How to Calculate Present Values

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Presentation transcript:

How to Calculate Present Values Slides by Matthew Will Copyright © 2017 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.

$$$$$$$ Future Values Example - FV What is the future value of $100 if interest is compounded annually at a rate of 7% for two years? 23

Future Values with Compounding Interest Rates 24

Discount factor = DF = PV of $1 Present Value Discount factor = DF = PV of $1 Discount factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow

Present Value The PV formula has many applications. Given any variables in the equation, you can solve for the remaining variable. Also, you can reverse the prior example. 38

Present Values with Compounding Interest Rates 24

Valuing an Office Building Step 1: Forecast cash flows Cost of building = C0 = 700,000 Sale price in Year 1 = C1 = 800,000 Step 2: Estimate opportunity cost of capital If equally risky investments in the capital market offer a return of 7%, then Cost of capital = r = 7%

Valuing an Office Building Step 3: Discount future cash flows Step 4: Go ahead if PV of payoff exceeds investment

Net Present Value

Risk and Present Value Higher risk projects require a higher rate of return Higher required rates of return cause lower PVs

Risk and Present Value

Risk and Net Present Value

Net Present Value Rule Accept investments that have positive net present value Example Use the original example. Should we accept the project given a 10% expected return?

Rate of Return Rule Accept investments that offer rates of return in excess of their opportunity cost of capital Example In the project listed below, the foregone investment opportunity is 12%. Should we do the project?

Multiple Cash Flows For multiple periods we have the discounted cash flow (DCF) formula

Net Present Values $30,000 $ 870,000 Present value Year 0 30,000/1.12 870,000/1.122 Total = $26,786 = $693,559 = $20,344 Year 0 1 2 -$700,000

Shortcuts Perpetuity - Financial concept in which a cash flow is theoretically received forever.

Present Values Example What is the present value of $1 billion every year, for all eternity, if you estimate the perpetual discount rate to be 10%?

Present Values Example - continued What if the investment does not start making money for 3 years?

How to Value Annuities Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years

Short Cuts Annuity - An asset that pays a fixed sum each year for a specified number of years. Asset Year of Payment 1 2…..t t + 1 Present Value Perpetuity (first payment in year 1) Perpetuity (first payment in year t + 1) Annuity from year 1 to year t

Costing an Installment Plan Example Tiburon Autos offers you “easy payments” of $5,000 per year, at the end of each year for 5 years. If interest rates are 7%, per year, what is the cost of the car? 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 Year Present Value at year 0 0 1 2 3 4 5

Winning Big at the Lottery Example The state lottery advertises a jackpot prize of $590.5 million, paid in 30 installments over 30 years of $19.683 million per year, at the end of each year. If interest rates are 3.6% what is the true value of the lottery prize?

FV Annuity Short Cut Example What is the future value of $20,000 paid at the end of each of the following 5 years, assuming your investment returns 8% per year?

Constant Growth Perpetuity NOTE: This formula can be used to value a perpetuity at any point in time.

Constant Growth Perpetuity Example What is the present value of $1 billion paid at the end of every year in perpetuity, assuming a rate of return of 10% and a constant growth rate of 4%?

EAR & APR Calculations Annual Percentage Rate (APR): Effective Annual Interest Rate (EAR): Effective annual interest rate: - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest. Annual percentage rate: Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest. *where MR = monthly interest rate 26

Effective Interest Rates Example: Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the effective annual rate (EAR)? What is the annual percentage rate (APR)? 28