How Will Aging and “Feminization” Affect the Future Supply of Dentists? Thank you for joining! You will be on hold until the call begins at 11 a.m. Central.

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Presentation transcript:

How Will Aging and “Feminization” Affect the Future Supply of Dentists? Thank you for joining! You will be on hold until the call begins at 11 a.m. Central time Please remember to mute your phone unless you are speaking. This webinar will be recorded. Streaming audio is available through your computer If you’d like to call in to listen to the audio via phone, dial 888.203.5515 and then enter conference ID: 65480706

The ADA Health Policy Institute

The ADA Health Policy Institute

Today ADA.org/HPI

Today CHAIR Marko Vujicic, Chief Economist & Vice President, ADA Health Policy Institute PRESENTER Bradley Munson, Senior Research Analyst, ADA Health Policy Institute PANELISTS Arpita Chattopadhyay, Chief, Workforce Analysis Branch, National Center for Health Workforce Analysis, Bureau of Health Workforce, Health Resources Service Administration Janet Guthmiller, Dean, College of Dentistry, University of Nebraska Medical Center Richard Valachovic, President & CEO, American Dental Education Association

Key Messages We estimate the future supply of dentists in the U.S. adjusting for expected shifts in age and gender mix. Age and gender affect hours worked and volume of patients seen. In the most probable scenario, the per capita supply of dentists is projected to increase through 2035. The issue of provider adequacy is more complex; further research is needed.

Methodology Graduates Retired Foreign-trained Practicing Dentist Moved out Re-licensure Death Un-retirement License lapse Exit labor force Emigration

Inflows

Outflows

Modeling Assumptions

Gender Mix

Age Mix

Hours Worked Adjustment

Patient Visits Adjustment

Results

Results

Results

Arpita Chattopadhyay Chief, Workforce Analysis Branch National Center for Health Workforce Analysis Bureau of Health Workforce Health Resources Service Administration

Dean, College of Dentistry University of Nebraska Medical Center Janet Guthmiller Dean, College of Dentistry University of Nebraska Medical Center

President & CEO American Dental Education Association Richard Valachovic President & CEO American Dental Education Association

ADA Health Policy Institute work: Thank You! Learn more about other ADA Health Policy Institute work: ADA.org/HPI To inquire about speaking engagements or custom data analytics, please contact: hpi@ada.org

Age Mix

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