The Keynesian Model of Income Determination in a Four Sector Economy Determination of Equilibrium income or output in a Four Sector The inclusion of the foreign sector in the analysis influences the level of aggregate demand through the export and import of goods and services. Hence it is necessary to understand the factors that influence the exports and imports.

The volume of exports in any economy depends on the following factors: The prices of the exports in any domestic economy relative to the price in the other countries. The income level in the other economies. Tastes, Preferences, customs and traditions in the other economies. The tariff and trade policies between the domestic economy and the other economies. The domestic economy’s level of imports.

Illustration -1 The fundamental equations in an economy are given as: Consumption Function                  =  200 + 0.8Yd Investment                 =          300 Tax                                                =          120 Government Expenditure             =          200 Exports                                        =          100 Imports                                         =          0.05Y

Find the following. The equilibrium level of income The net exports Solution Here the consumption function is         C         =          200 + 0.8Yd     C         =          200 + 0.8 (Y – T)     C         =          200 + 0.8 (Y – 120)

The equilibrium condition is given as Y         =          C + I + G + X – M Thus, Y = 200 + 0.8 (Y – 120) + 300 + 200 +100 – 0.05Y Y = 200 + 0.8 Y – 96 + 600 – 0.05Y Y – 0.8Y+ 0.05Y        =          704        0.25Y              =          704                    Y         =          704 / 0.25 The equilibrium level of income is 2,816.

There is a deficit in the balance of trade.         Import M   = 0.05Y = 0.05 (2,816)                                    =      140.8 Net Exports:     X – M   =        100 – 140.8                          X - M   =          - 40.8 There is a deficit in the balance of trade.

Illustration- 2 For Credentials of the numerical illustration 1, find the following: The increase in the income if both government expenditure and tax increased by an amount of 20 each. The net exports, if exports increased by an amount of 60. Solution If both government expenditure and tax increased by an amount of 20 each, G = 220 and Tax = 140

The equilibrium condition is given as Y = C + I + G + X – M Thus Y     =  200 + 0.8 (Y - 140) + 300 + 220 + 100 – 0.05Y Y         =          200 + 0.8Y – 112 + 620 – 0.05Y  Y – 0.8 Y + 0.05Y      =          708                   0.15Y  =          708                   Y       =          708 / 0.25                   Y =          2,832 The equilibrium level of income is 2,832. Hence, there is an increase in the income by 16.

2. If the exports increased by an amount of 60, X = 160 The equilibrium condition is given as Y = C + I + G + X – M Thus, Y = 200 + 0.8 (Y – 120) + 300 + 200 + 160 – 0.05Y Y         = 700 – 96 + 160 + 0.8Y – 0.05Y Y         = 764 + 0.75Y Y – 0.75Y       =          764

0.25 Y  =          764   Y         =          764 / 0.25 The equilibrium level of income is 3,056. Imports M = 0.05 Y = 0.05 (3,056) = 152.8 Net Exports X – M = 160 – 152.8 = 7.2        X – M             =          7.2 There is a surplus in the balance of trade.

Illustration-3 The equations in an economy are given as: C = 260 + 0.8 Yd, Investment function I = 320 Tax = 300 Government Expenditure = 300 Exports = 300 – 0.05Y

You are required to ascertain the following: Find the equilibrium level of income Find the net exports at equilibrium level of income Find the equilibrium level of income and the net exports when there is an increase in investment from 320 to 340 Find the equilibrium level of income and the net exports when the net export function becomes 280 – 0.05Y

Solution (1) The consumption function is C = 260 + 0.8Yd C = 260 + 0.8 (Y – T)    C = 260 + 0.8 (Y – 300) The equilibrium condition is give as Y = C + I + G + X – M Thus, Y =  260 + 0.8 (Y – 300) + 320 + 300 + 300 – 0.05Y –0

The equilibrium level of income is 3,760.  Y         =          260 + 0.8Y – 240 + 920 – 0.05Y Y – 0.8Y + 0.05Y          =          940   0.25 Y  =          940         Y         =          940 / 0.25 The equilibrium level of income is 3,760.

(2) Imports M = 0 Net Exports X – M   =  300 – 0.05(3,760) – 0 X – M         =     300 – 188         =     112 There is a surplus in the balance of trade. (3)  Y = 260 + 0.8 (Y – 300) + 340 + 300 + 300 – 0.05Y Y = 260 + 0.8Y – 240 + 340 + 300 + 300 – 0.05Y

Y – 0.8Y + 0.05Y       =          960             0.25 Y             =          960                         Y         =          960 / 0.25 The equilibrium level of income (Y) is 3,840 which is an increase by 80 Imports M = O, Net Exports X – M = 300 – 0.05 (3,840) – 0         =  108 There is a surplus in the balance of trade.

(4)  Y= 260 + 0.8(Y – 300)+320+300+280 – 0.05Y+0 Y         =     260 + 0.8Y – 240 + 900 – 0.05Y  Y – 0.8Y + 0.05Y       =          920                         0.25Y              =          920                              Y         =          920 / 0.25 Thus the equilibrium level of income is 3680 which is a decrease by 160.           

Imports M       =          0 Net Exports X – M = 280 – 0.05(3,680)                   X – M =          96 There is a surplus in the balance of trade and decrease net exports 12.