Jack Shen Moby Xu 4/26/2016.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Health Care Sector Matt Diffley Marc Travis. Recommendation Short- Term Short- Term Underweight compared to the S&P Underweight compared to the S&P Currently.
Advertisements

Accenture Plc (ACN) Analysts: Chris Landqvist, Justin Pippitt, Kelli Coldiron & Wei Pi.
Netgear (NTGR) Bharath Chandrashekhar Daniel Kleeman Shalini Sivarajah Presented: April 10, 2014.
Boston Scientific Guidant Acquisition Strategy Aaron Black Adam Okurowski Peter Serra Ian Seely Anatoliy Chistov February 13, 2006.
 Broad-based health care company that discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets products and services  Abbott's main businesses: ◦ Global pharmaceuticals.
Real Client Managed Portfolio April 4, 2013 Dan Ballantine Heziyou Xu Lingtao Zhou.
ZIX CORPORATION OCTOBER 15, 2013 Dan Ballantine, Alexander Johansson & Ye Liang.
Leiyi Huang (Sally) Siyang Zhang Hui Li Qun Yu (Jett) April 22 nd,
National Healthcare Corp.
National HealthCare Corporation December 2, 2014 Ricky Fang, Fan Fei, Jacob Stoiber.
Jack Henry & Associates, INC. (JKHY)
Healthcare Sector Analysis Alexander Bishop Justin Gibbs Bethaditya Winarno Jie Zhang.
Jiazi Cui Ying Jiang Presented: April 24, Agenda  Company Overview  Relevant Macroeconomic Trends  Industry Structure Analysis  Financial Analysis.
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.
SWOT ANALYSIS.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Ilham Bachtiar, Kyle Castner, Michael Haberkorn, Yichen Sun Presented March 31, 2015.
NYSE: WAG April 29 th, 2014 Leiyi (Sally) Huang Qun (Jett) Yu Siyang (Sylvia) Zhang.
Simulation Debrief December 7 th Executive Team President: Clay Bridges VP Sales: Miu Goto VP Marketing: Casie Huffman VP Production: Robb Harper.
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC)
JOSEPH FARFSING DAVID GARMAN ASH YIJUN GU SCOT HELTON TIMOTHY KEITH Health Care Sector Presentation.
Merck & Co., Inc. Recommendation Sell Yuqian(Annie) Zhang Nov. 4 th, 2004.
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC. APRIL 23, 2013 Kaushik Andra, Dan Ballantine, & Keaton J. Cervantes.
KMB Presentation: RCMP By: Paul Ripsky, Joe Vaccaro 4/21/2009.
MCD (NYSE) MENGYU SUN JUNYING SHEN CHI ZHANG October 30,2012
Ari Lazar Kyle Castner Jessica Kan Gongsheng Wang Presented April 28, 2015.
Qianwen Wu, Wenqiang Xu, Yi Liu and Zuowei Xu
Chris Zakhem | Mengxi (Vivian) Wang | Le Huong Hoang | Ziqi (Kay) Mai
Ari Lazar, Gabriella Wang, Jessica Kan, Sai Poddutur Presented 4/7/15
Abbott Laboratories Shih-Yi Chang, Richie Hartz, Anastasia Sutjahjo Nov.27,2012.
WABASH NATIONAL CORPORATION (NYSE:WNC)
Natasha Chou Spring 2013 Student Managed Investment Fund
Amey Dargude Rahul Gohil Shruti Shah Vanditha Mysore Ravindranath Yujiang (Walter) Chen Source: Nov 17, 2015.
Charlie Penicook and Zuowei Xu November 19, 2013.
Shao-Lun Lu, Ying Jiang, Jiazi Cui Presented: May 1, 2014.
Walgreens Boots Alliance NASDAQ: WBA Presented by Zhi Cheng (Nicole) Low Yanan (Phoebe) Tan Zulay Sosa Bazante Rahul Gohil Shruti Shah Presented on March.
Presented: 4/19/2016 Tianyu (Jack) Shen Bi (Brian) Ge Fang Liu Siwei (Lerrisa) Li.
Air Lease Amey Dargude Cindy Anggraini Kun (Katy) Chen Madina Yunussova Tanvi Rotkar April 7, 2016.
CHAPTER 4 INDUSTRY AND COMPANY ANALYSIS Presenter’s name Presenter’s title dd Month yyyy.
Buckle Inc. Ari Lazar | Bi (Brian) Ge | Cindy Anggraini | Siwei (Lerissa) Li April 28th, 2016 RCMP – Spring 2016.
Jiaze Li | Ningzhou Fang | Di Liu
Union Pacific Corporation
Jiaze Li Ningzhou Fang October 18, 2016.
Jiaxin Yang Sang Hyuk Yoon November 3, 2016
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)
Liting Shen Jiamo Tian Ning Wang Presented on Sept. 29, 2016
Brent Pfaff, Jack Bergloff, Mike Byrns
Analysts: Minhao Gu, Tian Luo, Tim Widick
Agenda Section I Business Summary Company Overview Business Segments
Sang Hyuk Yoon | Tongsu (Serena) Peng
Carriage Services, Inc. Manik Malhotra Quintus Yang
Ryan Seong Anthony Sorrentino Presented December 6, 2016
Sashikanth (Sash) Yenika Vanditha Ravindranath
Applied Portfolio Management
BUS662 SMALL BUSINESS CONCEPTUAL ISSUES. Learning Outcome: To conduct environmental analysis and thereby analyse requirements of a strategic Chapter 3:
Jiaxin Yang Sang Hyuk Yoon November 3, 2016
Flexsteel Industries, Inc.
DOUGLAS DYNAMICS INC. TEAM MEMBERS: BHARATH CHANDRASHEKHAR, ROBERT EBERHAD, PURVI MITTAL, SHALINI R SIVARAJAH Presented: April 22, 2014.
Chris Zakhem | Mengxi (Vivian) Wang | Le Huong Hoang | Ziqi (Kay) Mai
Valuation Creation Through Strategy
Miller Industries NYSE : MLR Yunfeng Bian Zuoquan Li
Sang Hyuk Yoon | Tongsu (Serena) Peng
Abbott Laboratories NYSE: ABT
Jiazi Cui Siyang Zhang Qun Yu (Jett) April 15th, 2014
Presented: April 26, 2016 Zinjun (Moby) Xu Tianyu (Jack) Shen.
Janet Cookson, Eva Zaman, Faiza Ejaz, Grace Odom, & Jonathan Bryson
Abbvie Stock Analysis – November 2018
Innovative Solutions & Support Inc.
REPORT ON VALUATION PROJECT OF CROWN CRAFTS
AbbVie Stock Analysis Analysts: Marcin Szczepaniak and Dhwani Mehta, presented on April 4th, 2019.
What affects our business from the outside?
Presentation transcript:

Jack Shen Moby Xu 4/26/2016

Current Holdings Ticker: ABBV (NYSE) Received 400 shares upon spin-off on 1/2/2013 200 shares @ $27.08 100 shares @ $27.53 100 shares @ $34.22 Adjusted cost @$26.71 Current Price: $60.97 Gain (loss):128.27% 16% of portfolio (equity only)

Company Overview Corporate Headquarters North Chicago, Illinois, USA Business Snapshot Specialty-focused, research-based biopharmaceutical company Employees More than 28,000 worldwide Geographic Coverage Products are sold in more than 170 countries

Timeline 2011 October 19th Abbott announced the plan to separate into two publicly traded companies 2013 January 2nd Officially listed on the NYSE 2015 May 26th Completed the acquisition of Pharmacyclics 2016 April Revealed positive data on HCV therapy and leukemia treatment

Management RICHARD A. GONZALEZ MICHAEL E. SEVERINO, M.D. Chairman of the Board and CEO Mr. Gonzalez was a 30-year Abbott veteran. He served as Executive Vice President, Pharmaceutical Products Group. MICHAEL E. SEVERINO, M.D.  Executive Vice President, Research & Development and CSO  He previously served as Senior Vice President, Global Development and Corporate Chief Medical Officer at Amgen Inc. He joined AbbVie in 2014. WILLIAM J. CHASE Executive Vice President, CFO Prior to AbbVie's separation from Abbott, Mr. Chase served as Vice President, Licensing and Acquisitions. Mr. Chase joined Abbott in 1989 Source: abbvie.com

Business Overview Focus on product development: “AbbVie develops and markets advanced therapies that address some of the world's most complex and serious diseases.” chronic autoimmune diseases human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Parkinson's disease complications associated with chronic diseases other health conditions Focus on product development: Global R&D collaboration and licensing agreement Independent R&D Acquired in-process R&D Source: abbvie.com, Abbvie Inc. FY 2015 10-K

Financial Results FY 2015: Total Net revenue: $22859 million Total Net Income: $5,144 million Source: Abbvie Inc. FY 2015 10-K

Industry Overview Name Brand Pharmaceutical “Big Pharma” Mature industry Heavily regulated R&D intense Risky Intense competition Source: IBIS World

Macro Driver Source: CMS, Census Bureau, IBIS World

Patent-protected drugs; Threat of R&D breakthrough Porter’s Five Forces Supplier Bargaining Power Moderate Self-sufficient; Lots of suppliers Threat of Substitutes Low-Moderate Patent-protected drugs; Threat of R&D breakthrough New Entrants Low Regulation; Finance; Tech Threat of Rivalry High Intense competition; Risky business Buyer Lack alternatives; Necessity Pharmaceutical Industry

SWOT Analysis Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats Large cash reserve; R&D capability; Established brand; Expertise & experience Weaknesses HUMIRA; Risky R&D process Opportunities Economic recovery; International mkt; Aging & growing population Threats Mkt fluctuation; Competition; Regulation; IP theft

Financial Analysis Source: Abbvie Inc. FY 2015&2014 10-K

Financial Analysis Source: Abbvie Inc. FY 2015&2014 10-K

Technical Analysis Source: Yahoo Finance

Market Capitalization Latest Comparable Analysis Company Name Market Capitalization Latest LTM Total Revenue LTM Gross Margin % LTM EBITDA Margin % LTM EBIT Margin % LTM Net Income Margin % Baxalta Incorporated (NYSE:BXLT) 28,266.0 6,148 81% 49% 39.8% 32.03% Biogen Inc. (NasdaqGS:BIIB) 61,925.9 10,936 88% 71% 68.0% 55.48% Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) 82,131.4 19,959 89% 54% 48.3% 33.79% Amgen Inc. (NasdaqGS:AMGN) 122,397.8 21,662 38% 28.1% 14.25% Gilead Sciences Inc. (NasdaqGS:GILD) 138,078.6 32,639 76% 26% 18.8% 12.07% Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK) 157,153.4 39,498 63% 37% 20.8% 11.25% Pfizer Inc. (NYSE:PFE) 206,003.8 48,851 62% 34% 30.1% 15.55%   AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) 99,361.3 22,859 43% 38.9% 22.50% High Low Mean 113,708.1 25,670 77% 44% 36.3% 24.92% Median Source: CapitalIQ

Comparable Analysis

Financial Projections

Discount Rate

DCF Analysis

Pros & Cons Pros Cons Overpriced according to DCF valuation Favorable results Optimistic analysis & reports Potential share repurchase shows confidence Growing # of collaboration and licensing agreement Cons Overpriced according to DCF valuation “New company” HUMIRA “ticking time bomb” Risky pipeline Complicated business

Hold Recommendation DCF Current Comparable Valuation Valuation Price $43.31 Current Price $60.97 Comparable Valuation $70-$80 Hold

Q&A