Chesapeake bay program: Funding & Bay TMDL Midpoint Assessment COG’s Regional water quality management program Key Decision Points/Opportunities for COG Input Focus/Priorities for COG Tanya T. Spano Chief, Regional Water Quality Management Chesapeake Bay and Water Resources Policy Committee May 19, 2017 Agenda Item # 3

Overview Chesapeake Bay Program – Midpoint Assessment (MPA) Ongoing efforts, but very accelerated/compressed schedule Good news – and challenges Clear opportunities for COG input Will need WRTC & CBPC input/guidance Guided by approved COG/CBPC Policy Principles CBP Funding – FY 2017 vs. FY2018 MPA Schedule - see graphic Review of Key Decisions Proposed Work Efforts & COG Input – Focus Areas & Timing Lots of acronyms! FY 2018 RWQM Annual Work Program & Budget Wrap-up / Questions? Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

2017 Midpoint Assessment - Context Lots of work done, more to be done, & many key decisions over next 2 years Still driven by “Bay TMDL 100% implementation by 2025’ deadline Areas of Focus Approximately 9 areas identified; not all equal Some we are not likely to influence Some we have limited resources to address – even when working with other local groups Some are technical, while others are policy Need to focus on most important areas (e.g. ) Where COG staff can make most difference on behalf of region/members Technical work – COG & NVRC staff working with WRTC Policy actions – CBPC (COG Board - if warranted) Scheduling - WRTC to CBPC, and CBPC to CBP/Bay Partners #3 Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM MIDPOINT ASSESSMENT #1 #8 #2 #3 #9 #6 #4 #7 #5 Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

2017 Midpoint Assessment - Context Areas of Focus [applicable COG Policy Principles] (#3, 5, 6, 8 & 9 – proposed priority areas)* #1 – Watershed Model (WSM) #2 – Water Quality Sediment Transport Model (WQSTM) #3 – ‘Fatal Flaw’ Review [Sound Science] #4 – Draft Phase III WIP Planning Targets [Equity/Policy] #5 – Allocation of Conowingo Dam (& other) Loads [Policy] #6 –Phase III WIP Planning Targets to Local Area Planning Goals #7 – EPA Expectations Document & Final Planning Target Decisions #8 – EPA Assessment of ‘60% by 2017’ goal [Schedule/Policy] #9 – Issuance of Final WIPs [Spring 2019 - 1 Year process] * WRTC agreed Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

Key Decisions & Proposed Work Efforts WSM inputs & outputs (GIS maps, WWTP & land use data) COG members review their own data; COG to ID any issues COG staff review region-wide data & communicate issues w/in Bay forum Additional technical work – with local partners Fatal Flaw Review – Key Distinctions WSM input/output accuracy and limitations i.e., State/Basin Planning Targets vs. Local Area Planning Goals Versus actual ‘Flaws’ in state/basin-level results Additional Loads & Allocation Decisions Conowingo – significant? & equity implications [Major policy issue] Growth – embedded vs. explicit? (i.e., est. loads in 2025) [6/7/17 Forum] Climate Change – not much impact through 2025 [July CBPC agenda] Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

Key Decisions & Proposed Work Effort WIP (State/Basin) Planning Targets Local Area Planning Goals Versus local permit requirements EPA Expectations Document (for Phase III WIPs) EPA Assessment of ‘60% by 2017’ – Reassess 2025 (non-regulatory) deadline? Agreement on state/basin-level Planning Targets Issuance of Phase III WIPs [Draft 2018 – Final 2019] EPA’s assessment of ‘60% by 2017’ goal achievement ‘What’s left to meet TMDL implementation goal by 2025? Quantifying what remains to be done over next 6 years What might this mean for various sectors? Especially wastewater and stormwater permits Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

Chesapeake Bay Program Area Proposed technical work efforts Policy implications Key decision points Guidance to COG staff Need for specific WRTC input to CBPC CBPC formal input to CBP Schedule & timing – 2017 & Beyond WRTC meetings & work sessions CBPC meetings & off-cycle input needed Bay-Climate Focus – July 28th (4th Friday) Bay & Water Quality Forum – Sept. 15th Question? Suggestions? Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

FY 2018 RWQM Annual Work Program & Budget Refer to FY 2018 Elements, Priorities & Levels of Effort document Focus generally same as FY 2017 (w/ refinements) Key Aspects CBP continues to be a major program driver (for local, Potomac & Bay waters) Note EPA/CBP funding assumptions Continued focus on Outreach efforts Continued efforts to address broad range of water resource topics in a holistic fashion Formal Work Program to CBPC – early June Questions? Agenda Item #:3 CBPC (5/19/17)

mwcog.org Tanya T. Spano Chief, Regional Water Quality Management (202) 962-3776 tspano@mwcog.org mwcog.org 777 North Capitol Street NE, Suite 300 Washington, DC 20002