide range of topics such as land use, transportation, environmental issues, public services, etc; and it is long range.

Purpose of the Comprehensive Plan The Comprehensive Plan provides guidance for the formation and implementation of various tools that guide growth and development decisions. Comprehensive Plan Zoning Ordinance Subdivision Ordinance Capital Improvement Program Other Policies & Regs

Legal Basis for Comprehensive Plan Code of Virginia requires localities to adopt a comprehensive plan for the physical development of the jurisdictions. The Code requires consideration be given to existing conditions and growth trends. The Plan shall include: ▫Long range recommendations for general development ▫Designation of areas for affordable housing ▫A Transportation plan that includes:  Hierarchy of roads  Map that shows road/transportation improvements  Plan shall be consistent with the State Six Year Plan  Align transportation infrastructure with affordable, accessible housing and community services in order to facilitate community integration of the elderly and persons with disabilities.

Relationship to Other Studies Utility Master Plan Access Management Plan – Centerville Area REDC – Rural Economic Development Committee Mixed Use Ordinance Board of Supervisors Strategic Plan  Regional Growth Pressures

Henrico County Existing/Proposed Developments – RTD – 7/6/2014

BOS Strategic Plan - Goals 1.Efficient, Effective, and Transparent Government; Emphasis on Customer Service Excellence 2.Balanced Development, Preserve Rural Character 3.Excellence in Financial Management 4.High Quality Core Services Including Education, Public Safety, & Health 5.Highly Qualified, Diverse Workforce

Strategic Plan Goal: Balanced Development/Preserves Rural Character Objectives: Support a balance of business and residential development that contributes to a healthy economy Success indicators ▫Commercial Residential Ratio ▫Improved Diversification of the tax base ▫% of development occurring in the planned growth areas ▫Varying housing types approved ▫Increased utility connections ▫Unemployment rate ▫New commercial permits; number of businesses ▫New investment: $ and jobs ▫Amount proffered for offsite infrastructure ▫Competitive tax rate

Strategic Plan Goal: Maintain Rural Character and Historic Resources Objective: Support maintaining the County’s rural character and historic resources Success indicators: ▫Number of ordinance changes in support of agri business ▫Number of agri businesses in the County ▫Number of people visiting historic sites

Strategic Plan Goal: High Quality Core Services Objectives Support Quality education Promote Public Safety Promote community health and human services

Where Are We Now?

Demographic Profile Population Growth in Goochland & Adjoining Counties County1980Change1990Change2000Change2010 Total Change Goochland11,76120%14,16319%16,86329%21,71785% Chesterfield141,37248%209,27424%259,90322%316,236124% Cumberland7, %7,82515%9,01711%10,05228% Hanover50,39826%63,30636%86,32016%99,86398% Henrico180,73521%217,88120%262,30017%306,93570% Fluvanna10,24420%12,24964%20,04728%25,691151% Louisa17,82514%20,32526%25,62729%33,15386% Powhatan13,06217%15,32846%22,37725%28,046114%

Where Is Our Growth Occurring?

Census Tract Map

Population Comparison by Census Tract Total21,71716, ,228 (29%)4,363 (26%) 40024,264 (20%)3,578 (21%) 40031,406 ( 6%)1,274 ( 8%) 40045,556 (26%)4,205 (25%) 40054,263 (20%)3,443 (20%)

What Does Our Population Look Like?

Shift in Age Cohort Population

Housing Units Owner vs. Renter Occupied

Employment and Income Information LocationPopulation 4Year+ Education Labor Participation Median Age Median HH Income Goochland21, %41%45.2$75,580 Chesterfield316, %72.7%37.6$71,661 Hanover99, %70.1%41.0$76,926 Henrico306, %70.7%37.5$57,807 Powhatan28, %46.6%41.6$75,118 Fluvanna25, %63.6%41.1$62,163 Us Average--27.5%65.0%37.2$51,425

How Fast Will We Grow?

Goochland% ChangeVirginia% Change ,71729% 8,001,02413% ,08811% 8,811,51210% ,8867% 9,645,281 9% ,5056%10,530,229 9% Projected Population, Weldon Cooper

Recently approved Residential Projects Parke at Saddlecreek – Phase II - (building permit stage) 84 vacant lots Readers Branch – Rezoning approved 206 units Swanson Ridge – Rezoning approved 100 units Tuckahoe Creek – Tentative Subd. approved 115 units Parkeside Village – LDP approved 118 units The Retreat – Phase 1 under construction 254 units The Retreat – Phase 2 allowed by zoning 316 units

Agriculture Statistics Description Total Number of Farms Total Agriculture Land (acres)52,33559,29250,142 Size of Farm Less than 10 acres acres acres acres acres ,000 acres and above697 Average Farm Size (acres) Market Value of agriculture products sold $5,750,000$11,236,000$16,562,000 Value of crops including nursery/greenhouse $1,485,000$ 3,647,000$ 8,311,000 Value of livestock, poultry and their products $4,265,000$ 7,590,000$ 8,250,000

Description Farms by value of sales Less than $5, $5,000 - $9, $10,000 - $24, $25,000 - $49, $50,000 - $99, $100,000 or more % of farms with $100,000+ in sales5%6%4% Principal Farm operators by primary occupation Farming Other Source: US Census of Agriculture Agriculture Statistics

Guiding Principles 2028 Plan Preserve Rural Character Anticipate and prepare for population growth Guide development to village areas

Guiding Principles 2035 Plan Balanced Development/Preserve Rural Character Anticipate and prepare for population growth Guide development to village areas and designated growth areas Ensure that new development does not exceed the County’s ability to provided the needed services and infrastructure Protect natural, scenic, and historic resources

Chapters Divide Plan into Chapters ▫Land Use/Community Character/Villages ▫Rural Strategies/Economic Development ▫Transportation/Major Thoroughfare Plan ▫Public Facilities  Utilities  Schools  Emergency Services  Parks  Technology ▫Natural, Historic, and Cultural Resources ▫Implementation

Land Use Principles and Trends Planning Commissions thoughts and comments.