Copenhagen Accord: Freezes carbon inequity in the world

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Presentation transcript:

Copenhagen Accord: Freezes carbon inequity in the world CSE, January 8, 2010

The budget: 2020 The world must emit by 2020: 40-44 gtCO2e to keep it within 1.5°-2° C Business as usual scenario: 57 gtCO2e Reduce: 13-17 gtCO2e by 2020

Copenhagen: Inequity in pledge Current pledges (UNFCCC leaked paper) 2.1 gtCO2e for Annex 1 parties 3.7 gtCO2e for non-Annex 1 parties 1.5 gtCO2e from LULUCF (Brazil and Indonesia) Burden of emission cut shifted to us

Cumulative injustice Cumulative CO2 emitted since 1890 to 2007: 1201 gt Share of cumulative emissions: till 2007 Annex 1: 700 gt (roughly 58-60%) US share: 333 gt (roughly 28-30%) Developing country: 501 (40-42%) China: 104 gt (9%) India: 31 gt (3%)

Inequity: Frozen and decided 2020 budget: 40-44 gt Annex 1 will be allowed (with their pledges) =16 gt US = 6 gt Developing countries with pledges = 29 gt India = 3.6 gt China = 11.2 gt India remains half of US in 2020. US has 4.5 per cent of the world’s population, India has 17 per cent 3rd – 4th class citizen

Copenhagen Accord: Bad maths and worse politics Cumulative and percentage: Allowed: 1589 gt Rich countries: 700+112 gt= 812: 56-51% budget (16% of world population) US: 333+42= 375 (24% budget): 4.5% of world population Developing countries: 501+203= 704gt (44%-46%) India: 31+25: 56 gt = 4% budget (17% population) China: 104+78: 182 gt = 11% budget (20% population)