Washington 2008: G20 policies to fix the fault lines

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Presentation transcript:

What a difference a decade makes Mark Carney, Chair of the Financial Stability Board

Washington 2008: G20 policies to fix the fault lines

Higher buffers, capital and liquidity Washington 2008: G20 policies to fix the fault lines Resilient banks Higher buffers, capital and liquidity Lower leverage

Higher loss absorbency Effective resolution regimes Washington 2008: G20 policies to fix the fault lines Ending too big to fail Higher loss absorbency Effective resolution regimes Building resilience

System-wide monitoring Strengthen oversight and regulation Washington 2008: G20 policies to fix the fault lines Shadow banking System-wide monitoring Strengthen oversight and regulation Building resilience Ending too big to fail

Washington 2008: G20 policies to fix the fault lines Making derivatives safer Central counterparty clearing Margin requirements Trade repository reporting of OTC derivatives Building resilience Ending too big to fail Shadow banking

Financial system resilient despite uncertainty

Safer: Banks have substantially more capital…

Safer: Trading and short-term funding slashed Short-term wholesale funding, % of total

Financial system assets, 2007 Simpler: shadow banking to market-based finance Banks $86 trn Non-banks (incl. pension funds, insurers) $102 trn of which: Shadow Banking $29 trn Financial system assets, 2007 Real economy

Financial system assets, 2007 Simpler: shadow banking to market-based finance 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 $ trillions* Shadow banking (limited regulatory oversight) Banks $86 trn Non-banks (incl. pension funds, insurers) $102 trn Financial system assets, 2007 Real economy of which: Shadow Banking $29 trn * FSB Global Shadow Banking Monitoring Report 2016

Simpler: shadow banking to market-based finance 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2007 $ trillions* Shadow banking (limited regulatory oversight) Resilient market-based finance (comprehensive policies for transparency and resilience) 2015 Shadow banking at risk of sudden stops in times of stress Financial stability risks addressed - FSB asset management recommendations  - MMF reforms (notably EU, US)  ‘Toxic’ shadow banking Financial stability risks addressed - Securitsation reforms  - Market intermediation reforms  * FSB Global Shadow Banking Monitoring Report 2016

GBP 6 Month LIBOR trades, February 2017 Simpler: benefits of central clearing GBP 6 Month LIBOR trades, February 2017 Trades without clearing Cleared trades

FSB roadmap is turning shadow banking into resilient-market based finance Building more sustainable sources of non-bank financing for the real economy Assess and mitigate financial stability risks posed by other shadow banking entities and activities Dampen pro-cyclicality in securities financing transactions Improve transparency and align the incentives in securitisation Reduce the susceptibility of money market funds (MMFs) to ‘runs’ Mitigate risks in banks’ interactions with shadow banking entities

Fairer: Ending too-big-to-fail Identify most systemic banks Extra capital to reduce probability of future bailouts Closer supervision Resolution regimes, living wills, gone concern loss absorbency

Fairer: Markets no longer banking on bail out…. 1 2 3 4 5 6 UK US Germany France Switzerland Too big to fail subsidy reflected in rating Peak ratings uplift Current ratings uplift

Full, timely and consistent implementation Risk-based capital Liquidity (LCR) Leverage ratio I. Creating resilient banks II. Ending too big to fail III. Shadow banking into market-based finance IV. Making derivatives markets safer Resolution powers Recovery planning Resolution planning Valuation rules Liquidity Stable NAV rules Trade repositories Exchange trading Margin rules Central clearing Final rule in force Final rule or draft regulation published Draft regulation not published Not applicable

Working together to take full advantage Dynamic implementation Resisting fragmentation Working together to take full advantage of progress