Brexit and Financial Stability: Macropru in action Donald Kohn, Robert S Kerr Senior Fellow, Brookings, and Member, Financial Policy Committee, Bank of.

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Presentation transcript:

Brexit and Financial Stability: Macropru in action Donald Kohn, Robert S Kerr Senior Fellow, Brookings, and Member, Financial Policy Committee, Bank of England

The Financial Policy Committee Our primary objective: “The responsibility of the Committee in relation to the achievement by the Bank of its Financial Stability Objective relates primarily to the identification of, monitoring of, and taking of action to remove or reduce systemic risks with a view to protecting and enhancing the resilience of the UK financial system.” Subject to that a secondary objective to: “Support the economic policy of Her Majesty’s Government, including its objectives for growth and employment.” - Bank of England Act 1998, as amended in 2012

FPC actions before the Referendum Identified & Monitored “The Committee assesses that the risks around the referendum to be the most significant near-term domestic risks to financial stability” - March 29 statement of results of March 23 meeting The Committee identified the following channels through which the referendum could increase risks to the financial stability: Capital inflows to finance a large current account deficit Commercial real estate prices and financing High level of UK household indebtedness Fragility in market liquidity Weak global growth and risks to euro area Actions FPC supported more intensive (PRA) supervision of exchange rate exposure, and LTRO operations and liquidity provision (by Bank) to ensure that any adjustments would be orderly

Market reactions to the Referendum Referendum to meeting on July 1 In addition: Sterling more volatile Outflows from CRE investment funds and share prices  Possible gating of funds But market functioning holds up

What we did: Damping procyclicality Release the bank countercyclical capital buffer of 0.5% of risk-weighted assets.  WHY? To cushion a possible negative shock to growth by increasing banks’ capacity for lending to UK households and businesses.

What we did: Damping procyclicality Release the bank countercyclical capital buffer of 0.5% of risk- weighted assets.  WHY WERE WE COMFORTABLE DOING THIS? Capital margins built up over previous years—buffers are there to be used when risks crystallize

What we did: Damping procyclicality Release the bank countercyclical capital buffer of 0.5% of risk- weighted assets.  WHY WERE WE COMFORTABLE DOING THIS? Capital margins built up over previous years—buffers are there to be used when risks crystallize Stress test framework had helped to calibrate the appropriate macroprudential capital levels in a stress

What we did: Damping procyclicality Release the bank countercyclical capital buffer of 0.5% of risk- weighted assets.  WHY WERE WE COMFORTABLE DOING THIS? Capital margins built up over previous years—buffers are there to be used when risks crystallize Stress test framework had helped to calibrate the appropriate macroprudential capital levels in a stress Ample bank liquidity and enhanced BoE facilities.

What we did: Get out of the way of monetary policy Exempt central bank deposits from the exposure measure— the denominator of the leverage ratio. Leverage ratio should not increase required capital when the MPC took actions to increase the amount of reserves. Leverage ratio would be recalibrated in 2017 to avoid this decision reducing required capital overall.