Tropical Cyclone Forecasting and Monitoring

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Presentation transcript:

Tropical Cyclone Forecasting and Monitoring

Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Velden et al. (2006). © 2006, American Meteorological Society.)

Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones, Ch. 3, © 1995 WMO.)

Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Velden et al. (2006). © 2006, American Meteorological Society.)

Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Velden et al. (2006). © 2006, American Meteorological Society.)

Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Velden et al. (2006). © 2006, American Meteorological Society.)

Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Velden et al. (2006). © 2006, American Meteorological Society.)

Advanced Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Olander and Velden (2012). © 2012, UW/CIMSS.)

Advanced Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Olander and Velden (2012). © 2012, UW/CIMSS.)

Advanced Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Olander and Velden (2012). © 2012, UW/CIMSS.)

Advanced Dvorak Technique (Figure obtained from Olander and Velden (2007). © 2007, American Meteorological Society.)

Advanced Dvorak Technique Mean Sea Level Pressure (hPa) (Figure obtained from Olander and Velden (2007). © 2007, American Meteorological Society.)

Advanced Dvorak Technique Sample Output: Hurricane Katrina (2005) (Figure obtained from Olander and Velden (2007). © 2007, American Meteorological Society.)

Scatterometer Analysis: Winds (Figure obtained from http://manati.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/datasets/ASCATData.php)

Scatterometer Analysis: Ambiguity highly uncertain retrieval small uncertainty near center highly certain retrieval (Figure obtained from http://manati.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/datasets/ASCATData.php)

Microwave Imagery: 85-91 GHz (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery: 36-37 GHz (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Microwave Imagery Examples (Figure obtained from Polar Satellite Products for the Operational Forecaster: Using Microwave Observations for Tropical Cyclone Analysis. © 2004, COMET.)

Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Skill (Figure obtained from http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/verify6.shtml)

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Skill (Figure obtained from http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2015.pdf)