Introduction to the Research Unit
Somewhere, something incredible is waiting to be known. - Carl Sagan
“Buried deep within each and every one of us there is an instinctive, heart-felt awareness that provides – if we allow it to – the most reliable guide.” - Prince Charles, 2000 Are our instincts our “most reliable guide?”
Reno, NV or Los Angeles, CA Which is further east: Reno, NV or Los Angeles, CA Atlanta, GA or Detroit, MI
Which is further north: New York, NY or Paris, France?
“The naked intellect is an extraordinarily inaccurate instrument “The naked intellect is an extraordinarily inaccurate instrument.” - Madeleine L’Engle, 1973
Hindsight Bias Hindsight Bias The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that you could have foreseen the result. “I knew it all along”
Hindsight Bias Common sense more easily describes what has happened that what will happen.
Overconfidence Overconfidence The tendency to be more confident than correct – to overestimate the accuracy of our beliefs and judgments Together with hindsight bias, can lead to overestimate our intuition
How good are you at solving anagrams? WREAT = WATER ETRYN = ENTRY GRABE = OCHSA = BARGE CHAOS We humans tend to think we know more than what we do.
How much confidence do you have in world facts? Hand out Research in Psychology w/s
Perceiving Order in Random Events We have a natural eagerness to make sense out of our world, so we perceive patterns. 1 in 2,598,960 1 in 2,598,960
The Scientific Attitude Three main components Curious eagerness Skeptical testing of ideas Open-minded humility
These factors are why we need to Critical Thinking Critical Thinking Thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions These factors are why we need to engage in research.
How does the scientific attitude contribute to critical thinking? Ticket Out The Door How does the scientific attitude contribute to critical thinking? The scientific attitude combines curiosity, skepticism, and humility to evaluate evidence, assess conclusions, and examine our own assumptions.