The Changing Structure of the UK Population

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Presentation transcript:

The Changing Structure of the UK Population Andrew Nash, Population Statistics Division Office for National Statistics (Note: all data are from ONS unless otherwise indicated)

UK population, 1871 to 2015 Note: most of discontinuity in WW1 and WW2 is because of troops posted overseas. Ireland achieved independence in 1922.

UK total fertility rate, 1960 to 2015

UK period life expectancy at birth (years), 1960 to 2015

UK long-term international migration, 1964 to 2015

UK population age structure

Ethnic composition of population by age, England and Wales, 2001 Census

Ethnic composition of population by age, England and Wales, 2011 Census

Long-term immigrants to UK, 2015, by previous country of residence

When will the UK population reach 70 million? 2025 2030 2035

UK population projection, 2014-based (principal)

2014-based variant national projections

UK population pyramid, 2014 v 2039 (principal projection)

UK old age dependency ratio (per 1,000 people of working age)

UK population projections by ethnic group Source: Wohland P, Burkitt M, Norman P, Rees P, Boden P and Durham H, ETHPOP Database, ESRC Follow on Fund "Ethnic group population trends". www.ethpop.org. Date of extraction 19.04.2017.

Projected growth, countries of the UK, 2014 to 2024 (principal projection)

Projected growth, English regions, 2014 to 2024

Projected growth 2014 to 2024: local authority gainers and losers

Selected pending population publications 27 Apr 2017: Mid-2016 estimates, Scotland Jun 2017: Mid-2016 estimates for rest of UK Oct / Nov 2017: National population projections, 2016-based (UK and countries) 2018: Subnational population projections for England, Scotland and Northern Ireland, 2016-based Population estimates are annual; population projections are biennial except in Wales where they are triennial.

And finally . . . ONS population contact: pop.info@ons.gov.uk 01329 444661 www.ons.gov.uk Twitter: @PaulVickers_ONS Any questions / comments / suggestions? What would be useful to you?