Beyond Connections: Improving Ways of Tracking Electricity Access Dana Rysankova World Bank Vienna Energy Forum, May 9, 2017 1

At the country/global level At the project/agency level Energy Access Tracking At the country/global level Progress towards SDG7 and SE4ALL universal access target At the project/agency level Results of individual projects Aggregation at corporate/donor /government agency level

Multi-Tier Framework

Multi-Tier Framework

Multi-tier matrix for access to household electricity supply

Animated (L-R)

Emerging MTF Rwanda

Rwanda gap analysis

MTF use at the project level

MTF project design - Kenya Kenya – designing electrification program for underserved counties

Solar Lighting Systems (SLS) Solar Home Systems (SHS) MTF Kenya Findings: Grid Alternatives (Solar Devices) 33% of HH have at least solar device Solar Lanterns (SL) Solar Lighting Systems (SLS) SL’s used equally in R/U but SLS and SHS ~2x more likely in R than U; 33% of HH have a solar device (35% rural off-grid) Solar Home Systems (SHS)

WB Corporate Results Direct access Inferred access People provided with direct/inferred access to electricity (millions): Number of people provided with access to electricity under Bank supported operations. This indicator includes the direct and inferred access to electricity supported by Bank operations. Direct access is measured as the number of people that benefited from new grid or off-grid household connections. Inferred access is measured as the number of people that benefitted from the increased generation capacity, a proportion of whose output is reasonably estimated to be powering new household connections. Results achieved by the World Bank clients = Governments (attribution challenge)

Lighting Africa / Lighting Global Applying MTF methodology for pico-PV products Counting pico-PV products (below Tier 1) proportionally towards Tier 1 access Challenge: complicated methodology

Challenges in applying MTF methodology on the project level Grid electrification Lack of knowledge of what tiers the direct or inferred access will achieve Baseline data needed but expensive to do by each project “Short-cut” methodology needed but needs to be based on serious analysis (e.g. global baseline survey data) Baseline changes over years of the project – accounting for exogenous changes Off-grid electrification Simplification of the current methodology Harmonization of methodologies across development partners Continue dialogue started at KfW/GIZ/EU workshop in Brussels in September 2016